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Ray of Hope - 132nd Draw

alexross

Hero Member
Jan 11, 2018
413
321
That growth has continued, reaching more than 143,000 Post-Graduation Work Permits in 2018.
It would have crossed 160K in 2019. So we know from where these high scores are coming. No conspiracy theories but pure mathematics.

http://www.cicnews.com/2019/12/canadas-post-graduation-work-permit-program-is-booming-1213209.html/amp
You are right it is definitely not a conspiracy theory. It's only a conspiracy theory to a few people who think the whole world revolves around H1B in the US :)
 
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robin6869

Hero Member
Jul 31, 2017
278
252
You are right it is definitely not a conspiracy. It's only a conspiracy theory to a few people who think the whole world revolves around H1B in the US :)
if same no. of PGWP issued in 2018 and 2019
still we will have more then 280K people of high scores in 2020 so that it is double than their annual target. So unless they make changes in EE like more ITA or more draws or separate draw for FSW/PNP/CEC, Scores will remain high.
 
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satnamsingh2k3

Star Member
Apr 1, 2015
56
7
CURRENT INTERNAL CRS TRACKER STATUS
  • 460+ (Total 59) Canadadream2828: 471 | | nri7777: 470 | Satnamsingh: 470 | nihalpandit: 470 | dayocanny: 470 | naija2canadapr: 470 | Ria-sharma: 469 | Mandeep1989: 469 | Nixnic: 469 | leblord: 469 | mudjawd: 468 | cshetna: 468 | Alina2222: 468 | jonatan_ap: 468 | Luckbrother: 468 | Wrath: 468 | sri8707 : 467 | Dr Seun: 467 | Lazybug: 467 | Tahsina89: 466 | hunnysaini: 466 | KK_THE_GREAT: 466 | hkabz: 466 | cadiee: 466 | Tanvirk: 465 | cas009: 465 | umayash: 465 | rjv: 465 | aramab: 465 | Vazi: 465 | sagar0321: 465 | Nuzhat Ali: 465 | Jazzpanag: 465 | Ca_karan: 464 | ersabine: 464 | imtiaz_canada: 464 | Anish Nanda: 464 | Anu66: 463 | Woqi114: 463 | roadtofreedom: 463 | jindalbal: 463 | BindhuMadhvi: 463 | mbel1014: 463 | PinalThakkar: 462 | Dimpysimple: 462 | aikay: 462 | gobsaini: 462 | haris_raseed: 462 | eld43: 462 | masterfire: 462 | Leftarmover: 461 | ntachi: 461 | AJ1208: 461 | shergill12: 461| sinmansion: 461 | bambisp: 461 | cdddelhi: 461 | dilmohit: 461 | harshrk6392: 461 |
  • 455-460 (Total 83) – | PrynkP: 460 | Ankoorva: 460 | DivyaS: 460 | terez1: 460 | Bahariesmoon88: 460 | Rickygugu: 460 | Wanttoleavenow: 460 | brs.123: 460 | JelenaPatric: 460 | Manish Patel: 459 | patel_d07: 459 | SolwayFirth: 459 | aramab: 459 | Sarunmoz: 459 | vishnusk1995: 459 | anukaran: 459 | awley: 459 | Nandita16: 459 | haider_Ali: 459 | WunderCat: 459 | Shawan: 459 | Samal: 459 | chemistesa: 459 | Sunsunny: 458 | ahsanshahbaz: 458 | fperk_83 : 458 | blueshark: 458 | Catnat: 458 | Kumar Vipul Shrivastva: 458 | harry605: 458 | Milanarora: 457 | sahils123: 457 | y996: 457 | cromaine: 457 | jamlabhai: 457 | Thumper : 457 | ArijitRoy: 457 | Limitless: 457 | Sapan1086: 457 | SG1507: 457 | ankitpanchal: 457 | Ankitg88: 457 | Angel1113: 456 | cino86: 456 | Gsaggy: 456 | PrasadK: 456 | Silverwitch: 456 | tharibak: 456 | Hk07: 456 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Jasmine1998: 456 | brick8899: 456 | Ishakharub: 456 | blessedveev: 456 | Maya53: 456 | Mitya-kun:456 | Captain789: 456 | Eqbal: 456 | Jay2019: 456 | Priyanka2010: 456 | daksh1803: 456 | Mustafa Ghias: 456 | nklrwt: 456 | VKA: 456 | scarlettN: 456 | Imran_114: 456 | Kabir_krishna: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | merlz: 455 | Manish Patel: 455 | Dream Come-True: 455 | Harsha009: 455 | ruha: 455 | dreamcanada0224: 455 | Khushi dhanoa: 455 | greenshma_aju: 455 | aagosh6188: 455 | Daksh1: 455 | Hannan Khan: 455 | Hsiddiqui: 455 |
