FSW 2014 Applicants Timeline- Lets Network Here.

[om999]

formula:
Converting percentage to a decimal:
7% = 7 / 100 = 0.07

16 is 7% of what
= 16 / 7
= 16 / 0.07
= 228.57

so on the average the cic give away 45 PER for 2174 globally per day. (228.57 PER DIVIDED BY 5 Days) with that we can predict that 2174 will be cap full on MAY 22 or earlier.

HOWEVER, THE LIMITATION of this computation is that we are really not sure of the number of applications received per day. we are basing it on AVERAGE applications received daily so the margin of error +/- is still big . we can get a more accurate analysis as they release more data. That's all i can analyze for now.

Just a thought.

Good Analysis ...

 

[shakti123]

No CC charges in the past two days... The last cc charges were on 5th/6th may, does it mean end of quota.

 

[Century]

No CC charges in the past two days... The last cc charges were on 5th/6th may, does it mean end of quota.

It cannot be. Even if you assume that 3 NOCs have been filled, what about the rest of the NOCs? So, no CC charges in a day don't indicate NOCs been capped.

 

[Century]

Hello,

I submitted my fsw 2014 pr application in NOC 2173 on 2nd of May and received PER today 5th of june. But just found out that I did mistake in writing my father's full name. Basically, my father's middle name is Rambhai in passport but I wrote in family information form as Ramlal as it is quite a bit common in india to use suffix "bhai" or "lal" interchangeably and I just noticed it. But still somehow my application received Positive eligibility review and DD charged. Does anybody can advice if I can do anything to let CIC know about this mistake and ask them to change it and reconsider or I should not let them know about it??? I am confused and afraid that in future of they find out such a discrepancy that they may consider rejecting my application in later stages or what are the chances that they are going to find it out in future though it is actually a minor mistake but how severe could be the results of such a mistake...any idea???

Please help!

When you get the AOR, send the revised form. It will not lead to rejection, for sure. Relax.

 

[Century]

Any 7th & 8th CC/DD cleared? No Update in sheet after 6th. Panic by seeing sheet is not updated after 6th.

This is the way CIC works. They don't give update everyday. None of the NOCs will be filled by 8th.

 

[Century]

When will be the next CIC update will be, to clear all our assumptions and doubts based on current CIC announcement of application processed. Any guesses.

Within 14 days, for sure. They might even update twice by this time.

 

[viveksharma]

The Table CIC provided only covers May 1, 2014. The key is the code 3012 the exact match, wherein only 1 applicant were included in the cap (per cic), and 1 applicant received per may 1 PER ON the excel table here.

So to calculate the amount of people compared to the number of people worldwide lets use 2174 (since this is the hottest NOC with the highest number of applicants from this forum).

PER as of may 1 =3 (canada visa) / Per as of may 1= 39 (per cic)

3 divided by 39 multiply by 100 = 7% (in other words this forum only represents 7% of the total fsw applicants worldwide)

As of may 5 (cc charged under 2174) in the canada visa spreadsheet= 16 (so this 16 represent the 7% of global applicants, so the total predicted applicants recieved complete for that day-may 5 globally is already 228-229 )

formula:
Converting percentage to a decimal:
7% = 7 / 100 = 0.07

16 is 7% of what
= 16 / 7
= 16 / 0.07
= 228.57

so on the average the cic give away 45 PER for 2174 globally per day. (228.57 PER DIVIDED BY 5 Days) with that we can predict that 2174 will be cap full on MAY 22 or earlier.

HOWEVER, THE LIMITATION of this computation is that we are really not sure of the number of applications received per day. we are basing it on AVERAGE applications received daily so the margin of error +/- is still big . we can get a more accurate analysis as they release more data. That's all i can analyze for now.

I believe the fast filling up of 2174 and other caps that were included last year might be the result of the overflow from the last year's CAp. These are the people who already have all the necessary documents for FSW.

Just a thought.

