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  1. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    I wish what all you just said turns out to be true as I will be one of the beneficiaries, but if you see the statistics , the whole draw process is streamlined as if , they had learned from every action they took last year. We have not seen any back to back draws so far this year except for...
  2. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    Well in that case we should still enter 440 club with cutoff around mid Feb -Mar first week 2018 . If we take error margins of 150 more entries for some unknown reasons which may be an unaccounted surge or left over IELTS effect from 13th and 20th July , then also we should hit 440 with mid to...
  3. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    One week draws is one thing IRCC has avoided this year and I am sure they will keep the pattern going. Other than that draw on 1st would mean 3 draw dates in August , which would obviously mean a skip on any one. So I strongly believe they won't disturb the biweekly pattern unless the more than...
  4. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    250 profiles improving to 441 is way too much optimism. For a bachelors degree with other factors taken as optimum, 441 means CLB 10 and it is not a cake walk. For Masters , it usually goes beyond 441 after IELTS results. Even when you take recursive IELTS exam takers , 23rd May would have...
  5. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    Yes , you have nothing to loose except the profile creation date but someone waiting at a CRS below the cutoff would loose an opportunity (as you would get an unwanted ITA given your current situation) and who knows , he/she could also loose 5 points and may not even get a chance again given the...
  6. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    Well , number you are quoting gives a scare and crush the ray of hope , but if we prepare for the worst case and assume 280 per day then let me modify my estimate. Total Entries 280*14 = 3920. If we assume number of people on 441 to be 150 till august 8 then total above 440 = 3920+150 = 4070...
  7. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    Yes , that is indeed pessimistic :D. IRCC allegedly has only three strategies up its sleeves. One , skip a draw ,second, reduce draw size and third,any province issues 500+ nominations in a week to align with draw week. But barring the third , first two strategies would lead IRCC to fall short...
  8. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    I know it is too early for a prediction of any sort but based on established norms of a non-IELTS fortnight, if we take number of 441+ entries per day to be 230 , we can project a rough cutoff. Total Entries 230*14 = 3220. If we assume number of people on 441 to be 150 till august 8 then total...
  9. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    First half of 2018 had been rather slow when it comes to number of ITAs issued as compared to first half of 2017. Last year a total of 86000+ ITA's were issued. Most issued in second half must be contributing to the total count of 2018 as the PR process takes almost 6 months. ITA's as well as...
  10. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    If you want to ponder on something , do it on next probable draw size , because that is the way forward. IELTS do play a role , you might have seen many success stories on previous threads of people shooting there CRS with many retakes of IELTS and at the same time many new aspirants entering...
  11. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    If we try to project the draw size , we could use the figures from last year. In 2017, a total of 86000+ ITAs were issued to meet the annual target of 71000+ . This year's target stand at 74900 and IRCC has issued 47200 so far. So the numbers speak for more or less the same size 2 to 3 more...
  12. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    What about the draw size ? Cutoff will go low only with a bigger or same draw size , don't you think so ?
  13. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    I think you missed to see the sudden surge , after 19th July. It was a collective contribution of 13th July result and 20th July result with some expected left over candidates who may beat us for the next draw as they have not entered the pool yet :P
  14. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    If we see the pool on 19th July , it seems not many from 13th July IELTS entered by 19th and so should be the case for 20th July IELTS on 25th July draw. So we could expect to compete with many left overs from 20th July IELTS in next draw. :D
  15. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    New 1600 in next 6 days , that beats the estimate . Guess, IELTS does play a critical role.
  16. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    The biggest question now lurks is the next draw size. We could only anticipate a downward trend if we see a consistent or an incremental change in the draw size. I am afraid 3750 pattern is over and would it be 3500 or 4000 , that would decide our fate in the upcoming draws. if it goes to 3500...
  17. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 95th Draw

    If we had read through the analysis about the whole purpose of this 2018-2020 Immigration plan, we would have realized the real goal is to kill two birds with one stone or rather many birds with one stone. Canada needs manpower to keep up with the pace of its development and to support the...
  18. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 95th Draw

    You still don't belong here :P :D . You don't need hope, you need to prepare your docs for post ITA process. :D Good luck to you!
  19. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 95th Draw

    Yeah , I am a part of that second SOME category but since it seemed logical , given the circumstance this year ,so brought it up. But we have moved well beyond that discussion now :D
  20. gauravmlal

    Ray of Hope - 95th Draw

    I guess, if you are bachelors and already have work experience and then go for masters, you meet the criteria for that. It only asks for years of work experience in last 10 years. Correct me if I missed anything.