links18 said:
CO can approve known physical prescence shortfall cases w/o referring to CJ. They are fully empowered to administer the Koo test on their own if they want to (as explained in various CIC operation manuals). But the bigger point in this case is that it is not even clear this is an actual short fall case. The OP has expressed doubts that he really was short on physical presence days. As such, and given the CIC identified shortfall is so insignificant, I think OP stands some decent chance of convincing CO to approve. No guarantee offered.
This, I think, is an accurate assessment of the OP's situation.
While it is not clear this is a shortfall case, since the OP declared APP over the 1095 day APP threshold, given the amount of time that has elapsed since the test/interview, the request for the I-94, and the indication in the ATIP of 1091 days APP, it is likely the application is being reviewed for a residency assessment. Difficult to forecast how this goes. My sense is that if the Officer reviewing the file has little concern about the OP's credibility, the oath will be scheduled. If, in contrast, there is some concern about the OP's credibility, there might be RQ.
The discrepancy itself, between what the OP declared and what is indicated IRCC has ascertained, appears to be relatively substantial albeit not egregiously so. It appears the OP applied declaring approximately 1109 or so days APP (met 1095 threshold Feb 2, 2015, and applied Feb 16). 18 day discrepancy is well over the guideline in use back in 2012 and 2013 (per internal memos obtained by ATI requests) for triggering RQ. We know the RQ criteria has changed significantly since then, but the criteria is considered confidential information and it is difficult for the public to get this information (what was obtained back in 2012 and 2013 was obtained in the course of many ATI requests, by multiple persons, and demanded close reading and analysis, comparing the information in the several responses, which was largely limited to internal memos only indirectly referring to the criteria, and as time went on more and more was redacted from these responses). In any event, the shortfall (as indicated in the ATIP) is small enough, that if the reviewing Officer concludes any discrepancy is incidental, an unintentional or largely innocent mistake, there is good odds the next step will be the oath. But there is no guarantee that is how the officer will see this. So the next step could easily be RQ.
All the OP needs to do for now is to wait, wait and watch eCas and the mail for what comes next.
Some further, long observations re tangential discussions:
I am not an authority. I am not an expert. I do not purport to be an authority or an expert. Indeed, many times in my posts I often include a reminder that I am no expert.
However, I make a concerted effort to be accurate. In particular, I make a concerted effort to do the homework and cite actual authority in addition to posting based on information provided by actual authority, including formal information provided by IRCC and
official information as is provided in the Parliamentary Business webpages, the official statutory and regulatory provisions at the
Justice Laws website, and the official interpretation and application of law prescribed in Federal Court decisions (regarding actual cases).
In addition to making a concerted effort to cite authoritative sources, I also make a concerted effort to distinguish when I am offering opinion, and I usually couch my opinions in language which indicates the nature of the opinion. For example, I often refer to what
I guess, and more than occasionally emphasize that it really is a
guess. Otherwise I typically couch opinions as "my impression," "my sense," "my take," which words are employed to express varying degrees of confidence in the opinion I am expressing. Otherwise, some of my opinions are derived from careful analysis of reliable information (like official statutes and court decisions) and my language for these is more declarative, but for these I nonetheless try to explain both the underlying authoritative sources and my reasoning. Hence, my posts tend to go way longer than most. I try to provide information which those who might actually consider it in the course of their own decision-making can (1) look to the authoritative sources for confirmation, and (2) use their own best judgment in applying, to their own situation, the observations I have made.
But yes, indeed, I make mistakes. Too many. And I am always glad to see someone correct my mistakes. The objective, after all, is to engage in a joint effort to illuminate real information as well as we can. Well, that is the objective of many participants here, but unfortunately not all.
In contrast:
Diplomatru said:
dpenabill,
I can quote several of your long reads prior to C-6 when you insisted that restoring pre-PR credit will take years or that C-6 second reading will take place sometime in Fall. So, as the say in Japan, "Saru mo ki kara ochiru".
No. Not true. Not merely a mis-characterization, not merely misleading, but more of the same outright misinformation.
Observations made after and regarding Bill C-6:
While I initially said I thought it is
likely the second reading would not be done for
months, I have
never "insisted" on any time line, have mostly and consistently avoided even
guessing what the timeline will be, and have always couched my timeline observations in terms of likelihood. And, to the extent I have offered an opinion, as usual I also explained my reasons for my opinion so those who read my opinion can draw their own conclusions.
