surgi said:
You are right we have to react. It seems that the opposition will vote against the bill. The difference between opposition and majority is around 30 members. We have to win the support of about 30 members of the majority. There are many of them who are already first and second generation. We have to do some efforts. I met a friend who in contact with some politicians and he lives here since 22 year. He told me he thinks that many of the CP may not attend the voting process,not only to escape from the embarassement he/she may face from the voters in his constituent, but also because the CP would like to do that too. The CP may put the opposition in a critical situation during voting if they bring an equal number of voter members (during voting) of majority and the opposition.He thinks that some members of the opposition would vote for the Bill. If some of CP members vote against,then nobody will be able to know who vote for what??But if equal numbers vote and the Bil pass ,it means that part of the opposition voted for the Bill,then everybody will be involved and the opposition can not take an advantage and say they voted against!!! it is a game that is all!! In addition,Many legal firms and lawyers are ready to struggle against this Bill as it gives unprecedental and unilateral power to the minister to revoke or withdraw the citizenship. This is a big problem for some lawyers who depends on these legal conflicts between some applicants and the federal government. This touches their daily bread!!
With respect, I think that this is a fantasy. First of all, you are not going to peel off 30 members of the Conservative majority, that is not how Harper's government works. I think you will actually get 0 -- but maybe, just maybe, there are a few conservatives in tenuous ridings in the GTA who get permission to vote against the bill. I doubt it. This bill is not central to the Conservative policy, but it is central to their world-view. Be glad it's 4/6 years, and not 4/5, or 6/7.
Furthermore, any CP members who vote against the bill will be more than balanced by members of the NDP and Liberals who vote for the bill. Remember, the government doesn't actually need any opposition votes to pass this bill -- and, the government is associated with it, this is Harper's and Alexander's work. Do the Liberals and the NDP want to be criticized for being 'un-Canadian' in the new election? To be called the parties that support 'giving away' Canadian citizenship? They do not . . . They will vote for this bill, and the immigrants who hate it will still vote for them later on, because they know that it is Stephen Harper's law. This is like a free vote for the Opposition, supporting this bill has no downside at all for them. Opposing it does.
Finally, suppose that you did get some organization of immigrants who actually started to get some traction? Can you imagine the headlines? "Immigrants battle for cheap citizenship!" "Immigrants outraged at requirement to live in Canada!" Your success would breed its own counter-organization, and that counter-organization would be 100 times more effective. Once you get the first tiniest foothold, it would become impossible for politicians to support you. Basically, we immigrants don't have standing to oppose this bill (in the eyes of many Canadians).
Does this mean that there is nothing you can do? Not at all -- but instead of opposing the bill, you have to select what parts of it you oppose. Personally, I would suggest a few routes:
- taking away the pre-PR qualifying time (totally unfair)
- setting implementation time one year in the future (give CIC time to train and develop its procedures to avoid another ghastly RQ-type mess)
- clarifying the implications of the 'Intent to Reside' clause, and making it congruent with the Charter
And never get the idea that people support you -- they don't. There are two things that will slow this bill down: revisions, or other scandals elsewhere in the government. The person who wrote that 'no news is good news' was 100% wrong -- no news means the bill is trundling along towards being a law, any news at all means that the government might get tied up elsewhere.