  • 454-450 (Total 64) - nadal87: 454 | johnlennonsouza: 454 | abdulkhadar.moh: 454 | chirag171987: 454 | Mspa: 454 | SASH8288: 454 | snehamary007: 454 | ArsheyaBegum: 454 | itas: 454 | aun_syed: 454 | TD0911: 454 | MMUNEEBA: 454 | Jasmine172: 454 | SlowBurn: 454 | hmhk202: 454 | strawy96: 453 | Aigbemare: 453 | Sindhuja Karthikeyan: 453 | jricardobt: 453 | guyshir: 453 | lignumvitae: 453 | jp3189n : 453 | Jak2019: 453 | faith_works: 453 | Medhansh: 453 |ManishPrasher: 453 | Lizzybenzo: 453 | Sunrok: 453 | arvw: 453 | AR7: 453 | tokalaangel: 453 | Tivativalu: 452 | daughty: 452 | Suhasrs: 452 | masha27o: 452 | Jatinder_singh: 452 | delga: 452 | drrakeshdent: 452 | Artk: 452 | Twindream: 452 | Bageshree: 451 | captainUT: 451 | Sharath957: 451 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450 | kuljeetklf: 450 | Ranjitrip: 450 | Hasrat123: 450 | JamesKang: 450 | AtitudeAdjustment: 450 | deepika450: 450 | tanveer041: 450 |
  • 445-449 (Total 61) - Div_newbie:449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | Nikhil Pal: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 | nitinkalra07: 449 | Sreedev83: 449 | Rohitbnaik: 449 | os32: 449 | Vibuthi: 449 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | NMS@: 448 | panchalch2: 448 | Dewdrops1502: 448 | adil_0262: 448 | Shanky1202: 448 | Aartavsharma: 448 | tonyzz: 448 | a.altigani: 448 | matteis:447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | sehgaljps: 447 | Stakesarehigh28: 447 | ExpressMan: 447 | Not_Your_Donkey_Kong: 446 | Rafahul: 446 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | epema.kz: 446 | CananEE123: 446 | Islander5548: 446 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | siataheri:445 | IeltsDream2019: 445 |
  • 441-444 (Total 36)- Shaanoh: 444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | nns14: 444 | theafjioman: 444 | Rohanisha: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443 | CanucksRajiv : 443 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | MV18: 442 | Dirup: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | Priya85: 441 | hardeepSingh: 441 | WantToImmigrate: 441 | os32: 441 | vanibhoopathy: 441 |
  • 435-440 (Total 18) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | rovar473: 440 | prince_lords: 439 | cadiee:438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Vive: 438 | Owen Takudzwa: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435 |
  • Below 435 (Total 7) - Life79: 432 | kumsa83: 432 | Day2203: 431 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421 | rajapanesar: 417 | luzan: 326 |
Having my bday on 18 dec... don’t whether to celebrate or to mourn
 
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zagcollins

Champion Member
Sep 9, 2017
1,313
757
Category........
FSW
if same no. of PGWP issued in 2018 and 2019
still we will have more then 280K people of high scores in 2020 so that it is double than their annual target. So unless they make changes in EE like more ITA or more draws or separate draw for FSW/PNP/CEC, Scores will remain high.
Make changes to EE? Why would the government care? They have targets that they intend to meet. They have adequate supply. The challenge is going to be for candidates to hit those high numbers. Frankly, the only thing I can see now is people using the PNP route to get into Canada and moving to the GTA/BC like before.
 