Even if we consider everything else to be correct in above assumption ( well, that is still a big IF), there is still one big assumption to be considered in this "model". I think in may-14 at least, the number of application received by CIC would be high in first week. This would be those people whose package got returned under FSW-2014 and they were always ready for FSW-2014.
However, from 2nd week onwards, mostly non FSW-2013 would have started sending their applications. These are those people who would have "mostly" started ECA/IELTS after FSW - 2014 announcement.
Hence, "average" assumption made above is mostly skewed due to first week may-data and bound to give pessimistic outcome.

 

[Maple Candy 2014]

hello guys... pls help me with this query

One of my friend had sent his application form and was received by CIC but later recognized that in Additional Family Information form, he has written all names in English but forgot to write in native language as it was asked on top.

Is that going to be a problem? anyone who did the same mistake has gone through ???

Pls provide ur inputs.

Thanks in advance

 

[TangoCharlie1234]

Even if we consider everything else to be correct in above assumption ( well, that is still a big IF), there is still one big assumption to be considered in this "model". I think in may-14 at least, the number of application received by CIC would be high in first week. This would be those people whose package got returned under FSW-2014 and they were always ready for FSW-2014.
However, from 2nd week onwards, mostly non FSW-2013 would have started sending their applications. These are those people who would have "mostly" started ECA/IELTS after FSW - 2014 announcement.
Hence, "average" assumption made above is mostly skewed due to first week may-data and bound to give pessimistic outcome.

I agree, it can't be 1st May as for 1112 there are people in our spreadsheet with PER. This can't be 1st May, I think 2nd week apps would include those who were ready from last year. Considering that I think we should reach 300-400 by end of second week May applicants. After that the count will subside as only new applicants will come in picture. Also considering some rejection rate which will offset that count will be there. I don't think for any NOC we will reach cap by 30th May atleast

 

[TangoCharlie1234]

hello guys... pls help me with this query

One of my friend had sent his application form and was received by CIC but later recognized that in Additional Family Information form, he has written all names in English but forgot to write in native language as it was asked on top.

Is that going to be a problem? anyone who did the same mistake has gone through ???

Pls provide ur inputs.

Thanks in advance

This is not a mistake. Don't worry

 

[Nav2132]

hello guys... pls help me with this query

One of my friend had sent his application form and was received by CIC but later recognized that in Additional Family Information form, he has written all names in English but forgot to write in native language as it was asked on top.

Is that going to be a problem? anyone who did the same mistake has gone through ???

Pls provide ur inputs.

Thanks in advance

Relax, it will not be a problem..!!

 

[Century]

Even if we consider everything else to be correct in above assumption ( well, that is still a big IF), there is still one big assumption to be considered in this "model". I think in may-14 at least, the number of application received by CIC would be high in first week. This would be those people whose package got returned under FSW-2014 and they were always ready for FSW-2014.
However, from 2nd week onwards, mostly non FSW-2013 would have started sending their applications. These are those people who would have "mostly" started ECA/IELTS after FSW - 2014 announcement.
Hence, "average" assumption made above is mostly skewed due to first week may-data and bound to give pessimistic outcome.

You are dead right. +1 mate.

 

[can2174]

Even if we consider everything else to be correct in above assumption ( well, that is still a big IF), there is still one big assumption to be considered in this "model". I think in may-14 at least, the number of application received by CIC would be high in first week. This would be those people whose package got returned under FSW-2014 and they were always ready for FSW-2014.
However, from 2nd week onwards, mostly non FSW-2013 would have started sending their applications. These are those people who would have "mostly" started ECA/IELTS after FSW - 2014 announcement.
Hence, "average" assumption made above is mostly skewed due to first week may-data and bound to give pessimistic outcome.

agreed, remember people were skeptical about if there would be new rules or point system announced and were trying to hold till 1st may. that is why very less applications were recieved on 1st may. so people who were confident that thr no change in rules sent on 1st or 2nd may and thats why you see huge surge of application on 6th/7th may assuming 4-5 days of transition time

 

[Nav2132]

Guys

Do CIC receives applications on saturdays ..??? or only 5 working days..?

 

[owenhargo]

Then this 50*1000=50,000. So why the total cap is only 25,000???

Yes, they take Max of 1000 per cap and when the total application (all 50 NOC) reached 25000, they stops