FSW, CEC, PNP Analysis (2018 - Mar 2021)

[Sitrarose]

Hello Everyone,

Just like most members on this forum, I am also waiting for my PR (FSW - Inland) as well. Since IRCC is not able to provide accurate processing timelines, I have tried to analyze the official monthly data published on the open data forum. Here are the results

FSW, CEC, PNP Application Analysis (2018 - Mar 2021):

	Total number of invitations (CEC)	Total number of PR Applications approved (CEC)	Total number of invitations (FSW)	Total number of PR Applications approved (FSW)	Total number of invitations (PNP)	Total number of PR Applications approved (PNP)
2018​	25075​	27565​	36225​	71210​	10130​	62405​
2019​	25630​	30235​	32650​	77815​	13220​	68630​
2020​	44655​	24950​	22160​	35750​	14125​	38710​
Q1 - 2021​	4975​	18455​	5660​	8610​	1130​	13620​

So as you can tell, till 2020 CEC applications have been consistently processed/ approved at the same rate. But in the last quarter (Q1), they amped up application processing and approved over 18455 in just 4 months (i.e like almost 73% approved applications for the whole 2020 year). This can be attributed to the high intake of CEC applicants in 2020 and change in policy (i.e to focus on applicants inland)

Now for FSW, the number of applications being processed/ approved is almost cut in half in 2020. Also based on the numbers in the last quarter of 2021, I don't think it's going to increase anytime soon (especially with the tr-pr pathway). Just a note, the number of FSW applicants invited has also decreased a little. The same pattern can be seen for PNP applications too.

So to summarize, CEC applicants can expect to get their applications processed faster this year in comparison to last year. On the other hand, FSW/ PNP applicants need to be prepared for longer processing times as they are approving applications at a lower rate. (On the hind site, at least they are processing them than completely halting)

Hope that helps.

References:
Number of PR Applications approved: https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/f7e5498e-0ad8-4417-85c9-9b8aff9b9eda
Number of invitations data: https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/593e9165-c6ce-4f9b-b519-03d315f92cd4

(P.S: I'll try to update this when the next month (April) data is available )

why the number of fsw approve ones (37750) in 2020 are way higher than the invited fsw applicants (22160)?

 

[Sitrarose]

actually i have been tracing these data recently too, but some figures are indeed confusing. For FSW and PNP, all the approved number are much larger than invited number. I don’t understand

Exactly, I realized that as well

 

[Sitrarose]

actually i have been tracing these data recently too, but some figures are indeed confusing. For FSW and PNP, all the approved number are much larger than invited number. I don’t understand

Have you seen this : https://www.change.org/p/marco-mendicino-minister-of-immigration-refugees-and-citizenship-canada-significant-delay-in-processing-of-pr-applications-for-inland-nominees

 

[Sitrarose]

Why do they invite PNP every two weeks non stop along with CEC since March 2020 if they don’t process it? It doesn’t make any sense at all.

Because they need more immigrant as it was mentioned in immigration news, so when they invite those new ones they will pay for the application fee and they can refresh the economy loss of pandemic, those already are waiting they are waiting, as easy as
!!!