Some Observations and Reason For Caution:
There is little or no prospect that grant citizenship applicants will be allowed to take the Oath except IN Canada, at least not generally. (Explanation below.)
While I cannot say so with much certainty, the general administration of online knowledge-of-Canada tests is likely TEMPORARY, and thus accessibility to taking the test while abroad probably will not be around for long. (My sense: the online test procedure likely to remain in some contexts, but not as the general or routine procedure.)
In the meantime, it warrants remembering that for some applicants the AFTER-TEST phase of processing can be the longer and more difficult phase. For most, the AFTER-TEST process is simply getting scheduled for and taking the oath; in non-pandemic times a high percentage take the oath within a couple or four weeks, if not days following the test event (my oath was less than 48 hours later). But the AFTER-TEST process does not go smoothly let alone quickly for some, especially those who get bogged down in the more expansive forms of RQ (Residence Questionnaire) related non-routine processing, but also those subject to non-routine overseas background/security screening. There is still insufficient information to reliably assess whether those taking the knowledge-of-Canada test while outside Canada face an increased risk of AFTER-TEST non-routine processing.
Longer Observations; Some Explanation:
I. In General.
The impact of measures in response to the global pandemic still shape current procedures, including the availability of online knowledge of Canada tests. Much of the current process is temporary and will not be continued.
So far there has been relatively minimal information about internal IRCC decision-making in regards to the procedural adjustments. We mostly see the outcome, the implementation itself as reflected in anecdotal reporting, and which is only partially explained in the information IRCC shares with the public.
Forecasting future procedure is generally a fool's errand but much of what is likely to happen, where things are more likely to go, is limited, if not at least partially dictated, by the existing structure imposed by law, the statutory provisions and the applicable regulations.
II. Difference Between Tests and Oaths In Regards to Location Inside or Outside Canada:
This is where the statutory provisions and applicable regulations likely make the difference in why IRCC eventually adjusted procedures to allow taking the online knowledge-of-Canada test by applicants located abroad. In particular, the regulations provide for when the Oath may be administered to an individual outside Canada, Citizenship Regulations
Regulation 20, and those provisions do NOT provide for the taking of the Oath outside Canada for standard grant citizenship applicants. In contrast, there is nothing in the statutory provisions or regulations regulating the location for administration of knowledge-of-Canada tests.
That is, there are regulations governing the manner and location for administering the Oath. In contrast, while what constitutes an "
adequate knowledge of Canada" and "
the responsibilities and privileges of citizenship," is governed by regulation (albeit in rather general terms), Citizenship Regulations
Regulation 15, the manner and location is not governed by statute or regulation, which means the Minister of IRCC has the authority, and the obligation, to properly excise discretion in determining the manner and location for testing.
It warrants emphasizing that IRCC is NOT free to change how things work EXCEPT to the extent allowed by the applicable statutes and regulations. For many of the questions asked, and proffered
better-way-to-do-it suggestions, the existing law does not allow let alone facilitate many of the changes that might have worked better. A bureaucracy like IRCC has a minimal, very limited role in regards to implementing changes governed by the legislative process. Many tend to talk about what IRCC could do with little or no regard for how the rule of law limits a government's actions.
In hindsight, it should not have been a surprise that the initial requirement that applicants could only engage in the online knowledge-of-Canada tests if they were physically present in Canada would give way to allowing the test to be taken while applicants are abroad . . . again, unlike the Oath, there is nothing in either the statutory provisions or regulations governing the location of the test.
III. The Long-term Prospects For Online Testing:
As noted, the current procedures for online knowledge-of-Canada tests are quite likely TEMPORARY, a response to the global pandemic, and it would not be a surprise to see the availability of tests for applicants outside Canada wane and then disappear in the coming year, if not in the coming months. Moreover, how things will go AFTER the test for applicants who are outside Canada at the time they take the online knowledge-of-Canada test, is NOT at all clear . . . there is simply no where near enough data to extrapolate conclusions about this, especially since there is a wide range of possibilities in how things go and so little information illuminating what the RISKS are or what particular factors will influence how it goes.
Given the lack of data I can only GUESS, but FWIW my guess is that some might want to hold off celebrating being able to take the test abroad. Except for a brief period (just months) when a controversial provision allowed the government to more or less summarily deny a grant citizenship application if the applicant was determined to be living abroad after applying (a provision promptly repealed when a Trudeau government replaced the Harper government), living abroad after applying has always posed some RISKS for the applicant, risks over and apart from the risks applicants remaining in Canada face, BUT those have never been easily characterized let alone quantified risks since the process has typically gone well, rather easily for some living abroad after applying, while for others things did not go well, not at all.
That is, getting to take the test while abroad may feel like progress and an advantage, for many, BUT in contrast for at least some a downside looms. More quickly getting through the test-step will be of little comfort for those who end up in the rather long queues for RQ-related non-routine processing.