Since you brought it up, yes prices have been rising since the mid-90's. But do you remember what happened in the early 90's? Do you remember how much money was lost in real estate, and how many people were forced to file for bankruptcy?steaky said:Hey torontosm, don't just emphasis the current market conditions.
Since in the other post, you said you have been living in Canada (only in Toronto?) before 2002, then give us some idea what the property market was like in the late 1990s compare to now. I know in Vancouver, property prices had been rose substantially at least for the past fifteen years. Also, you said prices are already declining and forecast to continue to do so - Like I mentioned earlier, some reports had said the prices may go up 4% this year and in my recent realtors.ca search, I don't see prices are declining - maybe Toronto? I'm still not sure about this because previously scylla said there were bidding wars in GTA and prices are going to push higher - I'm confused about the property market in GTA right now - one said property prices is declining while the other said it's going to push higher..
On the other post, you said you don't trust reports from TREB that are obviously biased and whose number fluctuate on an ongoing basis. But the fact is market conditions in equity and property fluctuates also.
Real estate prices are heavily dependent on a variety of factors, but primarily on the economy. Looking at the state of the Canadian economy, no rational person can claim that housing prices can continue to increase. The only reason they even got to where they are at is due to artificially low interest rates intended to spur the economy (which had the unfortunate effect of causing a massive housing bubble instead).
With regard to evidence of prices declining, look at what's happening to housing prices in Alberta today. just yesterday there was a story in the Post of a lady whose house was "worth" $1.5 million 6 months ago, and now she can't get a bid for $900k. Now couple this with the massive layoffs we are witnessing in Ontario, and it's only a matter of time before the same weakness spreads to Toronto as well.
As for the TREB, what I meant is that they keep going back and restating their figures. So, they will issue a rosy press release about how home sales and prices are up which will be picked up by the media. Then, a few weeks later, they will quietly go back and adjust the historical figures so that the actual net numbers show a decline in sales and prices. If you track this carefully, you will see that this is a consistent pattern and theme with them.