That said, the overwhelming majority of my posts regarding the Bill C-6 time line are similar to the following:
My post in topic titled "Re: bill c-6 - when is going to be approved?" March 3:
dpenabill said:
Some time this year, probably, but no guarantees.
Same topic, March 7:
dpenabill said:
While I am not joining the office pool bets for Bill C-6, I have suggested this year OR next year.
If compelled to narrow it more, I'd suggest it is unlikely the the 3/5 rule will take effect before the Fall, at the soonest, regardless of the timeline for Bill C-6 to reach Royal Assent.
Same topic, March 14:
dpenabill said:
While the timeline for Bill C-6 cannot be reliably predicted, it is likely it will be adopted and become law.
In another topic:
dpenabill said:
Speculating on the timeline for Bill C-6 is just that, speculating. Sometime this year or next year is as good a guess anyone can reasonably make.
Consistently, in another topic a couple days ago I posted:
dpenabill said:
While I have avoided, and for the most part will continue to do so, the guessing game as to when certain provisions in Bill C-6 (like the 3/5 rule, which is the one of most interest here) will come into force, I would caution against planning based on an expectation of when the 3/5 rule will apply.
In contrast, the Bill itself is more or less likely to proceed through the process fairly quickly, subject to potential stalling by the Senate, given that (1) adopting Bill C-6 into law will demonstrate the government is fulfilling its election campaign promises, even if parts do not actually come into force until much later; and (2) there appears to be some urgency in getting the repeal of Subsection 10.(2) in the Citizenship Act done, which is one of the provisions in Bill C-6 which will take force as soon as there is Royal Assent (thus effecting the a Canadian is a Canadian is a Canadian policy).
In sum: I would caution against expecting the 3/5 rule to take effect any time soon no matter how quickly Bill C-6 is adopted.
Which is consistent with what I posted in another topic:
dpenabill said:
It is worth noting, however, that repealing section 10.(2) and related provisions in the Citizenship Act (those provisions authorizing revocation of citizenship for crimes committed while a citizen, said to create two-tiered citizenship) appears to be a quite high priority for this government, and per Bill C-6 the other changes are being included in getting this campaign promise done. So there is some indication this legislation could proceed on a relative fast-track.
Actual date of adoption, Royal Assent, and in particular implementation of requirement changes for grant citizenship, nonetheless remains UNKNOWN. Best speculation appears to be late this year to late next year, with perhaps better odds leaning toward before summer 2017, but that is far from certain and within that time frame one can only guess, guess wildly.
Prior to Bill C-6:
Contrary to the misinformation, my observations about prospective changes (
back in 2015, between the election of the Liberal government but before a Bill was actually tabled), did
not insist on any particular time line nor any specific changes beyond restating what it was the Liberal government had said it was going to do. I did caution against making plans based on any changes taking place soon, emphasizing that the legislative process takes time, and that it could take years (with detailed explanation for this observation) . . .
not that it would take years, but that it could, so do not plan on it happening real soon. And indeed, there is still a significant probability that the restoration of credit for PR time, for example, will not take effect until sometime in 2017, and at the soonest it is likely to be at least late 2016.
Some of my
opinions have been wrong. It would be amazing if I was never wrong. I am not amazing.
For example, I thought, and made such an observation (probably more than once), that the government might proceed to repeal Section 10.(2) in the
Citizenship Act sooner and separately, given the high profile priority this had in the election campaign promises, and later table separate legislation to do things like restore pre-landing credit and repeal the provision requiring an
intent to continue to reside in Canada. I overlooked the obvious, which is what I perceive to be happening, that the government could essentially do both, that is it could table a Bill (and it has, tabling Bill C-6) which repeals Section 10.(2) and which also makes changes such as restoring pre-landing credit and repealing the
intent to reside requirement, and then pursue the adoption of the Bill on a fairly fast track, so as to quickly repeal Section 10.(2), in the meantime allowing (per a subsequent decision as to actual date) the later implementation of changes to grant citizenship requirements (which per Bill C-6, as presently constituted, includes the new 3/5 rule in addition to restoring pre-landing credit and repealing the
intent to reside requirement).
Otherwise, however, and generally my observations about prospective changes prior to when the Bill itself was actually tabled did not insist on any timeline nor even as to what the changes would be.
