Ray of Hope - 119th Draw

[Shishir Chandra Kumar]

What does OINP stand for?

Ontario Immigrant Nominee Program
https://www.ontario.ca/page/ontario-immigrant-nominee-program-oinp

 

[armaanwadhwa]

CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 10, 2019
CRS score range Number of candidates
601-1,200 317 = +/- 32 per day from May 1
451-600 1,668 = +/- 167 per day
441-450 5,360 = +/- 86 per day (5360-4497)

Before, based on the data from April 26 and May 1st and 10th, I estimated that By May 29 the CRS score would be

601-1,200 317 + 608(32 x 19days) =925
451-600 1511 + 3173 (167 x 19days) = 4841
441-450 5360 + 1634 (86 x 19days) = 6994
Now,
CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 24, 2019
CRS score range Number of candidates
601-1,200 729
451-600 4,624
441-450 5,872

Means in 14 days from May 10th to May 24th there were about:

601-1,200: (729-317= 412/14days = 29profile/day

451-600: (4624-1668=2957/14days = 211profile/day)

441-450: (5872-5360 = 510/14days = 36profile/day

So, by 29th May, the distribution will be approximately:

600-1200: 729 + 145 (29profile x 5days) = 874

451-600: 4,624 + 1055(211profilex5days ) = 5679

441-450: 5872 + 180(36profilex5day) =6052

Number of nvitation issued on 29th May is 3350. So, the 874profile with 600+points will all received ITA. (3350-874 =2476)
Remaining 2476 will be taken from 451-600point range. So 5679-2476= 3203.

Therefore, after the invitation,the score distribution will be:

600+ = 0
451-600 =3203
441-450=6052

By 12th June, the score will be approximately:

600+= 406 (29profile x14days)
451-600= 3203 + 2954(211x14) =6157
441-450=6052 + 504(36x14)=6556

If the draw happens on June 5th, the distribution is likely to be:

600+ = 203 (29 Profiles x 7 Days)
451-600 = 3203 + 1477 (211 Profiles x 7 Days) = 4680
441-450 = 6052 + 252 (36 Profiles x 7 Days) = 6304

Basically, we really need this B2B draw coming Wednesday. Even with 3,350 things may stabilise!!

 

[skg1988]

@NikSharma01 @Shishir Chandra Kumar @IeltsDream2019 @skg1988 @prsingh @ripul and others - Here we go, Let’s start with him and block this guy. Go to his profile and click on ignore button so that we can’t see his negativity!

Done!!!!

 

[Dheana90]

If the draw happens on June 5th, the distribution is likely to be:

600+ = 203 (29 Profiles x 7 Days)
451-600 = 3203 + 1477 (211 Profiles x 7 Days) = 4680
441-450 = 6052 + 252 (36 Profiles x 7 Days) = 6304

Basically, we really need this B2B draw coming Wednesday. Even with 3,350 things may stabilise!!

Yes. Unless CIC conduct B2B draw and increase ITA numbers, it's going to take aproximately 7draws of 2weeks gap for the score to be back below 451 I think. I hope there is gonna be a draw with increase ITA on 5th June. Amen

 

[NikSharma01]

You will get additional points for 2nd year only if you belong to CEC in-land applicant. However, for other FSW applicants, the points remain same for 1-2 years experience! They will get maximum points only after 3+ years.

 

[prsingh]

@NikSharma01 how was the exam??

 

[NikSharma01]

@NikSharma01 how was the exam??

It was fine! Thanks for asking.
Writing is what I'm quite sceptical about, because I was left with no time to have a look at the end.
L & R were quite easy.

 

[WantToImmigrate]

Guys i need your advice . I have received a notification of interest from Ontario. My crs is 450. Should i wait or go for this option?

So here's the catch.. if you don't want to settle in Ontario, don't!.. CIC hasn't done anything to people who got PNP and moved from Ontario after some time.. but who knows when they would and what they would do because one is going against they signed on..

Else.. go for it..

 

[hove&B]

Hopefully Yes. This has been a constant sign for a draw since Jan. Lets pray that we get increased ITAs from now on....

Technically incorrect. Maintenance notices on Tuesdays of 26th feb and 26th march were not followed by draws of any kind.
Hopefully the inconsistencies of ircc will be have a positive effect next week.

 

[Not_Your_Donkey_Kong]

If the draw happens on June 5th, the distribution is likely to be:

600+ = 203 (29 Profiles x 7 Days)
451-600 = 3203 + 1477 (211 Profiles x 7 Days) = 4680
441-450 = 6052 + 252 (36 Profiles x 7 Days) = 6304

Basically, we really need this B2B draw coming Wednesday. Even with 3,350 things may stabilise!!

Based on this, if the draw takes place this Wednesday, the cut off shall be 457-459. Good 'nuff.

 

[skg1988]

It was fine! Thanks for asking.
Writing is what I'm quite sceptical about, because I was left with no time to have a look at the end.
L & R were quite easy.

You will be fine. You would surely increase a minimum of 6, however, I wish 12, points as your R and L were perfect. Good luck with your results, buddy.

 

[SeniorStakes]

Based on this, if the draw takes place this Wednesday, the cut off shall be 457-459. Good 'nuff.

Yes, that's true. If the draw happens this Wednesday, the cut-off can be 458 to 460. I have increased a point though.

 

[13nitinsharma]

Now, there’re again higher chances of increased ITA’s on coming Wednesday. A back to back draw is really needed to fix the damage of 4 weeks gap.

Remember that, CIC is behind by 2 draws in terms of conducting them as 14 days set pattern. We’ve another 7 months and major changes will begin anytime now. I hope, 3,900 ITA’s this time bring smile on so many faces. Good luck everyone!

It’s not over until you WIN

 

[NikSharma01]

You will be fine. You would surely increase a minimum of 6, however, I wish 12, points as your R and L were perfect. Good luck with your results, buddy.

Thanks mate for the warm wishes. Yeah, L & R seemed quite easy to me, but again you never know. Lol its IELTS. particularly, S & W are bothering me this time. I wish whatever you've said, will come true, otherwise I'll have to prepare again.

 

[NikSharma01]

Now, there’re again higher chances of increased ITA’s on coming Wednesday. A back to back draw is really needed to fix the damage of 4 weeks gap.

Remember that, CIC is behind by 2 draws in terms of conducting them as 14 days set pattern. We’ve another 7 months and major changes will start begin anytime now. I hope, 3,900 ITA’s this time bring smile on so many faces. Good luck everyone!

It’s not over until you WIN

And if it is still 3350 again, that would also be fine. At this point, we desperately need a B2B draw.

The primary reason why increase in ITAs cannot be anticipated because CIC is already busy in dealing with a huge backog.