Ray of Hope - 112th Draw

[holufemy]

Looks like its gonna be tomorrow

But then what do i know

 

[BumbleFrisbee]

Before eca 419
After eca 451
Birthday 31st march it will drop to 446

Oh boy! Hope they get it back to you faster.

 

[GautamKar14]

The key here is the application in-take in every draw.

What is the target in-take for 2019?

Anyone?

 

[Satyanarayana Arnepalli]

Much tighter predictions

DRAW PREDICTIONS:

Draw 112 - Mar 06 - 3350 ITAs - CRS 451
Variance is +/- 1.

OR

Draw 112 - Mar 06 - 3900 ITAs - CRS 448
Variance is +/- 1.

Hmmm.. I would rely on you both @SeniorStakes and @Abhishek.s1990 : Both are experienced and might have done detailed analysis.

Still being optimistic , I wish it drops further so that many of our friends can get through.... Always a " RAY OF HOPE"

 

[Satyanarayana Arnepalli]

The key here is the application in-take in every draw.

What is the target in-take for 2019?

Anyone?

Target 2019- 81,400 .

Please find link for 2019, 2020 and 2012 targets....

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2019.html

 

[SithLord]

So no draw yet?

I expect it to be 450 today

 

[Satyanarayana Arnepalli]

So no draw yet?

I expect it to be 450 today

Eagerly waiting for the draw...Thank you for all your support through @SithLord

 

[GautamKar14]

Target 2019- 81,400 .

Please find link for 2019, 2020 and 2012 targets....

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2019.html

So with 14,500 invites already made we are left with 66,900 - with roughly 20 more draws to go this year.
The average comes to be 3,345 per draw.
Thus I expect 3,350 candidates to be taken this draw.

 

[SithLord]

Eagerly waiting for the draw...Thank you for all your support through @SithLord

A draw should have happened by now but sometimes it happens late.

If there is no draw today, then its probably because of huge backlogs so then another 3 week gap is highly likely

Hopefully it doesn't come to that and we have a draw today. But anything below 450 will be a miracle

 

[NikSharma01]

I missed the January one because the WES

Same here!

 

[momar81]

Hi everyone

Just have a comment on predictions. You can never statistically predict the upcoming score. No one knows the following key information to give an indicative prediction:

- Number of people in the pool. This changes drastically from day to day. incoming traffic (people gaining additional score) and outgoing traffic (others losing score)
- Tie breaking rule.
- no of candidates within a certain score.

We are all guessing here, So my guess would be for this draw to be 446 to 450.

Best of luck to everyone

 

[NikSharma01]

Let’s guess the score, I say 444.

446

 

[abhishek_89]

This is probably the first time Ray of Hope thread has moved to 48 pages even before the draw.

I remember long back there was a time when it crossed 400 pages before the draw.

 

[meiyoumingzi]

Have to work now but I’ll refresh the site frequently today. Hope for the best.

 

[NikSharma01]

3350 ITA 450
3900 ITA 446

my prediction

Same here as well!