In particular, prior to the tabling of Bill C-6, for example, the following are typical observations I made:
dpenabill said:
There are real changes on the table. During the formal consultation process the scope of what changes will be included in the actual legislation is likely to change, probably expanded in some respects, potentially pulled back in some.
Personally I doubt the government will cut back the 4/6 requirement itself, but I also recognize that doing so is nonetheless a significant possibility . . . and that the extent of that possibility is at least in part tied to the input the public has between now and when the legislation is tabled.
As to when a Bill to amend the Citizenship Act will actually be tabled, we can only guess. Doing so, however, is among the Minister's priorities, as mandated by the Prime Minister, but there are also many other priorities, there being a great deal to do.
Another post:
dpenabill said:
Guessing, my guess is that the 3/4 rule is not going to be part of the changes proposed, but as I have said before, this probably depends on what input the public has and whether or not a strong case for bring back a 3/4 rule is made during the consultation process.
Another early January post:
dpenabill said:
Explicit indications of changes to be made to the Citizenship Act in regards to provisions adopted in Bill C-24 include:
Justin Trudeau's mandate letter to Minister McCallum specifically called for the Minister to work with the Public Safety Minister to draft legislation to repeal provisions of the Citizenship Act which would revoke citizenship of dual nationals for acts committed while a citizen.
The mandate letter also specifically instructed the Minister to draft legislation to restore credit for temporary residence in Canada prior to becoming a PR, and to remove the provision requiring a declaration of intent to reside in Canada as a requirement for grant citizenship (naturalized citizenship).
Changes in legislation take time. In the context of typical timelines for such legislation, "soon" means within the next two years, perhaps three year. Whether these changes will be made within the next two or three years, that is "soon," is difficult to forecast. But at the least, the government has initiated the process by mandating these changes are a "priority" for the responsible Minister.
Regarding language difficulties versus outright erroneous information:
Politren said:
dpenabill
Keep in mind that most of us are not that high in English proficiency. Most of us (The PR) are coming from the 3rd world and our mother language is completely different.
Me personally , I have big difficulties to understand your long statements full with some kind of sophisticated English words which I hear for the first time and therefore have no idea what they mean.
There is no communication in that way.
Use short post with easy to understand English.
To be clear, I did not draft the language in Bill C-6. You are the one who posted that the repeal of the
intent to reside requirement will not be retroactive. That was totally wrong. Indeed, the way in which this provision is handled by Bill C-6 will make it as if that provision never existed. It is, as I said, as retroactive as any law can be.
There is no blaming this on language difficulties.
Beyond that, I understand that my vocabulary and sentence structure and length of composition are probably difficult enough for more than a few whose first language is English, let alone for those it is not. I have been a career writer researching and writing about the law for more than a quarter century, and a jurist for nearly four decades, and before that . . . let's just acknowledge I am an old man with a deeply entrenched writing style, mostly geared to addressing a professional audience.
Sometimes I make a concerted effort to more simply and directly state my observations. I do this,
when I have time, when responding specifically to a query posed by someone who clearly needs things stated more directly and simply.
But my longer expository posts are not for everyone. I expect most participants to skip or at least skim over them. I am not trying to engage in casual conversation. Different participants in the forum fill various roles. I make an effort to fill in the gaps, address the nuances, illuminate the formalities, identify and cite authoritative and official sources of information, to in essence provide in-depth analysis and reporting on certain issues. Not for everyone. Not for most actually.
I also recognize that more than a few are viewing this site on something like a smartphone, not even a pad size device let alone a computer monitor (in contrast I am looking at an array of monitors, monitor to the left of me, monitor to the right, and a big one in the middle; the smallest of these is a 23" monitor; thus I can see, just glancing to the right or left, the statutes and regulations and IRCC web pages all at the same time while I am keying a response). I realize my posts are nearly impossible to read on such devices. But anyone who is not interested in my analysis, or otherwise in-depth reporting, should be able to ignore and scroll past. My posts are not for everyone. I hope they offer some information of interest and use, for some, but again I realize they are not for everyone.
To some extent, part of what I try to do is fill in the background, context, sources, and reasoning, in the hope that those who are here to provide others information read enough to help them be more informed and in turn more informative. I certainly rely on many others here to learn things I do not already know, to alert me of changes, to alert me of mistakes I have made, and to help me get a better understanding of various aspects in the process affecting citizenship applicants and PRs dealing with PR issues (these are the two areas of discussion I engage in). Meaning, again, many of my posts are not for everyone, or even most.