21st Draw- 20th November. Scores might drop

[bestofluck]

January 31 and February 7th
February 20th and February 27th
March 20th And March 27th
April 10th and April 17th
July 10th and July 17th

PROBABILITY OF A DRAW IS 25- FAIR LAST THREE TIMES IT HAS BEEN 14 DAYS DRAW SO PROBABILITY INCREASE TO 75

All the above Draws occurred neck to neck in 7 days and once between October 8th and 18th it occurred in 10 days.

IF 5 Draws in 20 occurs neck to neck like before , There are fair chances of a draw tomorrow i.e 20th November

If the Draw happens the scores might reduce and come down very near to 450 again.


Best of Luck for a draw tomorrow. For a Draw tomorrow my guess is 457 and for a Draw on 27th my guess is 464

 

[bestofluck]

At the 23rd Annual Immigration Law Summit held earlier this month in Toronto, Ontario, a spokesperson for Citizenship and Immigration Canada (CIC) made some notable comments about the past, present, and future of draws made from the Express Entry pool. The main takeaway, however, is that the CRS point requirement for Express Entry draws is likely to go down. - See more at: http://www.cicnews.com/2015/11/important-updates-express-entry-selection-system-canadian-immigration-116607.html#sthash.vxPoREZL.dpu

 

[bestofluck]

The above speculations are based on real Probability. If there is no draw on 20th than after 27th draw 100 percent probability of a draw in 7 days..

 

[quarko]

LAST THREE TIMES IT HAS BEEN 14 DAYS DRAW SO PROBABILITY INCREASE TO 75

...

If there is no draw on 20th than after 27th draw 100 percent probability of a draw in 7 days..

May I delve into the depths of your wisdom? What is a probability to flip tails on a 100-th coin flip, if first 99 were heads?

 

[rajkamalmohanram]

May I delve into the depths of your wisdom? What is a probability to flip tails on a 100-th coin flip, if first 99 were heads?

;D ;D ;D ;D ;D LOL

 

[StAnger]

Everyone has right to an opnion, but seriously, one shouldn't take undue advantage of this privilage.

 

[One_Topsy]

May I delve into the depths of your wisdom? What is a probability to flip tails on a 100-th coin flip, if first 99 were heads?

;D ;D ;D Good one!

 

[amanjpro]

May I delve into the depths of your wisdom? What is a probability to flip tails on a 100-th coin flip, if first 99 were heads?

LOL

 

[manpreetdhindsa15]

Hi Bestofluck,

I was very much free at office today, so thought of digging some useful links for the probability and draws predictions available on this forum,
Kindly go through all these threads.

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/19th-draw-any-guessing-t366147.0.html;msg4714706#msg4714706

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/19th-draw-any-guessing-t366147.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/2oth-draw-519-t368521.0.html;msg4725478#msg4725478

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/no-draw-on-30th-a-disappointing-ee-scores-will-be-900-on-13th-nov-t373723.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/20th-draw-anyone-expects-it-on-3oth-october-t372716.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/anyone-expects-a-draw-today-there-has-been-a-draw-on-tuesday-pereviously-t378095.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/13th-november-a-big-draw-awaits-t379124.0.html;msg4769959#msg4769959

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/20th-draw-a-big-one-t370909.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/21st-draw-20th-november-scores-might-drop-t382906.0.html

I was annoyed with the some spam threads(Something in chinese, I really don't understand purpose of those either), then I gladly managed to search for this thread hidden in all those.

All of the above threads are created by "1 person", but you might some useful inputs from the replies in those threads for next prediction.a


I was just thinking "Can't we have just 1 thread,something like 'Prediction of next draw' " ? So that next time someone like me don't have to waste his/her IDLE time to look for helpful links for Future draw predictions, It would be great to have all the "MATHEMATICS"(I really could never understand the probability thing) clubbed at one place.

Cheers...

 

[rajkamalmohanram]

Hi Bestofluck,

I was very much free at office today, so thought of digging some useful links for the probability and draws predictions available on this forum,
Kindly go through all these threads.

