38th draw <GUESS>

[princesohal2003]

Any chance the draw will be 464 points or less next draw?

 

[manidhatt]

Re: 38th draw

Any chance the draw will be 464 points or less next draw?

Very less likely. Only if they switch back to 1300+ ITAs then also it may take upto 2 draws to bring cut off down to 460s

 

[LokiJr01]

Re: 38th draw

I believe there's a direct correlation between the cut off score and ITA invites - higher score means less invitees; while a lower score opens up to more invitees.

At this moment, all we can do is speculate (and to some, rant some more). It never hurts to be hopeful for a lower cut off score each draw - makes more people happy

 

[andy108]

It wont go down right now.

Only if the number of invites will be increased it will go down.

However, marginal decrease in points will take place anyway towards november - december due to slowing down activity of applicants.

Guys I invite you to add your CRS Scores details to the CRS Tracker. there is a report in the tracker to estimate upcoming score, the more entries in the tracker the better accuracy of the report.

 

[intensecool]

I believe it will come down to 470's line this time. Keeping in mind the reduction of CRS despite similar number of invitations, i am hopeful that the backlog is being cleared slowly, i expect the next draw to come in line with around 475-480 with similar invitations or 800-1000 expected.

The draws will go to 450-455 by the year end with 460s being picked up in the next 3-4 months to come as the backlogs are cleared and PNP's are not issued.

 

[Dexmoody]

Re: 38th draw

I believe there's a direct correlation between the cut off score and ITA invites - higher score means less invitees; while a lower score opens up to more invitees.

Not only is there a direct correlation, there is direct cause and effect.

CIC determine the number of invites they want to issue, and those invites get issued to the top ranked candidates. The cut-off score is only the result of that process. The only thing the cut-off score is saying is that the 773 top-ranked candidates had a CRS score of 482 points or better (to use last draw's example).

It is of course clear that as soon as CIC issue more ITAs, the cut-off scores will drop (all else being equal).

 

[Prats6]

Man this is getting depressing. Not the points per se (I am at 460) but the fewer invites. I am absolutely not sure what CIC are upto. It would have been better if they atleast made people aware of their targets.

 

[LokiJr01]

After all is said and done, I think we're all referring to the same thing....just a difference in the use of terms and perspective.

I really believe the cut off will drop soon...in all probability not this month (but who knows!) but it will drop....I'd say from the CIC's perspective, they're bracing for that moment when they turn the tap and let thousands of applicants in (then pre-maturely turn it back off because of the sheer number included in the cut off).

 

[Slyke]

When is their 2016 mid year report due to be published? Would be interesting to get some insights to the number of people now waiting at 455+ since it has been 480+ the last few draws.

 

[princesohal2003]

I get that they are trying to clear a back log but what about the back log they have created since the past 4 or 5 months where they have decided to stubbornly keep the points up to 480s. I don't know how they are thinking this through but if i have to wait couple more months to get my ita then I'm gna have to deal with the mess of applying for extension of my work permit. I'm sitting at 464 points and i really wish liberals never came into power because they really have done nothing helpful and have made things much worst. Liberals really need to stop putting on a show for the world with their refugee programs and feminism and Marijuana laws nonsense and focus on more important things and grow up.

 

[dewk]

Very less likely to happen in the next draw. Should take another 3 to 4 draws atleast for the score to go around 460 as the number of ITA will significantly increase with this score. Probably end of August or from September onwards we can expect it.

 

[mvd]

CRS should fall after july16

 

[ovi1985]

CRS should fall after july16

Is there any reason behind that or is it a wild guess?

 

[expressraja]

Is there any specific reason for inviting just around 700+ in the previous four draws? Can we expect around 1000+ draws in the coming draw?

 

[saumil29]

just cant keep guessing any more....no one really knows what they are up to....how come 700+ people with excellent scores just keep on adding with each draw whats the source they must be with lima or PNP... a 481 score is for an masters graduate, unmarried, below 30 years with clb 10 all and 3+ years of work exp...which is a perfect kind of profile for a person never been to Canada ( other than doctors "non phd's" or person with bi-linguistic abilities) ..........and if they are not selected who the hell is getting..