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A one-week draw anytime after two months or a usual two-week draw anytime after 4 months will sail you through. I wish I am proven wrong and you all get through sooner.

Lol yes there is a pattern, but it's mere coincidence. CIC is on track to meet it's 2019 target with 3350 draws every two weeks. Also, the application rejection rate has gone down because people are more aware of do's and dont's. Thus, the current pace of ITAs is inline with the target in 2019.

Ok here is some data: Number of 450+ applications increased from 3365 on 14 Feb to 5930 (data released + 3350) on 28 Feb. This gives a clear evidence that rate of 450+ applications has gone down to 183 per day from 230+ in first two weeks of February. With the new rate, only 2560 slots should...

Because you are not comparing with beginning of the year when the lot size was 300s

But does this really add 600 points immediately? I think when they do nominate, it is to let us apply to them.

Carnage by CIC

All of you are silent as if the draw has occurred and the cut-off is 463

If I were CIC or GOD, I would have answered your question

I am refreshing the page containing previous draws, instead of the current draw page because of two reasons: 1. I don't wish to overload the current draw page 2. I wanna know the event of results going out first, before the actual result...

But 28 Feb was Thursday, not Wednesday

Much tighter predictions DRAW PREDICTIONS: Draw 112 - Mar 06 - 3350 ITAs - CRS 451 Variance is +/- 1. OR Draw 112 - Mar 06 - 3900 ITAs - CRS 448 Variance is +/- 1.

Lol I wish they fix the time so that we press refresh only at that time. I can't work now. My manager is waiting for some deliverables.

Lol true

This is probably the first time Ray of Hope thread has moved to 48 pages even before the draw.

He might be CEC

Thanks, did you also explain in letter if explanation?

How much can you improve in English?

People who are active are the ones between 440 and 455. All others are either carefree (455+) or not very hopeful (<440) in the short-term.

Yes, you can if you score heavily on all other aspects of your application, to an extent that you don't need education points. This is impossible though because education controls around 160 points out of 600.

All of us here can only predict the range for next 3-4 draws. Post that, it really depends on future inflow of candidates which is unpredictable. I would say... stay positive and in parallel, try to improve score if possible. 438 may or may not get hit.