Ray of hope - FSW - 1
- Thread starter Jatt2canada
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If the draw begins while the US and India are yet to get in shape, the CRS will plunge. No doubt but this will also depend on the amount of invites to be issued
I think you just may be right. I dug up the EE pool breakdown from some old Ray of Hope threads (draws 139 and 141) and compared it to the current pool and the number of people in the pool has more or less remained static since March. Compared to last year when the pool size was increasing at an alarming rate, I'd say that if All-Program draws resume in July/August, there is a good chance that the pool will not be replenished at a quick rate and we may see the cut-off fall below 470 until things are back to normal.There's no statistics to back this up. Here's my take;
Except they reduce the number of invites issued per draw, there's no way the score won't dip into 460s. Let's look at it this way; for about 4months in a row, the number of people joining the pool has reduced drastically and I don't see that changing despite the resumption of IELTS in some countries. Schools have not been processing documents to WES for these 4months so the backlogs are already there. Bear in mind that It takes an average of 45days to complete ECA (this was even before the pandemic).
In sum, except they reduce the normal of invites per draw or they cease to conduct FSW draws until 2021, there's no way the scores won't plunge. Take note of this post, I might refer you back to it if you disagree. Cheers mate
On a separate point, it's quite interesting to compare the CRS breakdown from draw 141 and the most recent draw. Basically, the only segments of the pool that have increased are the 471+. The 451 - 470 segment has actually decreased by a couple of thousand. Does this suggest that 471+ will be the new standard once things are back to normal? If so, it may be impetus for those of us who are not a shoo-in for an ITA to do what we can now to make the most of the current situation (I know how horrible that sounds but it's the truth) and make sure we have everything we need in place (i.e. immediately resit IELTS to maximise scores or if they are about to expire, chase up ECA etc).
Mate just chill.
We'll gradually see lot of developments happening. Let us not speculate and argue on that.
This July 8 will give promises to lot of queries
I'm not arguing with anyone; I'm just offering an opinion like everyone else. Everyone on this forum is speculating so don't single me out and tell me to "chill." I am chill.
Am tired of reading stuff like this.... everyday Canada is looking for immigrants and ways to help people migrate, and telling every country that they are welcome to Canada, yet they won’t conduct an fsw draw.. mtcheeeeeew
Yes and a B2B draw on the 16th...dont ask me how I knew but mark this post
Mate, you will be the hero of the month if this really happens.
I marked your post and let us see if this happens
By the way, how did you got this info?
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People need to chill out; FSW account for 47% of total ITAs, if they stop FSW draws longer they will no longer be able to reach 2020 targets even if the numbers get revised and decreased significantly because the FSW program is way too big, draws will resume sooner or later but will resume stay confident guys.
IRCC stoped the draws back in March because of many factors: people being unable to gather the proper documents on time or not at all in most cases, unavailability of medical exams and Biometrics centers closed in most countries, as well as reduced IRCC staff in Canada, unavailability of certain critical services in Canada as well.
And a reminder they did not stop FSW because of the plunge of employment rates in Canada , which started decreasing and reaching new hights on May ( they stopped FSWs in March).
To summarize its all about the services critical to PR processing resuming in most countries and the availability of staff to process applications, as things stand the FSWs will resume, its just a matter of time.
IRCC stoped the draws back in March because of many factors: people being unable to gather the proper documents on time or not at all in most cases, unavailability of medical exams and Biometrics centers closed in most countries, as well as reduced IRCC staff in Canada, unavailability of certain critical services in Canada as well.
And a reminder they did not stop FSW because of the plunge of employment rates in Canada , which started decreasing and reaching new hights on May ( they stopped FSWs in March).
To summarize its all about the services critical to PR processing resuming in most countries and the availability of staff to process applications, as things stand the FSWs will resume, its just a matter of time.
Given the fact that most countries are still under lockdown in one form or other and still international travel is closed until July 31st, I really doubt a FSW draw happening.
Tired of watching news, videos, and other sources to see an FSW draw happening but nothing.
Let it happen when it will.
The July 8 draw might give insight about whether IRCC is gonna do an FSW draw this month or will be Aug!
Tired of watching news, videos, and other sources to see an FSW draw happening but nothing.
Let it happen when it will.
The July 8 draw might give insight about whether IRCC is gonna do an FSW draw this month or will be Aug!
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