Some inferences based on Toronto/Scarbrough location entries from the google sheet.
- Paper applicants
- Oath ceremonies for August'21 paper applicants are being set up for June'22.
- Oath ceremonies for most June-July'21 paper applicants were completed by May'22.
- Online applicants
- Oath ceremonies for July'21 online applicants are being set up for June'22.
- Oath ceremonies for most May-June'21 online applicants were completed by June'22
At this pace, a good number of Toronto August applicants who have their BG completed earlier than May can expect oath letters and ceremonies in June to mid-August 2023 period.
I am optimistic here. Hope IRCC can keep improving their timelines in all regions.
I also see a few 2020 applicants stuck after completing their BG, test in early 2022 and still waiting for updates. I really hope their applications also reach the final stages and finally find relief.