FSW 2014 - MASTER THREAD - 2171/ 2172/ 2173/ 2174 SERIES

[Hope786786]

I am not sure what he meant exactly, but from his statement I did not feel he considered the fact that CIC was counting
the CAP of 18th Dec based on the applications accepted till around II nd week of Oct 2014.

Particularly bcoz of the dates he mentioned "18 Dec - 31 Dec "... Any how I said it is just my opinion based on his quote and may be he
was also thinking the same way but typed the dates incorrect.

Also personally I feel 2172 CAP count will be almost 95-98% full as of 31 Dec 2014 ( Last day of FSW-2014 program appln acceptance)
and all of you guys are in CAP.

Yes,you are right we should consider the number of applications expected between 10-oct and 31-dec while considering 2172. However, Depending upon the number of applications(370) received till 10-oct in more than 6 months(May to Oct) , It SEEMS Highly unlikely that in half of time span i.e less than 3 months(10 oct to 31-dec) they will get Almost double (630) applications.
But, at the same time we should not ignore the high expectation of Apps in 2172 in late Nov and Full December after the sudden cap of 2173 & 2171 on 10 & 20 Nov respectively.
To summarize , being december 2172 Applicant I am worried & Anxious too , but,Hoping,Wishing and Praying that it will end in less than 1000 Apps Insh'Allah and May we all get Desired and Favorable Outcomes. (Ameen)

 

[pinak1204]

Yes,you are right we should consider the number of applications expected between 10-oct and 31-dec while considering 2172. However, Depending upon the number of applications(370) received till 10-oct in more than 6 months(May to Oct) , It SEEMS Highly unlikely that in half of time span i.e less than 3 months(10 oct to 31-dec) they will get Almost double (630) applications.
But, at the same time we should not ignore the high expectation of Apps in 2172 in late Nov and Full December after the sudden cap of 2173 & 2171 on 10 & 20 Nov respectively.
To summarize , being december 2172 Applicant I am worried & Anxious too , but,Hoping,Wishing and Praying that it will end in less than 1000 Apps Insh'Allah and May we all get Desired and Favorable Outcomes. (Ameen)

. Hi, It's good to know that noc 2171 was caped on 20 nov. My application was recieved by CIC on 27th of august, but I am yet to recieve the per. Is there any other applicant in this forum with the same situation as me. I had also send a query to cic via email, I am yet to recieve any reply from them.God knows what is going on?.

 

[ravibhagi]

Kindly post something for 2173 also.I applied on 29th October when CIC website showed 699 applications.Kindly update your status ( NOC code 2173).What was the last date charged.Are their some chances that they start approving applications of already filled 1000 cap( quota benchmark e.g.2173,2174 Etc)categories to fill their quota of 25000. or the vacancies short of benchmark 25000 will be left unfilled .Thanks Everybody.

 

[Carmageddon]

Yes,you are right we should consider the number of applications expected between 10-oct and 31-dec while considering 2172. However, Depending upon the number of applications(370) received till 10-oct in more than 6 months(May to Oct) , It SEEMS Highly unlikely that in half of time span i.e less than 3 months(10 oct to 31-dec) they will get Almost double (630) applications.
But, at the same time we should not ignore the high expectation of Apps in 2172 in late Nov and Full December after the sudden cap of 2173 & 2171 on 10 & 20 Nov respectively.
To summarize , being december 2172 Applicant I am worried & Anxious too , but,Hoping,Wishing and Praying that it will end in less than 1000 Apps Insh'Allah and May we all get Desired and Favorable Outcomes. (Ameen)

Exactly.
Every programmer applicant that either got rejected under 2171 or the others, or simply realized the other NOCs have small chances - would have adjusted the application and sent under 2172 in Nov-Dec, and hence the fill rate for 2172 would have spiked.
That is why I fear 2172 will CAP before reaching our turn at the end of Dec...

 

[SGMLA-CANApp]

Kindly post something for 2173 also.I applied on 29th October when CIC website showed 699 applications.Kindly update your status ( NOC code 2173).What was the last date charged.Are their some chances that they start approving applications of already filled 1000 cap( quota benchmark e.g.2173,2174 Etc)categories to fill their quota of 25000. or the vacancies short of benchmark 25000 will be left unfilled .Thanks Everybody.

Hi,
My friend August applicant received returned app due to cap full under NOC 2173 today.