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/19th-draw-any-guessing-t366147.0.html;msg4714706#msg4714706

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/19th-draw-any-guessing-t366147.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/2oth-draw-519-t368521.0.html;msg4725478#msg4725478

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/no-draw-on-30th-a-disappointing-ee-scores-will-be-900-on-13th-nov-t373723.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/20th-draw-anyone-expects-it-on-3oth-october-t372716.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/anyone-expects-a-draw-today-there-has-been-a-draw-on-tuesday-pereviously-t378095.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/13th-november-a-big-draw-awaits-t379124.0.html;msg4769959#msg4769959

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/20th-draw-a-big-one-t370909.0.html

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/21st-draw-20th-november-scores-might-drop-t382906.0.html

I was annoyed with the some spam threads(Something in chinese, I really don't understand purpose of those either), then I gladly managed to search for this thread hidden in all those.

All of the above threads are created by "1 person", but you might some useful inputs from the replies in those threads for next prediction.a


I was just thinking "Can't we have just 1 thread,something like 'Prediction of next draw' " ? So that next time someone like me don't have to waste his/her IDLE time to look for helpful links for Future draw predictions, It would be great to have all the "MATHEMATICS"(I really could never understand the probability thing) clubbed at one place.

Cheers...

OMG! All of them started by the same guy !!!

@bestofluck -With all due respect, what are you trying to do here? Why so many "prediction" threads and rhetorical and invalid posts? Why are you earning yourself such a huge -ve rating? You are only making it difficult for new people who might think your advice is correct and follow it. Please stop this abomination. You are very welcome to post something that actually makes some sense. Thanks!

 

[PiyushAgrawal06121985]

While I don't subscribe to bestofluck's train of thought, I think he / she has a right to opinion.

Who are we to say this is an abuse of expression. You don't like it, don't read it.

Very clearly written "Scores might drop".

Clear speculation but hey, who says wishful thinking is a crime. Cmon secretly we hope bestofluck is wrong and the scores are lower than 450

My 2 bits - Christmas is coming, nothing is going to change (new year, new hopes, new quota)

peace!

 

[One_Topsy]

While I don't subscribe to bestofluck's train of thought, I think he / she has a right to opinion.

Who are we to say this is an abuse of expression. You don't like it, don't read it.

Very clearly written "Scores might drop".

Clear speculation but hey, who says wishful thinking is a crime. Cmon secretly we hope bestofluck is wrong and the scores are lower than 450

My 2 bits - Christmas is coming, nothing is going to change (new year, new hopes, new quota)

peace!

I agree! He has a right to opinion.

And while he does, he should learn to offer his opinion responsibly. Just like the EE pool keeps growing, this forum has new member everyday. So therefore, it would not be nice for a new member who created his EE profile recently, doesn't yet understand the system, reads his prediction that the next draw scores will fall dramatically and makes an opinion that CIC uses probability and mathematics to set CRS cut off for the draws..

Basically, his posts may mislead people.

This forum has provided reliable and useful information, let's keep it that way please.

 

[PiyushAgrawal06121985]

Agreed. I am just saying this post atleast mentioned words like "might" as opposed to a very sure stance which bestofluck has taken in the past.

So yeah, all I am saying is lets give the right to opinion so long as it is presented as so.

You can call me the "Tolerant Tyrant"

Have a good day and a +1 to you mate!

 

[Aragorn165]

Actually, this time I do agree with bestofluck's conclusions, if not with how he got there- I think that there is a high probability for the scores to drop in the next draw, whenever that is.

 

[RamsayBolton]

Actually, this time I do agree with bestofluck's conclusions, if not with how he got there- I think that there is a high probability for the scores to drop in the next draw, whenever that is.

I don't think we can predict the draw score at all, for it will change according to CIC's plans. In case of bestofluck, he shouldn't create too many speculation threads, if he wants, he can create a general thread and post all the speculations in there. I also have a quote for him: "Hope is the first step on the road to disappointment."

Sometimes hope is good, but do not raise your hope too high and put all your mind to it, because when it fails, so does your sanity.