Draw 109 – January 23, 2019
Number of invitations issued: 3,900
CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 443
Ray of Hope - 114th Draw
- Thread starter rza313
- Start date
Draw 109 – January 23, 2019
Number of invitations issued: 3,900
CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 443
Lol! I got my PCC back in Oct 2018, as I hoped to enter the pool by then only and get the ITA by Nov-Dec 2018. However, due to the WES's reverification process I couldn't make it that time. Surprisingly, still here waiting for my turn with the PCC in its last days.Yes, it's possible. I got mine in Dec 2018 when I was expecting ITA. However, CIC had other plans
Agreed but CIC is totally unpredictable these days. Lets hope for the best!!
Anyways, this time you're in man. Due to your consistent efforts, your hard work will be paid on April 3rd, when you'll get the ITA. I believe that and wish the same must happen. I also wish, others starting with the 440s, would get theirs by the end of April/May! Good luck guys, we'll surely make it through in 2019.
Never lose your Ray of Hope!!
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Come on CIC, its been more than 2 months. We need a series of 3900 draws now!! That and a bit of luck could see the CRS drop down to mid 440s at least if not lower.
The week after it was 438 I believe?
The reason for that is WES was on a long break for Christmas and hence no new applicants joined the pool. So the scores were able to come down to late 430s. But now its going to be tough to get that 438 repeat again
Agree, 438 is hard. I was talking about mid 440s, so around 445-ish. That should not be hard I hope. A few bi-weekly draws with 3900 ITAs could see it drop that low.
Yes, 445+ maybe around June. If we have a back to back draw then could be earlier but I doubt we will have any more back to back draws looking at all the backlogs
There really isnt any reasoning behind back to back draws. We dont have access to whatever decision making process is used by CIC to make that decision. So while I would love b2b draws, there really isnt any way for anyone to predict them.
I dont see 445+ by June, I see it a bit earlier than that. Maybe around May. 450+ to me does not look stable. It will be hard to sustain. Unless there is an increase in the rate of 450+ applications coming in (which could happen). Right now its about 1200 per week. I think with a 3-4 draws of 3900 ITAs each, we could see the cutoff drop to somewhere around 445-446 or maybe even 444.
Whats your prediction for next weeks draw? You think I got a chance at 449?
Also how do you get that neat little banner underneath your messages with your CRS, IELTS and other details?
For the next draw, I am finding it little hard to predict because it is actually hard to predict.
The 450+ speed increased from 183 in late Feb to 211 in early Mar. If we extrapolate the speed further, it can go up to 240, at which the cut-off will increase further from 452 to may be 453 or will stay 452 itself. On the other hand, if we take two-month average and expect speed to stay around 206, the cut-off can come down to 449/450.
It is largely uncertain as it's difficult to predict the inflow of applications.
The 450+ speed increased from 183 in late Feb to 211 in early Mar. If we extrapolate the speed further, it can go up to 240, at which the cut-off will increase further from 452 to may be 453 or will stay 452 itself. On the other hand, if we take two-month average and expect speed to stay around 206, the cut-off can come down to 449/450.
It is largely uncertain as it's difficult to predict the inflow of applications.
Has anyone tried to chart out the 450+ applications per day for each of the rounds to see whether 183 was sustained for a few draws over some time OR maybe that itself was an anomaly
Edit : Hell its saturday night, I will do that tonight
Not mandatory. If you made s huge mistake then tes you can prove that mistake with an ID.
Any changement post ita should ve explained in your LoE. Try to change coz it is not a big mistake.
Ofcourse there is no pattern when it comes to draws and IRCC is unpredictable but I seem to notice that generally back to back draws happen when there is a long 3 week gap before the next draw to make up.
Like the one we had in December and January. Also sometimes 3 weeks gap can happen if they decide to clear backlogs instead. Again this is all just what I have noticed from the last year or so and IRCC is highly unpredictable.
I believe it will be 450. So you do stand a chance. 449 is pretty good score!! You will eventually make it
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