My belief is that no one can predict the CRS level for a particular draw at the end of particular period..
This is mainly because of the structure of EE pool.
EE pool is dynamic and the inflow of new applicants getting registered, with many applicants profile changed with IELTS / Age / Work exp, It is not possible to predict such things. Even someone commented in previous posts about flow of graduates from universities with CEC. So, number of applicants with different CRS will be varied at all times in EE Pool.
And CIC selects the applicants from EE pool those have highest CRS. (be it with or without LMIA/PNP/CEC) for ex. what happened during 6th draw and 8th draw when CRS touched bottom at 453 CRS. Obviously there will be lesser number of applicants in the EE pool with lower CRS.
However, at the time of 7th and 9th draw, there was a surge in cutoff CRS suggesting that more number of new applicants have entered the pool with higher CRS, thus resulting in higher cutoff leaving the applicants in the pool with lower cutoff waiting for ITAs in future rounds.
So, in my opinion, no one can predict if at a particular period of time, only applicants with particular CRS will be available and that CRS cutoff will be touching a particular level at that time. It is all speculation and rumors.
Disclaimer: this is my opinion. anyone with differences is surely welcomed to express his/her own thoughts.
This is mainly because of the structure of EE pool.
EE pool is dynamic and the inflow of new applicants getting registered, with many applicants profile changed with IELTS / Age / Work exp, It is not possible to predict such things. Even someone commented in previous posts about flow of graduates from universities with CEC. So, number of applicants with different CRS will be varied at all times in EE Pool.
And CIC selects the applicants from EE pool those have highest CRS. (be it with or without LMIA/PNP/CEC) for ex. what happened during 6th draw and 8th draw when CRS touched bottom at 453 CRS. Obviously there will be lesser number of applicants in the EE pool with lower CRS.
However, at the time of 7th and 9th draw, there was a surge in cutoff CRS suggesting that more number of new applicants have entered the pool with higher CRS, thus resulting in higher cutoff leaving the applicants in the pool with lower cutoff waiting for ITAs in future rounds.
So, in my opinion, no one can predict if at a particular period of time, only applicants with particular CRS will be available and that CRS cutoff will be touching a particular level at that time. It is all speculation and rumors.
Disclaimer: this is my opinion. anyone with differences is surely welcomed to express his/her own thoughts.
Uangel said:I wouldn't be so optimistic as they are waiting for a flow of university graduates now. Otherwise, the previous draws should have been more frequent. If the cut-off mark drops, there's a low probability it could go under 500 in the nearest future.
Staying at 401 points, hoping to raise the score up to 480 and get ITA at least by the end of summer...
manhar1985 said:Totally agree with you. So what do you think cut off score will be for 10 draw. My guess is 455. But definately it will come down from 450 may be in 13 or 14th Draw assuming we have two draws every month. Yes all candidates with 400+ score will eventually get ITA's by end of this year for sure
Regards