screech339 said:
Does this mean you support 4/6 rule since it effects everyone regardless of when one landed. That is the premise of your argument since it is fair to everyone. So I am being "selfish" for wanting those who landed after the rule to follow new law and those who landed before 4/6 rule to follow 3/4 rule. This premise is no difference from those getting citizenship based on when they were born. Thanks.
I am more indifferent about it that most people. Passing this bill means I can apply now. If they dont, I apply next year. Doesnt make a whole lot of difference, although like everyone else I would like to be done with all this immigration business once and for all. So sooner the better. I like that it gives credit to people who have already been living here for a while on a valid temp resident visa. I would have been fine if they kept 4/6 with credit.
I do not care if the processing time goes from average 4-6 months in the best case scenarios now (based on the spreadsheets available in the other threads) to 12 months since at the end of the day you still get it sooner rather than later.
Secondly, the main reason for faster processing now is because C24 in 2015 made a lot of people ineligible suddenly. So the number of people applying suddenly dropped (by about 50%). You can check CIC for the numbers. These people will start to be eligible this year and next year and eventually the numbers would rise again regardless of Bill C6 passing or not. The drop in application number is temporary.
As an example:
Pre June 2015 : say a 100 people apply every year (2 year + 1 yr credit applicants and 3 year applicants).
Post June 2015 : 50 people apply. new rules mean some have to wait longer (temp residents who would have used credit + people who have 3 years cant apply this year, only people with 4 years).
Pose June 2016 : 60- 70 people apply (some 3 year applicants who couldnt last year are now eligible.)
Post June 2016 : 80-90 ( all the temp residents who could not use credit start applying this year and onwards)
Eventually the number of applications will reach equilibrium/terminal velocity. My numbers are guesstimates to illustrate my point. Take them with a grain of salt.
I expect the 4/6 rule is tougher to meet for some applicants compared to 3/5 with credit. So if they dont pass the bill, there will eventually be a reduction of 10-20% applications once we reach terminal velocity.
Unless you are applying for your wife this year, it wont make much of a difference in processing times in a few years with or without this bill. Processing times are going to go up. The only thing I am not sure is the effect of the higher fees. It doesnt affect me much but it might to larger families.