CRS Score 390-400

[averma]

Hi,

I am planning to apply in EE this year. As per the comprehensive ranking system points calculator on CIC website, my score is 390. I am aware that lowest cutoff till date is 451. I wanted to have an opinion if there are any chances of cut off going below 390 within this year.

Thanks.

 

[sanjj]

I guess it's very tough to predict chances....I am at 376 and still hopeful

 

[averma]

Sanjj, all the very best!!!! Thanks for replying. Yes, we can all hope for the best.

I was calculating my CRS score on CIC website and came across age factor. It says "What is your age at the time of receiving Invitation to Apply"
At this point, I am 29 years of age and would be creating an EE profile by the end of this month because by then I will have my ECA report. I would be turning 30 on 2nd October 2015 and am assuming that it will take minimum 45-60 days to receive an ITA considering the fact that lowest cut off has been 451. I am actually confused and unable to decide as to what age should I put in computing my CRS score i.e. should I enter 29 or 30?

 

[sanjj]

How much difference does it make? When you create EE profile you will enter your current age. You are not sure if you get ITA in 6 months or 12 months, so you cann't predict that. Once you enter your current age it will automatically calculate points based on that.

 

[AnkySonu]

Even I have 376 points and waiting for ITA ...Need to be hopeful. If this 14th draw will come out soon we would have an idea!!!! Let see and hope for the best ...

 

[AnkySonu]

Dear Dan,

After reading this, I am thinking, we should not even keep hope for at least this year except if our scores increase. :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'(

Anyways thank you so much for showing this reality ..very very thankful to you.

You opened my eyes ......

 

[averma]

Thanks Dan, it was really an eye opener.

Assuming the cut offs don't come down to 370-400 by the end of this year, then in that case do we need to reapply in January next year or our applications will be in the pool for one year from the time of application.

 

[zainab.p]

Hi ..
M at 400 crs. Luking at the stats n midvyr report ..Every week 915 new apps r abv 450crs among the 1500 new. So even in the comng yr wer thier source is ee nly will 400 crs reach den???

 

[DXB]

Mate, please use standard English spelling when posting here. I am not a native English speaker myself, and this is very hard to read and understand.

I think you're asking whether or not the score will come down to 400 next year once the backlog is cleared. It's very difficult to say because we don't know exactly:

- how long it will take to work through the remaining paper applications, and how many there are
- what the immigration targets will be for 2016 (they will be published in November this year)
- how exactly the immigration targets translate into ITAs (this is very intransparent at the moment for a host of reasons)

So I think chances are definitely better once it's EE candidates only, but it's impossible to say when and how much scores will come down.

Hi Dan,

One figure that I will be interested at the end of 2015 will be - How many of the issued ITAs actually converted into the PRs. Quiet a few get rejected and then they reapply and some of them even get rejected twice. Once CIC actually identify the 'miss-hits' they might issue higher number of ITAs to cover this deficit. This may give hopes to people around the 400 mark.

 

[4mallikharjuna]

There is a chance of course, but it is very low.

The mid-year report gave us some valuable information in this regard:
http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/resources/reports/ee-midyear-2015.asp

At the current frequency and number of ITAs per draw, it is unlikely that the score will drop way beyond ~450. This seems to be the rough equilibrium for the number of ITAs per month and the monthly pool growth rate of ~6,000 profiles.

In the first half of 2015, CIC have invited ~12,000 candidates. As explained above, if they invite the same amount in the second half of 2015, scores will not drop significantly (provided the pool growth rate and the score distribution of newcomers stays roughly the same).

For the scores to drop to 400 by the end of this year, CIC would have to invite at least 8,770 candidates in addition to the 12,000 mentioned above. This is because there were 8,770 candidates between 400-449 points. In reality, the number would have to be even higher because this bracket will also keep growing through the rest of the year.

So, realistically, unless CIC basically more than doubles the number of invitations for the rest of the year, scores will not come down to 400 points.

There is a possibility for program-specific draws and scores might drop further for specific programs if the score distributions is vastly different among the programs (but we don't have any information about this).

Colin Singer: Annual levels for 2015 have been raised to between 260,000 - 285,000 which will represent Canada's highest immigration levels in 5 years. Canada's annual admissions this year will derive significantly from the Express Entry system. Beginning in 2016 the majority of economic class admissions to Canada will derive from this system.

We can observe that after the first 4 draws, the minimum CRS scores averaged 465 in 8 of the 9 subsequent draws, through the end of July 2015. The lowest CRS score was 451. Many candidates received an invitation without LMIA or PNP nomination.

We expect that in order for CIC to reach its annual immigration levels, CRS scores will significantly decline into the 300's in future draws. This will favor candidates without an LMIA or PNP,

http://www.mondaq.com/canada/x/417798/general+immigration/Express+Entry+Immigration+The+First+7+Months

 

[zainab.p]

Thx dan for the information .
Then we can do is just wait ..for nov report.
Though the no of app(itas) who couldn't turn to pr would be significantly less . As it was previously in fsw .
Hope m clear ib writing now 8)

 

[sujeetraja]

Sanjj, all the very best!!!! Thanks for replying. Yes, we can all hope for the best.

I was calculating my CRS score on CIC website and came across age factor. It says "What is your age at the time of receiving Invitation to Apply"
At this point, I am 29 years of age and would be creating an EE profile by the end of this month because by then I will have my ECA report. I would be turning 30 on 2nd October 2015 and am assuming that it will take minimum 45-60 days to receive an ITA considering the fact that lowest cut off has been 451. I am actually confused and unable to decide as to what age should I put in computing my CRS score i.e. should I enter 29 or 30?

You can put your age as 29 for calculating the comprehensive score. But once you turn 30, i.e. after 2nd October 2015 your points will be calculated on 30, which means by the time you get an invitation your age would be 30. Hence it is ideal to calculate your CRS score taking the age as 30.

 

[averma]

Thanks sujeetraja.. Thats exactly what I have done and ended up scoring 390. Hoping for the best.

 

[AnkySonu]

I heard that 14th draw is out and its 471 ..we have long way to reach i guess ...)

 

[DXB]

I heard that 14th draw is out and its 471 ..we have long way to reach i guess ...)

No one knows the answer to your question. Most of us are in the same boat. Do whatever you cando to improve your CRS score and keep an eye on the up coming PNP programmes.

All the best !!!!