Ray of Hope - 118th Draw

[keyur sharma]

Apply for an extension, you can work during that time too which can lead to 2 years completion.

If he has open work permit extension cannot be done. If he has close work permit than he needs LMIA for extension. After August he will go under period of restoration for 90 days and during that time he cannot work.

 

[keyur sharma]

Yeah I looked into that as I already have 12 months of Canadian experience but I wouldn't reach 2 years until September this year which will be a month after my visa ends.

What you can do is you can count your Hours. If you finished 1590 hours experience by August 31st you can make your edit in your profile and than in restoration time you can just wait for ITA. Once you receive ITA you submit all documents and you will be ok.

 

[SeniorStakes]

Approx how much time it will take to reach 449?? Or I should again think of booking an IELTS?

Yes, it doesn't hurt considering IELTS

 

[akhil994]

Hi guys,
I had posted my query in ROH-117 but got no response hence posting here again.

My CRS score is 441, with IELTS as CLB 10, so no scope of improvement there.

I was hoping that I would get through sometime before the end of the year , initially hoped the score would drop by Aug/Sept but doesn’t seem to be the case.

Do you guys think that have a chance with that score or should I look towards PNP?

 

[nehadeep]

You should definitely take the PNP route if there’s no scope of increasing your score as 441 is highly unlikely.

Hi guys,
I had posted my query in ROH-117 but got no response hence posting here again.

My CRS score is 441, with IELTS as CLB 10, so no scope of improvement there.

I was hoping that I would get through sometime before the end of the year , initially hoped the score would drop by Aug/Sept but doesn’t seem to be the case.

Do you guys think that have a chance with that score or should I look towards PNP?

you
QUOTE="akhil994, post: 7844105, member: 870256"]Hi guys,
I had posted my query in ROH-117 but got no response hence posting here again.

My CRS score is 441, with IELTS as CLB 10, so no scope of improvement there.

I was hoping that I would get through sometime before the end of the year , initially hoped the score would drop by Aug/Sept but doesn’t seem to be the case.

Do you guys think that have a chance with that score or should I look towards PNP?[/QUOTE]
You

 

[nehadeep]

Sitting at 450 since February with CLB 9. If I retake IELTS to go for CLB 10, my score will be 456. But that would take another 2-4 weeks (preparation+ result).

Do I have a chance in next 2-3 draws or give IELTS CBT straightaway?

 

[akhil994]

You should definitely take the PNP route if there’s no scope of increasing your score as 441 is highly unlikely.

I was majorly sticking out hope for one of the B2B draws, like the one that happened in January, for myself to qualify. My ECA report is due on 4th of June.

 

[nehadeep]

I was majorly sticking out hope for one of the B2B draws, like the one that happened in January, for myself to qualify. My ECA report is due on 4th of June.

What would be the outcome of your ECA report? Does it increase your score?

 

[SeniorStakes]

@skg1988 @13nitinsharma

All in all, this is little unfair of CIC to do draws in an uneven manner.

In 2019 so far, five months have elapsed and more than 35 percent of the total ITAs so far were issued in January itself.

It seems weird that:

• Jan - 35 percent
• Feb, Mar, April and May - 65 percent

Conducting draws in an uneven manner is not the most optimum strategy. They should have done their Math right in the beginning of 2019 on 1 Jan.

I think they will definitely increase their draw size based on below analysis:

• Pending ITAs = 1.2 (Buffer based on extrapolation from last year) * 81400 - 31750 = 65930
• Pending fortnights = 16.42
• Expected ITAs per draw going forward = 4,000

With 4000 ITAs, steady-state cut-off should be 447.

Thus, folks at or above 447 should be hopeful. However, there will be some backlog in the beginning because of what happened yesterday leading to a three week draw.

 

[akhil994]

What would be the outcome of your ECA report? Does it increase your score?

The CRS score mentioned is with the ECA report. I only hold a Bachelor’s degree at the moment.

 

[xyz2017]

450 Mar31,2019 profile creation date...anyone with similar score, what are our options now?

 

[nehadeep]

The CRS score mentioned is with the ECA report. I only hold a Bachelor’s degree at the moment.

Go for PNP without any second thoughts!

 

[xyz2017]

Go for PNP without any second thoughts!

Which PNP to apply, Is their application separate? I thought its the same EE profile valid for pnp's too.

 

[SeniorStakes]

Which PNP to apply, Is their application separate? I thought its the same EE profile valid for pnp's too.

You need to check where all you are eligible based on NOC

 

[hakweye]

@skg1988 @13nitinsharma

All in all, this is little unfair of CIC to do draws in an uneven manner.

In 2019 so far, five months have elapsed and more than 35 percent of the total ITAs so far were issued in January itself.

It seems weird that:

• Jan - 35 percent
• Feb, Mar, April and May - 65 percent

Conducting draws in an uneven manner is not the most optimum strategy. They should have done their Math right in the beginning of 2019 on 1 Jan.

I think they will definitely increase their draw size based on below analysis:

• Pending ITAs = 1.2 (Buffer based on extrapolation from last year) * 81400 - 31750 = 65930
• Pending fortnights = 16.42
• Expected ITAs per draw going forward = 4,000

With 4000 ITAs, steady-state cut-off should be 447.

Thus, folks at or above 447 should be hopeful. However, there will be some backlog in the beginning because of what happened yesterday leading to a three week draw.

You just spoke my mind. The way they are conducting the draws are not fair, but we have no say in it. I always had a feeling that May will have a FST & PNP draw and people in 450, including me will will suffer as a result of it.
Now what scares me is that they might conduct a PNP only draw next week(since today was only FST), thus creating a 4 week gap between a regular draw and I think they will keep the ITA count to 3350.

They could increase ITA count to 3900+ or even conduct B2B draws later part of the year but that doesn’t help people who will or have lost points due to Birthday.