 

[sharloote]

Exactly.
Every programmer applicant that either got rejected under 2171 or the others, or simply realized the other NOCs have small chances - would have adjusted the application and sent under 2172 in Nov-Dec, and hence the fill rate for 2172 would have spiked.
That is why I fear 2172 will CAP before reaching our turn at the end of Dec...

I don't think they were able to provide original documents.So,i think there is a chance for us,but my major concern is the total cap at the end of DEC

 

[Hope786786]

I don't think they were able to provide original documents.So,i think there is a chance for us,but my major concern is the total cap at the end of DEC

Dear Sharloote,
To me,sticking to the same logic,It seems highly Unlikely that total Cap(25,000) will reach as till last update of 18-dec-14(which was actually the status of 1st/2nd week of Oct). The total No. of Apps were just over 16,000 (in more than 5 months,may to Oct), Even when all the Hot Nocs were open, many of those were already capped.So,with half of the time duration(10 oct to 31-dec) to fill half of the applications (25000-16000=9000) seems highly unrealistic when all the Hot Nocs are already capped.

 

[Carmageddon]

I don't think they were able to provide original documents.So,i think there is a chance for us,but my major concern is the total cap at the end of DEC

Don't forget people are creative.. which means they must have seen that host NOCs are nearly capped, and so adjusted their application for "cooler" NOCs, such as 2172 which is very attractive because its so close to what we do.
There are 70(!) rows for 2172 for Dec in the SS file, and total of 251 rows.
One likely interpretation is that the SS contains only ~10% of the worldwide applications, and in that case - it will CAP way before Dec 31st.
Another is that for some reason, the SS contains the bulk (say, 2/3) of the worldwide applications on 2172 - and in that case, we should be good to go

I do however agree, that the global 25K CAP wont be filled by Dec 31st.

 

[Hope786786]

Exactly.
Every programmer applicant that either got rejected under 2171 or the others, or simply realized the other NOCs have small chances - would have adjusted the application and sent under 2172 in Nov-Dec, and hence the fill rate for 2172 would have spiked.
That is why I fear 2172 will CAP before reaching our turn at the end of Dec...

Hopefully,no need to fear,Insh'Allah, as according to S.S there is a surge in Dec but not much,i.e just the double as compared to an other ordinary month .

 

[Carmageddon]

Hopefully,no need to fear,Insh'Allah, as according to S.S there is a surge in Dec but not much,i.e just the double as compared to an other ordinary month .

You are right, but "surge" is to say the least.. the better word is a "spike".. from 40 to 70.
What does that mean for the CAP, which was at ~450 mid-Dec?

 

[Hope786786]

You are right, but "surge" is to say the least.. the better word is a "spike".. from 40 to 70.
What does that mean for the CAP, which was at ~450 mid-Dec?

Thanks for correction,Hopefully these things will improve in Canada , Insh'Allah. :-*
2-It depends upon the NOC , if the closely related NOCs are not capped then there are very rare chances to cap even if it was 450 in Dec. as more portion left with short duration . i.e "Surge"/"Spike" will not occur in each NOC.

 

[ZeCarioca]

Don't forget people are creative.. which means they must have seen that host NOCs are nearly capped, and so adjusted their application for "cooler" NOCs, such as 2172 which is very attractive because its so close to what we do.
There are 70(!) rows for 2172 for Dec in the SS file, and total of 251 rows.
One likely interpretation is that the SS contains only ~10% of the worldwide applications, and in that case - it will CAP way before Dec 31st.
Another is that for some reason, the SS contains the bulk (say, 2/3) of the worldwide applications on 2172 - and in that case, we should be good to go

I do however agree, that the global 25K CAP wont be filled by Dec 31st.

Definitely somewhere in the middle!!!

 

[sharloote]

GUYS...
Why you think the last update is related to Oct.I think CIC updated its website exactly on Dec and has given us the exact image.I am sure because they wanted to guide us to send our applications for crawling Nocs as well as stop sending Hot Nocs.

 

[sharloote]

Is there anyone whose cc has been charged on 12 Dec for 2172?

 

[Carmageddon]

Is there anyone whose cc has been charged on 12 Dec for 2172?

Is there a whatsapp group for 2172 applicants? My phone came back to me only yesterday so I can finally be on whatsapp again.