So there's no actual data... Just a small sample of anecdotal evidence. You gave a figure of 80% though, which is why I asked.
I'm not sure what you mean by miscalculating tourism. I just mentioned tourism from the US is lower than what was anticipated. That's a fact. As for winter, tourism at that time of year is lower. So the likelihood of the borders unexpectedly closing is low. I'm not saying it couldn't happen, but there needs to be a drastic change in the pandemic.
Have you visited that status page before? It's been stating priority for CEC applications since at least the start of 2021. It also does matter if there are more files. 27k+ files is 6x the average CEC intake.... so it shouldn't surprise anyone if the dates don't change as frequently.
AskKubier's opinion is still just an opinion. And, even if he is right about delays for PPR, many countries are visa-exempt and don't have to complete PPR. All I'm saying is it has been 2 days since the border reopened and because the PPR rain that people expected hasn't immediately come doesn't mean worst-case scenario either.
Edit: As I was replying two people posted they got PPR... maybe the rain has started?
If someone wants to enter Canada on a TRV, go for it. It doesn't guarantee anything though.