Ray of hope - FSW - 1
- Thread starter Jatt2canada
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Depending on when you received your ITA, just wait the number of days you're missing during the post-ITA period before you submit your application, you'll be fine.
IRCC is truly unpredictable. Just when you think it’s almost over, then they surprise you. Don’t give up guys. If any one needs to quickly take CBT, pls have faith and do it. 2020 is far from over, it’s not over until you win.
Congratulations to everyone and wishing all the best. Is there any group or thread for post ITA? Where we would discuss About documents submission? Kinly leave the link here
One thing I have come to realize in this journey is that, "nothing is realistic". Anything can happen in this journey
No, i disagree with this sentiment.
Things are reasonable within a certain range, it's no point saying to someone that they have a good chance with a score of 430, when we know what the trend has been.
These big draws are mainly to offset the smaller ones earlier during the year, i would not expect them to be the norm and it's important to realise that. Even with these draw sizes and b2b draw, only now has the an all program draw dipped below 470.
Yes, you should be hopeful but don't mistake realism with pessimism.
Otherwise you are going to set people up for disappointment and complacency.
And what makes you feel less than 460 is unlikely? What has happened few weeks ago should let everyone know that NO ONE can predict the score. CRS has gone as high as 490 in the past but we also saw drastic drops too. If you read my comment to the person, I said nothing is impossible BUT if you can increase your score, then do
Everything points to cut-off scores increasing.
The only reason it dropped this much is because of the large draw sizes and the b2b draw, the most likely explanation is of course that IRCC wants to fulfill as much of its annual quota before the year is over, and there have been setbacks due to covid.
But we know what the trend is, which is that cut-off scores have only increased year on year. So yes, i'm all for being optimistic but being realistic is good too, we shouldn't conflate people trying to discourage others here under the guise of 'realism', to mean that going in the complete opposite direction is desirable.
It's not, people were unlucky because of covid, IRCC has done a lot to offset that by being generous with draws now. It doesn't mean that following draws will continue that trajectory, on the contrary what is much more likely is IRCC will go back to normal procedures.
Someone below 460 has to understand that the chances of the cut-off score increasing is much more likely than decreasing significantly. We see that clearly when it comes to how scores have increased and only dipped marginally in 2019 and 2020.
Be positive but be grounded in the reality of the situation as well.
The only reason it dropped this much is because of the large draw sizes and the b2b draw, the most likely explanation is of course that IRCC wants to fulfill as much of its annual quota before the year is over, and there have been setbacks due to covid.
But we know what the trend is, which is that cut-off scores have only increased year on year. So yes, i'm all for being optimistic but being realistic is good too, we shouldn't conflate people trying to discourage others here under the guise of 'realism', to mean that going in the complete opposite direction is desirable.
It's not, people were unlucky because of covid, IRCC has done a lot to offset that by being generous with draws now. It doesn't mean that following draws will continue that trajectory, on the contrary what is much more likely is IRCC will go back to normal procedures.
Someone below 460 has to understand that the chances of the cut-off score increasing is much more likely than decreasing significantly. We see that clearly when it comes to how scores have increased and only dipped marginally in 2019 and 2020.
Be positive but be grounded in the reality of the situation as well.
Why do you think like that?
If they continue to draw every month two times, I think cut-off will go below 460 by end of February.
Its just my prediction but i believe its possible.
b2b draws are rare, expecting it to now happen every month is unreasonable.
Again, i'm just being the voice of reason, i know people are hyped by the recent draw, but people should realise this is the only all program draw in 2020 which has dipped below 470.
There has not been an all program draw below 460 since August 2019, that's over a year. And all trends point to cut-off scores increasing.
Again, i'm just being the voice of reason, i know people are hyped by the recent draw, but people should realise this is the only all program draw in 2020 which has dipped below 470.
There has not been an all program draw below 460 since August 2019, that's over a year. And all trends point to cut-off scores increasing.
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