well, its not misleading brother, it looks at averages, your PPR was very quick, so you fall out of the average pool, but it is accurate for most users.
Oh yes Andy you are right, it is indeed, I have always appreciated the immitracker, infact i daily encourage people to use it to keep track of the applications, we all owe so much to it. Nothing like that bro! if you check my posts i have always been a strong advocate for it as i truly appreciate this project
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I just said sometimes, it was never a generalised and final statement my friend, the person was worried about his date not being the same over there, I was just giving some positivity based on personal experience that these things can never be accurate there are so many factors that might change course of events.
All I meant there was that you can always be surprised by CIC, there is nothing hard and fast and immitracker uses averages from all streams to predict the date on the estimator and sometimes from my experience as CIC changes pace it is not updated as quickly and i think not possible also.
Every stream has totally different timeline and when we use the PPR estimators, it gives dates accordingly taking into account averages of all collectively. So hence for many May applicants it was not accurate much as many got PPRs before me also. Also i understand that it is not possible to include every change and minor detail specifically as their many factors playing role. Now PPR dates hugely depend on stream and visa office but estimator only takes date into account, hence people feel it was not that accurate.
Very few people see that you have done a great job in showing Visa office specific averages and stream averages also, most people will just check the estimators as it is easier to check, and checking graphs and averages is bit tedious. So hence I wanted to point that one should not get disappointed quickly if things don't work as predicted and take all factors into consideration. Now the average timeline of a FSWO applicant with Ottawa office is very much different and shorter then that of FSWO Sydney office. Average of 100 days will be shown when people are getting PPR in 30 days, so it will seem to someone who took nothing else into consideration that it was not right, which is wrong to assume. CIC is so so unpredictable and changes things very quickly that it is simply not possible to change averages so quickly. There are 3 dates on the PPR estimator still all of them could be far from original at times. Probability of no event can be 1 or 0 so yes sometimes these things can not be accurate, I don't think it has anything to do with your extraordinary efforts, so don't want to offend my friend at all. I don't think it is humanly possible to predict everything right always. You have done a very detailed job in taking everything in account, mentioning best cases and average case and worst case scenarios, i don't think any more detail could be mathematically possible!
You took me all wrong, you have done a spectacular job there and i don't think it could be any better! But we cannot predict every moment in life mathematically with complete accuracy, even Einstein couldn't lol. So I just wanted to say that sometimes mathematics predictions can be a bit off and we should just use them (those predicted dates) to have a tentative idea, which gives us some peace of mind and not be disappointed if it does not happens on the same day. Just giving some hope and positivity.
I highly applaud and appreciate you efforts!! Alway have