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No FSW or CEC draws in the next One whole year based on Immigration Levels Plan 2022-2024

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powerssdd

Hero Member
Aug 4, 2019
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byteSizeBits

Star Member
Nov 15, 2021
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Your analysis is wrong. The target quota for the federal high skill (FHS) workers stream is 55,900, this stream consists of FSW, CEC, FST.
Currently, there are roughly 81,000 CEC and FSW applicants in the backlog, which means 25,100 people will not have their applications approved this year.

PNP is its own stream and does not count towards the 55,900 FHS quota.

There will be new 20,000 TR2PR applications approved this year, as TR2PR is now its own stream.

Please see the plan here:
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2022-2024.html

Please revise your post or delete it so it does not cause any unnecessary panic.
 
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neha_415

neha_415

Hero Member
Oct 3, 2018
280
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Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
LONDON
App. Filed.......
15-01-2021
AOR Received.
15-01-2021
So backlogs will not be cleared by half of 2022?
 
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powerssdd

Hero Member
Aug 4, 2019
207
51
byteSizeBits said:
Your analysis is wrong. The target quota for the federal high skill (FHS) workers stream is 55,900, this stream consists of FSW, CEC, FST.
Currently, there are roughly 81,000 CEC and FSW applicants in the backlog, which means 25,100 people will not have their applications approved this year.

PNP is its own stream and does not count towards the 55,900 FHS quota.

There will be new 20,000 TR2PR applications approved this year, as TR2PR is now its own stream.

Please see the plan here:
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2022-2024.html

Please revise your post or delete it so it does not cause any unnecessary panic.
Click to expand...
(I posted this reply last night but was blocked by the mod)

Ah... You are right. Sorry I was wrong.

This way, CEC and FSW will be suspended for another one year and a few months, not two years I think.

But why you say "There will be new 20,000 TR2PR applications approved this year"?

The link you posted says the number is 40000 instead.

Another question, the following link says that the TR2PR program invited only 40K, but the quotas of the next two years is 40K + 32K = 72K.

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/corporate/mandate/policies-operational-instructions-agreements/public-policies/trpr-international-graduates.html

What do you think about the additional 32K?
 
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byteSizeBits

Star Member
Nov 15, 2021
80
38
powerssdd said:
(I posted this reply last night but was blocked by the mod)

Ah... You are right. Sorry I was wrong.

This way, CEC and FSW will be suspended for another one year and a few months, not two years I think.

But why you say "There will be new 20,000 TR2PR applications approved this year"?

The link you posted says the number is 40000 instead.

Another question, the following link says that the TR2PR program invited only 40K, but the quotas of the next two years is 40K + 32K = 72K.

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/corporate/mandate/policies-operational-instructions-agreements/public-policies/trpr-international-graduates.html

What do you think about the additional 32K?
Click to expand...
I should have clarified, if you look at the link in your original post, you'll see that as of December 15th there were 20K TR2PR applications in the backlog. I meant there will be 20k new TR2PR applications approved this year, in addition to what is already in the backlog. There will be 32k new applications in 2023.
 
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powerssdd

Hero Member
Aug 4, 2019
207
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byteSizeBits said:
I should have clarified, if you look at the link in your original post, you'll see that as of December 15th there were 20K TR2PR applications in the backlog. I meant there will be 20k new TR2PR applications approved this year, in addition to what is already in the backlog. There will be 32k new applications in 2023.
Click to expand...
It is confusing actually.
Can we be sure that the quota of 72K in the next two years is not the backlog of the 84K invited via the TR2PR program last year?

I know the #2 annotation in the link says that the TR2PR program's intake cap is 40K, but this is the international student section only, and the program has other streams like health worker and French speaker.

It actually invited 84K in total.

The 72k quota looks very like the remaining of this 84K.
If this is the case, then NO new TR2PR invitations in the next two years.

If this is not the case, then in which row in the table is the backlog of this 84K included?

In my posted link, the backlog of TR2PR is 20K, but in the following one, it says that only 23K had been processed, meaning there were 60K backlog!

"Some 23,885 people landed under the temporary TR to PR program. This suggests IRCC is yet to land the bulk of the some 90,000 people that applied for the program in 2021."

https://www.cicnews.com/2022/02/how-canada-landed-405000-new-immigrants-in-2021-0222072.html#gs.p6x55y

I just feel that no one really understands all the concepts, even those at CICnews...
 
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powerssdd

Hero Member
Aug 4, 2019
207
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byteSizeBits said:
Ahhhh I did not know that the backlog only reflected people who had received an AOR and not everyone who had applied. You're right, there probably will not be any draws for TR2PR.
Click to expand...
If I understood correctly, that TR2PR program only contributed 12k to last year's quota, is that right?

Then why invited 84K? Why let the remaining 72K consume the next 2 years' EE quotas?

The only reason why this program was created was to meet last year's 400K quota.

If only 12k was needed to achieve the goal, why invited 84K?

Isn't this elementary school math?
Why a person who cannot do elementary school math was in the position of Immigration Minister?
 
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wertymin24

Newbie
Dec 29, 2021
7
3
powerssdd said:
2022's CEC and FSW quota is 55000, 2023's is 75000.

In total it is 130000.

Now the backlog for EE is 80000 according to https://www.cicnews.com/2022/01/canadas-immigration-backlog-now-over-1-8-million-applications-0120775.html#gs.p4ngi5.

This number is sufficient for the next 1 year plus 4 months.

So there will be no FSW nor CEC draws in the next 1 year at least.

And the numbers also indicate there will be NO TR2PR in the next 2 years

(Revised after byteSizeBits pointed out my mistakes)
Click to expand...
I don't get it, the total quota for 2022 and 2023 is 130,000 and the backlog is only 80,000, which means there is a gap of 50,000. Why there will be no invitation for in the coming 1 year plus 4 months?
 
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ch5am

Full Member
Jul 3, 2015
27
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wertymin24 said:
I don't get it, the total quota for 2022 and 2023 is 130,000 and the backlog is only 80,000, which means there is a gap of 50,000. Why there will be no invitation for in the coming 1 year plus 4 months?
Click to expand...
I think it's going to follow that December memo where they mentioned they will resume the draws towards the middle of the year for 2023 landing.
score might be pretty high though
 
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powerssdd

Hero Member
Aug 4, 2019
207
51
wertymin24 said:
I don't get it, the total quota for 2022 and 2023 is 130,000 and the backlog is only 80,000, which means there is a gap of 50,000. Why there will be no invitation for in the coming 1 year plus 4 months?
Click to expand...
If they are running out of apps after 1 year and 4 months, I think they will resume draws after 1 year, leaving 4 months for new apps to come in.
That is my thought.
 
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SatNight

Hero Member
Dec 2, 2017
797
387
When do people leave the backlog? When they are approved?

Remember, there are also two months in which those receiving ITA should apply. So whatever the processing time is, you need to add two months between that and ITA.

So they should start inviting people two months earlier.

Also, there are always some backlogs, as I understand. They don't need to reach 0 to start inviting. Just clear up some of the mess.

If I am wrong, please correct me. I am trying to understand.

Also, what is happening with people's expiring Work Permits?
 
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