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robin6869

Hero Member
Jul 31, 2017
278
252
Make changes to EE? Why would the government care? They have targets that they intend to meet. They have adequate supply. The challenge is going to be for candidates to hit those high numbers. Frankly, the only thing I can see now is people using the PNP route to get into Canada and moving to the GTA/BC like before.
you're right. But I wrote "unless" . And In Canadian history every time new government is formed they made some changes to immigration system. They have more target for 2020 and 2021. I think, IF they will change something, it would be in favour of inland applicants. Please note IF
 

VaniRohit

Star Member
Aug 26, 2019
76
11
CURRENT INTERNAL CRS TRACKER STATUS
  • 460+ (Total 58) | nri7777: 470 | Satnamsingh: 470 | nihalpandit: 470 | dayocanny: 470 | naija2canadapr: 470 | Ria-sharma: 469 | Mandeep1989: 469 | Nixnic: 469 | leblord: 469 | mudjawd: 468 | cshetna: 468 | Alina2222: 468 | jonatan_ap: 468 | Luckbrother: 468 | Wrath: 468 | sri8707 : 467 | Dr Seun: 467 | Lazybug: 467 | Tahsina89: 466 | hunnysaini: 466 | KK_THE_GREAT: 466 | hkabz: 466 | cadiee: 466 | Tanvirk: 465 | cas009: 465 | umayash: 465 | rjv: 465 | aramab: 465 | Vazi: 465 | sagar0321: 465 | Nuzhat Ali: 465 | Jazzpanag: 465 | Ca_karan: 464 | ersabine: 464 | imtiaz_canada: 464 | Anish Nanda: 464 | Anu66: 463 | Woqi114: 463 | roadtofreedom: 463 | jindalbal: 463 | BindhuMadhvi: 463 | mbel1014: 463 | PinalThakkar: 462 | Dimpysimple: 462 | aikay: 462 | gobsaini: 462 | haris_raseed: 462 | eld43: 462 | masterfire: 462 | Leftarmover: 461 | ntachi: 461 | AJ1208: 461 | shergill12: 461| sinmansion: 461 | bambisp: 461 | cdddelhi: 461 | dilmohit: 461 | harshrk6392: 461 |
  • 455-460 (Total 83) – | PrynkP: 460 | Ankoorva: 460 | DivyaS: 460 | terez1: 460 | Bahariesmoon88: 460 | Rickygugu: 460 | Wanttoleavenow: 460 | brs.123: 460 | JelenaPatric: 460 | Manish Patel: 459 | patel_d07: 459 | SolwayFirth: 459 | aramab: 459 | Sarunmoz: 459 | vishnusk1995: 459 | anukaran: 459 | awley: 459 | Nandita16: 459 | haider_Ali: 459 | WunderCat: 459 | Shawan: 459 | Samal: 459 | chemistesa: 459 | Sunsunny: 458 | ahsanshahbaz: 458 | fperk_83 : 458 | blueshark: 458 | Catnat: 458 | Kumar Vipul Shrivastva: 458 | harry605: 458 | Milanarora: 457 | sahils123: 457 | y996: 457 | cromaine: 457 | jamlabhai: 457 | Thumper : 457 | ArijitRoy: 457 | Limitless: 457 | Sapan1086: 457 | SG1507: 457 | ankitpanchal: 457 | Ankitg88: 457 | Angel1113: 456 | cino86: 456 | Gsaggy: 456 | PrasadK: 456 | Silverwitch: 456 | tharibak: 456 | Hk07: 456 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Jasmine1998: 456 | brick8899: 456 | Ishakharub: 456 | blessedveev: 456 | Maya53: 456 | Mitya-kun:456 | Captain789: 456 | Eqbal: 456 | Jay2019: 456 | Priyanka2010: 456 | daksh1803: 456 | Mustafa Ghias: 456 | nklrwt: 456 | VKA: 456 | scarlettN: 456 | Imran_114: 456 | Kabir_krishna: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | merlz: 455 | Manish Patel: 455 | Dream Come-True: 455 | Harsha009: 455 | ruha: 455 | dreamcanada0224: 455 | Khushi dhanoa: 455 | greenshma_aju: 455 | aagosh6188: 455 | Daksh1: 455 | Hannan Khan: 455 | Hsiddiqui: 455 |
