Ray of Hope - 124th Draw

[Hasrat123]

Hopeless at 450

 

[Ilyushin76]

Hopeless at 450

Worried sick at 456

 

[Kenneth89]

Worried sick at

Why worried? Don't worry the score will come low.....But meanwhile if there a way u can increase your score,try and do so. I'm at 458 but applied for spouse ECA now. Worry less bro

 

[Ilyushin76]

Unfortunately I am maxed out.

 

[keyur sharma]

More than $30000 bro for 2 years, if you talking Bachelor degree.

No that’s for diploma. 8000$ for one den so total 32000$ for 4 semesters

 

[keyur sharma]

If there is a draw on 21st Aug 459 should be the CRS
Wud suggest to wait till 21st
If no draw on 21st then take all measures to increase the score

I believe if draw happens on 21st than CRS will be 463-464

 

[Kenneth89]

I believe if draw happens on 21st than CRS will be 463-464

Quite impossible for CRS to be as high as that...almost a B2B draw will reduce the CRS sharply. That ur guess is for a 2 week interval

 

[ahsanshahbaz]

I believe if draw happens on 21st than CRS will be 463-464

Are you saying that there would be 3600 people who made profile with score between 464-466 in last 1 month i.e 24 July 2019 to 21 August 2019

 

[Kenneth89]

Are you saying that there would be so 3600 people who made profile in with score between 464 and 466 in last 1 month i.e 24 July 2019 to 21 August 2019

His calculation is not correct, don't bother

 

[Punitsingh]

I believe if draw happens on 21st than CRS will be 463-464

Hmm, let’s say CRS would be 463.
This means 3 points decrease
Due to 4 week accumulation, at each of these 3 points accumulated candidates would be 196
Total accumulation at these 3 points= 196x3= 588

So to achieve this 3 points decrease, there have to be an addition of 3600-588= 3012 466+ candidates in just 9 days

466+ candidates added in 19 days =3600
466+ candidates added in 9 days= 3012 ?? ( not very convincing)

As per my understanding,
466+ candidates added in 9 days should be 3600/2= 1800
Worst case, 2200, 2300 but not 3012

If it is 3012, then yes CRS should be 463
If it is 2300, then CRS should be 459,460

Maybe I am missing something, hence request u to elaborate how u think 3012 , 466+ will be added in 9 days or how the CRS will be 463-464,
let us have constructive discussion.

 

[Naxwell]

Hmm, let’s say CRS would be 463.
This means 3 points decrease
Due to 4 week accumulation, at each of these 3 points accumulated candidates would be 196
Total accumulation at these 3 points= 196x3= 588

So to achieve this 3 points decrease, there have to be an addition of 3600-588= 3012 466+ candidates in just 9 days

466+ candidates added in 19 days =3600
466+ candidates added in 9 days= 3012 ?? ( not very convincing)

As per my understanding,
466+ candidates added in 9 days should be 3600/2= 1800
Worst case, 2200, 2300 but not 3012

If it is 3012, then yes CRS should be 463
If it is 2300, then CRS should be 459,460

Maybe I am missing something, hence request u to elaborate how u think 3012 , 466+ will be added in 9 days or how the CRS will be 463-464,
let us have constructive discussion.

Exactly, constructive discussion...Not ppl that will come here and say CRS will be 490... let us know how you got the 490.....lol

 

[ripul]

Today our 31 clients Got their ONIP approval so all those will have 600 points . We will update their profile today or may be tomorrow. So they are approvingly ONIP applications so I don’t think that CRS will ever come below 458 in 2019

Hmmmmm. So earlier your squad had predicted a score of 455 by this year end and now increased to 458. Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

 

[Punitsingh]

Hmm, let’s say CRS would be 463.
This means 3 points decrease
Due to 4 week accumulation, at each of these 3 points accumulated candidates would be 196
Total accumulation at these 3 points= 196x3= 588

So to achieve this 3 points decrease, there have to be an addition of 3600-588= 3012 466+ candidates in just 9 days

466+ candidates added in 19 days =3600
466+ candidates added in 9 days= 3012 ?? ( not very convincing)

As per my understanding,
466+ candidates added in 9 days should be 3600/2= 1800
Worst case, 2200, 2300 but not 3012

If it is 3012, then yes CRS should be 463
If it is 2300, then CRS should be 459,460

Maybe I am missing something, hence request u to elaborate how u think 3012 , 466+ will be added in 9 days or how the CRS will be 463-464,
let us have constructive discussion.

Explaining the same thing in terms of PNP:

1402 PNP must be approved in these 9 days to have a CRS Of 463, below is the explanation:

As we saw in last draw, there might be 800-1000, 600+ candidates in last draw, but to be very negative I say there were only 200 PNP candidates in last draw and rest were other high scoring candidates

So 466+ candidates added in 19 days(other than PNP) = (3600-200) = 3400
So 466+ candidates to be added in 9 days(other than pnp) = 1610

Remaining ita after clearing these 1610: 3600-1610= 1990
Now if CRS is going to be 463 then out of 1990, only 588 should be used to decrease the CRS to 463

So there have to be 1990-588= 1402 PNP approvals in just 9 days to have a CRS Of 463 which is quite unlikely

 

[Midnight Blessing]

Explaining the same thing in terms of PNP:

1402 PNP must be approved in these 9 days to have a CRS Of 463, below is the explanation:

As we saw in last draw, there might be 800-1000, 600+ candidates in last draw, but to be very negative I say there were only 200 PNP candidates in last draw and rest were other high scoring candidates

So 466+ candidates added in 19 days(other than PNP) = (3600-200) = 3400
So 466+ candidates to be added in 9 days(other than pnp) = 1610

Remaining ita after clearing these 1610: 3600-1610= 1990
Now if CRS is going to be 463 then out of 1990, only 588 should be used to decrease the CRS to 463

So there have to be 1990-588= 1402 PNP approvals in just 9 days to have a CRS Of 463 which is quite unlikely

Very good deduction and its logical too. The biggest prove for a draw on 21st August is that Ontario has been giving nominations within 2-3 weeks this year which is very different compared to last years. So, likewise ontario and Federal will be in a hurry to process these candidates as early as possible and in uniform pattern instead of accumulating a lot of these candidates for a 28th draw which is very unlikely. So 459 is a real chance in sha Allah next Wednesday.

 

[Kenneth89]

Very good deduction and its logical too. The biggest prove for a draw on 21st August is that Ontario has been giving nominations within 2-3 weeks this year which is very different compared to last years. So, likewise ontario and Federal will be in a hurry to process these candidates as early as possible and in uniform pattern instead of accumulating a lot of these candidates for a 28th draw which is very unlikely. So 459 is a real chance in sha Allah next Wednesday.

With increase in ITAs to a3750 -3900 the score may drop to 458