This is my new opinion.
1.
Federal Skilled Workers (including Federal Skilled Trades) 47,000~51,000
CEC 21,000~23,000
Notice – Supplementary Information to the 2015 Immigration Levels Plan
http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/media/notices/2014-11-06.asp
2. We also need to think there is a inventory before 2015.
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ottawas-new-express-entry-immigration-system-slow-off-the-mark/article23801745/comments/
A majority of economic immigrants arriving in 2015 will be drawn from the pool of people who applied to enter Canada in the years before Express Entry was introduced, Ms. Nadeau said. It is not clear exactly how large a portion of overall immigration will come from Express Entry candidates.
“They're going to meet their overall annual target, even if the majority are from the inventory,” said Naomi Alboim, an immigration expert who teaches public policy at Queen's University.
“They have a big inventory of applications that were in place before Jan. 1 and they're processing two parallel systems.”
Good news is "The number of new permanent residents coming through the program is expected to grow in 2016 to about half of all admissions"
3. I guess majority score group is 450-350.
And I guess the waiting pool like this
400-450 7,200
350-400 12,000
350-330 4,500
Total 23,700
I am estimating based on a sample from this spreadsheet.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13Hf5KT35xOJMzlHo9KVenqYSrZFTjt0qc_PZgrI4mls/edit#gid=1121320176
4. There are new applicants flooding each month.
In Conclusion,
My point is 321.
It comes to gloomy prediction to me.
I will try and depend on LMIA.