  • 454-450 (Total 64) - nadal87: 454 | johnlennonsouza: 454 | abdulkhadar.moh: 454 | chirag171987: 454 | Mspa: 454 | SASH8288: 454 | snehamary007: 454 | ArsheyaBegum: 454 | itas: 454 | aun_syed: 454 | TD0911: 454 | MMUNEEBA: 454 | Jasmine172: 454 | SlowBurn: 454 | hmhk202: 454 | strawy96: 453 | Aigbemare: 453 | Sindhuja Karthikeyan: 453 | jricardobt: 453 | guyshir: 453 | lignumvitae: 453 | jp3189n : 453 | Jak2019: 453 | faith_works: 453 | Medhansh: 453 |ManishPrasher: 453 | Lizzybenzo: 453 | Sunrok: 453 | arvw: 453 | AR7: 453 | tokalaangel: 453 | Tivativalu: 452 | daughty: 452 | Suhasrs: 452 | masha27o: 452 | Jatinder_singh: 452 | delga: 452 | drrakeshdent: 452 | Artk: 452 | Twindream: 452 | Bageshree: 451 | captainUT: 451 | Sharath957: 451 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450 | kuljeetklf: 450 | Ranjitrip: 450 | Hasrat123: 450 | JamesKang: 450 | AtitudeAdjustment: 450 | deepika450: 450 | tanveer041: 450 |
  • 445-449 (Total 61) - Div_newbie:449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | Nikhil Pal: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 | nitinkalra07: 449 | Sreedev83: 449 | Rohitbnaik: 449 | os32: 449 | Vibuthi: 449 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | NMS@: 448 | panchalch2: 448 | Dewdrops1502: 448 | adil_0262: 448 | Shanky1202: 448 | Aartavsharma: 448 | tonyzz: 448 | a.altigani: 448 | matteis:447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | sehgaljps: 447 | Stakesarehigh28: 447 | ExpressMan: 447 | Not_Your_Donkey_Kong: 446 | Rafahul: 446 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | epema.kz: 446 | CananEE123: 446 | Islander5548: 446 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | siataheri:445 | IeltsDream2019: 445 |
  • 441-444 (Total 36)- Shaanoh: 444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | nns14: 444 | theafjioman: 444 | Rohanisha: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443 | CanucksRajiv : 443 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | MV18: 442 | Dirup: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | Priya85: 441 | hardeepSingh: 441 | WantToImmigrate: 441 | os32: 441 | vanibhoopathy: 441 |
  • 435-440 (Total 18) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | rovar473: 440 | prince_lords: 439 | cadiee:438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Vive: 438 | Owen Takudzwa: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435 |
  • Below 435 (Total 7) - Life79: 432 | kumsa83: 432 | Day2203: 431 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421 | rajapanesar: 417 | luzan: 326 |
If your score is not included in the list or score is changed please reply to this post with your current score. Thanks!
Pls add me at 465
 

robin6869

Hero Member
Jul 31, 2017
278
252
With this , can the CRS ever get as low as 460? , this high trend is becoming really worrisome ..
it all depends on their new years resolution :p
if they continue 3600 ITA from the beginning of they year considering their higher target of 2020. then YES it will definitely come down to 460. BUT if by end of the year if cut of touches 467-469 followed by a gap of christmas and then 3300 ITA, That would be final nail in the coffin. that is my thinking. But I believe they will have some surprise for new year.
 
