Because of the statement about 3000 I decided to wait a bit (a week or so) for more info from CIC. Another draw perhaps, or some other sort of clarification.
If there really were only 3000 profiles in pool, then our distribution in spreadsheet is very far from real and there is no way to predict anything based on it.
Still, I suspect, that there was an error and that it should be read as 30'000. That would be close to expectations.
Also, if there were only 3000 profiles, with two 779-people draws separated only by a week, it would mean, that more than half profiles are with jo-lmia/pnp. I just can't believe that.