I checked my status today, I am in IP2. let's hope PPR will come with Santa
or even before
ITA 11 Jul 18
AOR 8 Aug 18
MEP 31 Aug 18
As mentioned in a comment above, these status messages are mere guidelines. And one cannot predict the status without GCMS notes.
It is true. But looking at the data provided by volunteers including me, a general timeline can be drawn of the events.
The situation is different since when EE was introduced. Now most of the complete applications are being processed within the CIC timeline of 4-6 months. And if ADR is raised, it's mostly raised in IP1. I haven't read of anyone in IP2 has got an ADR. Please correct me if I'm wrong.
A friend told me to pay total fees including RPRF at the beginning itself. I paid all fees when I submitted my application. Because if an applicant hasn't paid RPRF, his application goes out of the main flow to a queue of people who haven't paid RPRF, he gets a request to pay RPRF and once paid it gets processed on first come first serve basis.
Editing a line: I read at another discussion that if an application is picked for security screening by random sampling, it's likely to get delayed for months, but still within timeline. But again, if you don't have anything up your sleeves, you don't need to worry.
hope it helps.
cheers...