Based on the trend, there is a greater likelihood that the 18th Draw would take place on the 9th October. If the first draw of the month falls on a Tuesday as it did last month, then perhaps on the 6th October.
I really wish there would be a draw today though. Currently I've got 440 as my CRS.
I strongly believe though that those of us with a CRS of 430 and above might have a chance before the end of the year of receiving an ITA. I'm no expert, but CIC mentioned they would have a maximum of 25 Express Entry Draws for this year. If CIC does in fact have 25 draws this year and the trend shows an average of 2 draws per month, then draws 18 & 19, would take place in October, 20 & 21 in November, 22 & 23 in December........that leaves us with 2 outstanding draws.......which means there is the chance of 3 draws in either this month or the months to come.
What could more draws per month mean for those of us with 450 and below? It could mean that if CIC continues to issue an average of 1400 ITAs per draw, then the score would get lower the closer the dates are between draws. This is because less amount of persons would be added to the pool in the shortened time frames between draws.
So peeps....keep your hopes up........stay positive. We'd get our ITAs in the upcoming months (i.e. if there'd be 25 draws for 2015, if the average ITAs to be issued stays at approx. 1400+ and if you've got a score of approximately 430 and above)