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ramneek9288

Star Member
Nov 27, 2019
61
17
Hi dear @Ramsha Bukhari ,

I believe December gonna have 2 draws. On the 11th and 18th.

Below is my calculation estimation for 11th Dec draw and 18th Draw:

After 13th Nov draw with 3,600 ITA issued and the cut off 472, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -1,177)
451-600 =12,962(15,385-2,423)

441-450= 9,135


Note: As cut off was 472, it means that the 12,962 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-4672 only.

472 score = 273

465-471=298(189+109)people/score
451-464= 784(675+109)people/score

CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of November 23, 2019:
601-1,200
=709
451-600 =14,915
441-450 =9,166


It means in 10 days from Nov 13th to Nov 23, there where:
601-1,200 = 71 profile/day (709/10days)

451-600 = 195prof/day (14,915-12,962= 1,953/10days)

441-450 = 3prof/day (9,166-9,135= 31/10days).



So, by 27th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=993(709+284(71x4days)
451-600=15,695(14,915+780(195x4d)
441-450= 9,178(9,166+12(3x4days))


Suppose that from the newly added 2,733 (1,953+780)profile from 13th Nov to 27th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 2,733/31=88profile/score


After 27th Nov draw with 3,600 ITA issued and the cut off 471, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,600-993)
451-600 =13,088(15,695-2,607)

441-450= 9,178


Note: As cut off was 471, it means that the 13,088 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-471 only.

471 score = 149 (386-237)

465-470=386(298+88)people/score
451-464= 872(784+88)people/score

So, by 11th December, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=994(71x14days)
451-600=15,818(13,088+2,730(195x14d)
441-450= 9,220(9,178+12(3x14days))


Suppose that from the newly added 2,730 profile from 27th Nov to 11th Dec, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 2,730/31=88profile/score



With 3,600 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 467-469
3,600 minus:
-994(601-1200)
-88 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-88 (of 480 newly added score)
-88 (of 479 newly added score)
-88 (of 478 newly added score)
-88 (of 477 newly added score)
-88 (of 476 newly added score)
-88 (of 475 newly added score)
-88 (of 474 newly added score)
-88 (of 473 newly added score)
-88 (of 472 newly added score)
-149(of 471 left after 27th Nov draw)
-88 (of 471 newly added score)
-386(of 470 left after 27th Nov draw)
-88 (of 470 newly added score)
-386 of 469 left after 27th Nov draw)
-88 (of 469 newly added score)
-386 of 468 left after 27th Nov draw)
-88 (of 468 newly added score)
-128 (of 386 of 467 left after 27th Nov draw)


After 11th Dec draw with 3,600 ITA issued and the cut off 467, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -994)
451-600 =13,212(15,818-2,606)

441-450= 9,220


Note: As cut off was 467, it means that the 13,212 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-467 only.

467score = 346 (386+88-128)

465-466=474(386+88)people/score
451-464= 960(872+88)people/score


So, by 18th December, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=497(71x7days)
451-600=14,557(13,212+1,365(195x7d))
441-450= 9,241(9,220+21(3x7days))


Suppose that from the newly added 1,365 profile from 11th Dec to 18th Dec, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 1,365/31=44profile/score



With 3,600 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 464-466
3,600 minus:
-994(601-1200)
-44 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-44 (of 480 newly added score)
-44 (of 479 newly added score)
-44 (of 478 newly added score)
-44 (of 477 newly added score)
-44 (of 476 newly added score)
-44 (of 475 newly added score)
-44 (of 474 newly added score)
-44 (of 473 newly added score)
-44 (of 472 newly added score)
-44 (of 471 newly added score)
-44 (of 470 newly added score)
-44 (of 469 newly added score)
-44 (of 468 newly added score)
-346 (of 467 left after 11th Dec draw)
-44 (of 467 newly added score)
-474 (of 466 left after 11th Dec draw)
-44 (of 466 newly added score)
-474 (of 465 left after 11th Dec draw)
-44 (of 465 newly added score)
-564 (of 960 of 464 left after 11th Dec draw)

After 18th Dec draw with 3,600 ITA issued and the cut off 464, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -994)
451-600 =11,951(14,557-2,606)

441-450= 9,241


Note: As cut off was 464, it means that the 11,951 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-464 only.

