I disagree with this.. Looking at the internal tracker even there are only like 20 people out of almost 340 that are 471+
As at now the amount of people 470 and above in the pool is very very small compared to other distributions... Being single + masters + 3years experience + MAxd IELTS + POF is not an easy combination to come by
Well, I believe this is not the case now. You see, the draw on 30th October invited 3900 candidates with CRS above 475, means there were no any candidates above 475 in the pool after 30th October. But the draw on 13th Nov invited 3600 candidates with CRS above 472. The pool range approximately on 13th Nov was like:
600 and above= 1200(approx)
472 - 600 = 2400. (remaining)
It means either of two things, and both of them are not a good sign:
1. small backlog of around 400 candidates above 472 to 475(October 3 to October 30) + new addition of 2000 candidates above 472 to 600 in two weeks.
2. Huge backlog of around 800 candidates above 472 to 475(October 3 to October 30) + new addition of 1200 candidates above 472 to 600 in two weeks.
If we consider an average of these numbers, around 1200 to 1500 candidates above 470 are added in the pool in two weeks period along with 1200 applicants above 600, making new candidates above 470 to be around 3000 in every two weeks. It means only 600 old candidates(backlog) might only get cleared, which means maximum drop of 2 or 3 points. Please share what you think.
And with regards to IELTS, people either do not get CLB 9 at all or manages to get CLB 10 in Listening, Reading and Speaking module with CLB 9 in writing(in most of the cases), which means CRS above 470(Only for single candidates).