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Ray of Hope - 134th Draw

T

tony87

Star Member
Aug 9, 2019
162
95
hunnysaini said:
Hi. Do I need to wait for my ielts report form to come by mail. So that I can update my profile?
Click to expand...
No, you don't. As long as you still know your IELTS candidate number and test center number, you can figure out your IELTS TRF and update your profile.
 
M

Mandeep1989

Hero Member
Oct 23, 2017
639
148
XSY_ghostlike said:
LOL man, ok.
I wont reply you again, but let me summerize a simple point for one last time:
pool size increased by 309 from 12/11 to 12/19, and there was a draw of 3200 happened in between. It means 3500 people entered the pool and 3200 people were DRAWN. Thats why the increase is 300.
And here is the question. How many people within these 3500 have CRS more than 469? please refer to my initial post.

Man, if there are more than 3200 people entering pool with CRS 469+ within every interval, CRS 465 will NEVER get selected regardless of pool size, or 99% people below 465, none of these matters.

GET IT?
Click to expand...
But, it’s not necessary that people with 470+ will keep on coming
 
T

tony87

Star Member
Aug 9, 2019
162
95
aikay said:
I started my French lessons already , good experience so far . You can do the same if you score is low . Good luck all and Happy holidays !
Click to expand...
And people don't need to speak perfect French to get a few points. To put it into perspective, you only need something equivalent to IELTS overall band 5 to get 12 points from French. I mean, how hard could it be if you study French intensively for a few months?
 
A

aj534160

Hero Member
Apr 13, 2019
494
487
Mandeep1989 said:
But, it’s not necessary that people with 470+ will keep on coming
Click to expand...
No buddy. Every Tom, Dick, and Harry is aware of this EE and many r doing tremendous preparation in terms of IELTS, getting the ECA done and all.
Trust me, last month when I got the transcript from my Univ (Chennai, India), my file number was in the 5**** series. In just a month, wen my friend went to get a transcript for him, his file number was in the 59910 series.
I mean, I was damn shocked. In just 1 month and that in one metro city, nearly 9000 applicants have applied.
Plus every now and then in YouTube, there are lots of ads about this EE.
On top of all this, the H1B dudes who have a good life in the US are also planning to cross the border via this program to have a much stable life.
Same is the case with dudes from UK, US, NZ and other developed nations. They simply do not want to settle in those countries but want to flock to CAN in large numbers
So this is gonna increase even further.
Bad times ahead for true aspirants
Will be happy if not
 
J

Jaywalker

Hero Member
May 8, 2018
637
323
aj534160 said:
No buddy. Every Tom, Dick, and Harry is aware of this EE and many r doing tremendous preparation in terms of IELTS, getting the ECA done and all.
Trust me, last month when I got the transcript from my Univ (Chennai, India), my file number was in the 5**** series. In just a month, wen my friend went to get a transcript for him, his file number was in the 59910 series.
I mean, I was damn shocked. In just 1 month and that in one metro city, nearly 9000 applicants have applied.
Plus every now and then in YouTube, there are lots of ads about this EE.
On top of all this, the H1B dudes who have a good life in the US are also planning to cross the border via this program to have a much stable life.
Same is the case with dudes from UK, US, NZ and other developed nations. They simply do not want to settle in those countries but want to flock to CAN in large numbers
So this is gonna increase even further.
Bad times ahead for true aspirants
Will be happy if not
Click to expand...
Just FYI - Ads on youtube or for that matter anywhere on internet is a function of your activity on internet.
 
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C

cshetna

Star Member
Jul 9, 2019
168
44
XSY_ghostlike said:
You guys really need to make data-driven assumptions instead of blind optimism.
This was the distribution on 12/11 before the draw:
CRS 600+: 715
CRS 451-460: 15917
So after the draw:
CRS 600+: 0
CRS 472-600: ~=0
CRS 451-471: 13432
Here the average density is 671 people per score.
Actually the density of 469-471 should be much lower than 451-471, lets assume it is 500.

Between 12/11 and 12/19, 3234 people has joined the pool, then 3200 people were selected. Cutline was 469.

WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

It means with in 8 days, 3200-3*500 = 1700 people joined the pool with CRS 469+.
And there will be 19 days between 12/19 and 1/8.
1700/8*19 = 4037 people will join the pool with CRS 469+.

So the cutline of 1/8 will be 472 minimum. Period.
Click to expand...
True
 
R

ramneek9288

Star Member
Nov 27, 2019
61
17
tony87 said:
And people don't need to speak perfect French to get a few points. To put it into perspective, you only need something equivalent to IELTS overall band 5 to get 12 points from French. I mean, how hard could it be if you study French intensively for a few months?
Click to expand...
Can you share your experiences about learning french
 
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