1. Yes, you are a temporary not permanent resident. Priority has been reuniting family’s of citizens and PRs. If you wait to apply for her visa when you come to Canada, it will take months. And it may be refused or approved. You don’t know.
2. You are getting caught up in acronyms. The CAIPS computer system has been superseded by a new applicant tracking system called GCMS (Global Case Management System).
Don‘t know your country’s processing times but you need to be here by mid February since you have to quarantine for 14 days.
2. You're right...
It's 15 weeks, month ago it was 7 weeks, but I received refusal is just two weeks (indeed, refusals are received faster). But if we reapply, we already have biometrics and passed upfront medical exam. So I hope it might be less than these 15 weeks.
Overall, I'm considering the following scenarios:
A. Apply now together (e.g. wife as TRV), not waiting for the notes, but consult with a certified consultant to review app and address most likely issues (i.e. US visa refusals, her and my reasoning in coming to Canada). Benefits: most likely be on time for studies, travel together. Risks: be rejected twice, make situation worse and apply for the 3rd time (less chances)
B. Wait for the notes, work with a consultant to review them and tailor a new application, addressing actual issues (hope the notes will contain them, but
sometimes there's very generic answer, right?). Apply at the end of December. Benefits: more chances for positive response. Risks: be late for classes start (this means it's the end). But here in case of delayed processing, there is an option to ask local Canadian MP to follow up/petition to speed up.
C. Apply alone now either with or without a consultant (it shouldn't be that hard to re-address "leaving Canada at the end of stay"). Meanwhile, wait for the notes and see what's in there. Arrive to Canada alone. My wife applies with addressed issues based on the notes and hopefully arrives later in 2-3-6 months. Otherwise, in case we see some red flags in her notes (they will arrive in December, while I'm still in my home country) that might not be corrected (e.g. ban, etc. -
but guess there is no one since I wasn't stated in the refusal letter?), I cancel even my trip at all. Benefits: be on time for the studies, but alone. Risks: my wife doesn't allowed to join me at all (a no-go scenario, as we plan 100% be together either at the start or in XX months once I arrived there).
What do you think of them?