CRS 430 and above without Canadian experience connect here!!!

[pacificislander]

The 10% as a sample is only valid on some PNP threads where people were sharing their timelines (for example Ontario PNP applicants).
When it comes to ITA, we have have only app.2 to 3% sample.
When it comes to just sharing current CRS score without any precise waiting queue, the sample will be much lower (not all want to share their score which is not good enough to get them anywhere at the moment).
Furthermore, not everybody stays in the same score range over the time (some will hit temporary work visa or studies in Canada, some will try to max their IELTS or the IELTS of their spouse, some learn second language and then some will manage to get PNP nomination).
But yes, it is true that with the time, there will be more and more EE created. Yet, to get any idea about Dynamics (how was this group changing over the time), we need to have several datas in time. And so far we only have 2015 data, which is not enough to do some estimation.

Perhaps the point of this thread is to share the possibility of getting an ITA regardless of the data. Because at the end of the day, the data and estimate that we made will no longer be relevant because only the IRCC/CIC have the idea the direction they are headed to. Even if the score next draw will go up or go down, we can't control the scores that we have but somehow because of the community provided by this forum, I feel glad to know that I have some folks out there on the same situation. ;D

 

[nabilkhan]

yes, I can recall it. There are few points that has to be taken into considerations -

1. As per this report "Refocusing Express Entry 2016" 57,500 people were active in the pool in May 2016.

2. As per http://www.cicnews.com/2016/11/express-entry-human-capital-skills-experience-more-prominent-under-new-system-118705.html, there 61000 active candidates in the pool in October 2016.

Obviously, the increase was due to small draw sizes and higher CRS from April 2016 to September 2016.

After October 2016, more than 23000+ candidates have received the ITAs. This provides some information that total candidates in the pool would be quite less - may be less than 45000+.

Obviously, we dont know how many between 430 to 452.

On February 24, 2016 there was a draw with CRS 453 and size was just 1484. While on 25th January, CRS is same but ITAs were 3508. So what does it indicate?

Does it mean that crowding of Canadian students with 423+ and 438+ scores were quite huge and they have got the ITAs with extra points or there again good number of Canadian students in the range of 410, 420 and 430s, who have equally crowded 430 to 450 range.

Any thoughts?

Also, the same report "Refocusing Express Entry 2016" clearly highlights that following five points -

…but early outcomes and feedback from stakeholders have revealed areas for
improvement:
• As of May 2016, immigrants with valid job offers (44%) or nominations (15%) have accounted for the
majority of invitations, meaning only (41%) were invited mainly on the basis of their human capital.
• Because of the high volume of candidates with scores of 600 or more, and modest invitation
rounds, the invitation cut‐off score has never decreased below 450 points, making it difficult for
candidates with high levels of human capital to receive invitations
• Many candidates with offers of arranged employment claim very low levels of human capital;
• A significant number of candidates are invited on the basis of offers of arranged employment in lowwage
occupations;
• Candidates and employers have expressed frustration with the requirement to provide a Labour
Market Impact Assessment to validate an offer of arranged employment, and the requirement that
offers of arranged employment be “indeterminate” in duration; and,
• Stakeholders have raised concerns that candidates with Canadian study experience are not
specifically advantaged within the Comprehensive Ranking System.

IRCC has given extra points to students as per the last bullet. That is taken care. The CRS is dropping and will continue till high levels of human capital. Now what is considered high levels of human capital??? 450? 440? 430? 420? 410 or 400?

The only indicative answer to what is high levels of human capital is given by OINP is cut off 400.

Well, this my study. You can have your thoughts.

only I disagree with current figures...i.e. 45000.....
as of January 2016 - 60000 active profiles...
and in October 2016 - around 61000......
it means new profiles are keep coming up.......
even though there were few big draws... but I still believe there are 55000-60000 active profiles...because students are more active than ever before....

 

[rhonny20]

In this case, will the trend suggests that adaptability will be a priority? because A decrease in points awarded to LMIA and job offers concludes that the trend is shifting to another direction giving priority to those with good English, Canadian experience and education...

giving extra points for canadian sibling is already a future proposal by immigration minister...so i assume when the score are getting down , they can add extra points to those having siblings in canada which will again raise up the CRS for some people. Again this is a mere assumption

 

[Pawshi]

by the how many students in this group?

 

[jj0502]

438

 

[lavanya_vetagire]

I am at 450