Hi Guys, here is my rough analysis about the cap although this is just an hypothesis.. Only God knows...
I agree that the latest status update is as of the third week since the FSW program was opened. Looking at it, I believe they are the complete applications as of May 24/25, 2013... For NOC 2174, there are 120... I can't wait for the next update and if the applicants as of May 30/31 starts to have their CC charged, I am thinking the next update is due... This is if my assumption is correct. The next update will also give us somehow the total number of complete applications for the whole month of May...
Now let us look at the RECEIVED applications in the spreadsheet per month:
May 97
June 42
July 38
August 3
I also believe that the spreadsheet approximately represents a trend for NOC 2174 than any other job codes... Looking at it, the turnaround of received applications in June decreased in half compared to May... Given this I believe that the next update will give us an idea if the cap will also cover the whole month of June...
Example, if there are approximately 60-80 applications added to 120 completed now by the next cap update (represents the whole of May), that will give us 180-200 applications in the fourth week... And if the trending above is true... by 4th week of June, we'll probably have 270-300 completed applications. This is only a prediction... I think the cap will be reached sometime by 4th of June or 1st week of July... Oh well, prayers can always move mountains! I came here in the first time thinking that the cap will be reached in only one week! But look at it now.... ;D