464score = 396 (960-564)

451-463= 1,004(960+44)people/score


So, by 1st January, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=497(71x14days)
451-600=14,681(11,951+2,730(195x14d)
441-450= 9,283(9,241+42(3x14days))


Suppose that from the newly added 2,730 profile from 18th Dec to 1st Jan, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 2,760/31=88profile/score



With 3,600 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 463-465
3,600 minus:
-994(601-1200)
-88 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-88 (of 480 newly added score)
-88 (of 479 newly added score)
-88 (of 478 newly added score)
-88 (of 477 newly added score)
-88 (of 476 newly added score)
-88 (of 475 newly added score)
-88 (of 474 newly added score)
-88 (of 473 newly added score)
-88 (of 472 newly added score)
-88 (of 471 newly added score)
-88 (of 470 newly added score)
-88 (of 469 newly added score)
-88 (of 468 newly added score)
-88 (of 467 newly added score)
-88 (of 466 newly added score)
-88 (of 465 newly added score)
-396 of 464 left after 11th Dec draw)
-88 (of 464 newly added score)
-626 (of 1,004 of 463 left after 11th Dec draw).
Dear @Dheana90 ...I really appreciate your calculations. It's quite a hardwork. But if could plz solve my query....last draw was 471 which means that all 3600 persons were above 471. Out of them 1000 were above 600 which means 2600 were above 471. That means our what we suppose that profiles are distributed equally at all scores is not true and rather more ppl are entering beyond 471 range....considering this what is estimate for 11th.......Secondly, as you have taken 467 as CRS for 18 Dec prediction...what a cording to u will be CRS if CRS is 469 ..and plz also consider higher number of ppl entering at higher scores.thanks...
 
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Priyanka2010

Star Member
Jul 30, 2019
189
79
I think there will be an effect on IQAS suspending new applications in the second half of 2020. IQAS gives masters equivalency for educational degrees of many countries which is not the case with WES. And masters means higher CRS.
 

Islander5548

Star Member
Nov 21, 2015
71
27
Sri Lanka
i am going to decline my ITA i got on November 27th. i was planning on accepting it and submitting the docs after i complete my three years as I received the ITA a week before i completed my third year on the job. its simply not worth risking my PR application based on a petty thing like this. my CRS is 471 and i am positive i will get the ITA on the next draw.

I completed three years yesterday ( 5th of December).


https://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/I-2.5/section-11.2.html

"Visa or other document not to be issued

  • 11.2 (1) An officer may not issue a visa or other document in respect of an application for permanent residence to a foreign national who was issued an invitation under Division 0.1 to make that application if — at the time the invitation was issued or at the time the officer received their application — the foreign national did not meet the criteria set out in an instruction given under paragraph 10.3(1)(e) or did not have the qualifications on the basis of which they were ranked under an instruction given under paragraph 10.3(1)(h) and were issued the invitation.
  • Marginal note:Exceptions

    (2) Despite subsection (1), an officer may issue the visa or other document if, at the time the officer received their application,
    • (a) the foreign national did not meet the criteria set out in an instruction given under paragraph 10.3(1)(e) — or did not have the qualifications on the basis of which they were ranked under an instruction given under paragraph 10.3(1)(h) — because the applicant’s birthday occurred after the invitation was issued; or
    • (b) the foreign national did not have the qualifications they had at the time the invitation was issued and on the basis of which they were ranked under an instruction given under paragraph 10.3(1)(h), but
      • (i) they met the criteria set out in an instruction given under paragraph 10.3(1)(e), and
      • (ii) they occupied a rank that is not lower than the rank that a foreign national was required to have occupied to be invited to make an application."