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December 2018 AOR - join here

jm90

Hero Member
Jan 10, 2019
200
50
Well, I really don't see anyone "panicking", only see bunch of people trying to help each other in one or another way. Let's stop picking on each other and keep the conversation meaningful. No one is trying to belittle anyone by giving their opinion. Good Luck everyone :)
Agreed...
 

OVIE

Star Member
May 4, 2017
81
97
Nigeria
Category........
FSW
AOR Received.
28-12-2018
IELTS Request
21-04-2018
True -
@USProgrammer @USCAN2019 - My Background check just changed to 'We are processing your background check. We will send you a message if we need more information' from 'Your application in progress. We will send you a message when we start your background check'. Also, I saw the PR current status as 'Application/profile updated' but no email communication.

My timelines:
FSW-Outland
AOR: 11 Dec 2018
MEP: 22 Jan 2019
IP1: 23 Jan 2019
IP2: 13 Feb 2019
Expecting PPR by early March

Good Luck All!!!
I think you’ll get it sooner than March
 

RR9187

Hero Member
Dec 3, 2018
237
204
CEC inland stream:
My AOR-PPR timeline:
AOR- 7th December 2018
Medical Passed- 2nd January, 2019
IP1: 7th January, 2019
IP2: 21st January, 2019
I didn’t pay the RPRF upfront so I got my RPRF request: 31st January(paid same day)
PPR request: 12th February, 2019.
Congratulations! How many applicants/dependent?
 

RR9187

Hero Member
Dec 3, 2018
237
204
It’s very much confusing who nd from where they had applied for pr. I think there should be forum for people who applied from India. Because we guys only compare ourself here only. There are so many people who applied from different countries and different program. Any forum where people got AOR in December nd applied from India.
How does it matter? After MEP it is all case by case basis, still if you want to compare you can study https://myimmitracker.com/en/ca/trackers/indian-e-apr-tracker & https://myimmitracker.com/en/ca/trackers/consolidated-e-apr-tracker-express-entry-permanent-residency-application
 

Ahmed_E

Star Member
Jan 20, 2019
51
34
AOR Received.
03-12-2018
I have done some number crunching/analytics. These figures apply to PPRs for US Residents (usually not US Citizens). Most are Indian citizens. I pulled data from MyImmiTracker for FSW-Outland PPRs for US Residents since Jan 14, 2019.

The scatter chart has the most recent PPRs to the left. The oldest are to the right.

I'm now hoping for PPR in 43 days on March 28, 2019.



Man that's neat! It is also showing that lead times are becoming more consistent recently. There are many other indications that say the same thing, it seems like they had redesigned (reformed?) their process somehow in anticipation of the planned surge in candidates, or so I hope.
 

nraja002

Newbie
Feb 13, 2019
3
0
True -
@USProgrammer @USCAN2019 - My Background check just changed to 'We are processing your background check. We will send you a message if we need more information' from 'Your application in progress. We will send you a message when we start your background check'. Also, I saw the PR current status as 'Application/profile updated' but no email communication.

My timelines:
FSW-Outland
AOR: 11 Dec 2018
MEP: 22 Jan 2019
IP1: 23 Jan 2019
IP2: 13 Feb 2019
Expecting PPR by early March

Good Luck All!!!
Hello Rajesh,

Which country/state did you apply from?
 

davinder2385

Member
Jan 23, 2019
18
1
So finally i got my mep status.. on 11th Feb, 2019 (AOR 29th Dec 2018).
Current status is: IP1

Question: How much timeline is expected from CIC to move from IP1 to IP2 for FSW Outland (Am from India)?
(I understand that it is case to case basis, but want to know current processing time)
Anyone moved to IP2 for this AOR Timeline (On /around Dec 29)?
 

derkdsou

Champion Member
Oct 3, 2018
1,069
2,267
Hi @Welluf2019, first, welcome to the forum. You seem new around here, so some pointers in general etiquette: Always feel free to challenge the content of what people are posting or the position they are arguing, but going after people for doing research to help understand IRCC processing trends seems like you don't understand why we're here. @USProgrammer has been nothing but incredibly generous with his time on this forum (right from December) to answer everyday questions from people, and do some big-picture data analysis that is of value to a lot of people. If it's not of value to you, you don't have to stop him from doing more of it.

Also, you might not think it's offensive to ask people to "breathe" or "just chill", but it is condescending. And if we're all "panicking" here and you're so zen about your processing time then I'm surprised to see you here at all. It is entirely normal to feel anxious about an application without regular updates from IRCC, so thanks for being careful not to ridicule people going forward for expressing their anxiety or emotions.

Now, just breathe. Okay? Just chill and breathe!

I am not ruling out anyone's hard work so I don't understand why anyone is offended by my post. My intent is not to cause trouble or offend anyone. I just want people to know that no one size fits all. Take it from someone who since 2018 have had half her extended family members migrate to Canada, their cases have all been different.

I am on this thread daily and I read posts of people "panicking" because their timeline does not tally with "trends". Hence my post
 
Last edited:

derkdsou

Champion Member
Oct 3, 2018
1,069
2,267
We don't have enough data yet on FSW-Outland applicants who are Indian citizens and residents that have gone from IP1 to IP2 from the December cohort, but of the few cases I found on MyImmiTracker it looks like somewhere around 26 days at the moment.

So finally i got my mep status.. on 11th Feb, 2019 (AOR 29th Dec 2018).
Current status is: IP1

Question: How much timeline is expected from CIC to move from IP1 to IP2 for FSW Outland (Am from India)?
(I understand that it is case to case basis, but want to know current processing time)
Anyone moved to IP2 for this AOR Timeline (On /around Dec 29)?
 

derkdsou

Champion Member
Oct 3, 2018
1,069
2,267
Man, I love this data analysis, especially given that you pulled all of it manually from MyImmiTracker! I am really impressed by the quality of your work. It's obviously very helpful that it includes only the most recent applicants. While your data points to a March 28 PPR, I certainly hope it comes along before that!

I have done some number crunching/analytics. These figures apply to PPRs for US Residents (usually not US Citizens). Most are Indian citizens. I pulled data from MyImmiTracker for FSW-Outland PPRs for US Residents since Jan 14, 2019.

The scatter chart has the most recent PPRs to the left. The oldest are to the right.

I'm now hoping for PPR in 43 days on March 28, 2019.



 
Last edited:

derkdsou

Champion Member
Oct 3, 2018
1,069
2,267
Quebec better be prepared for some legal challenges coming their way -- some of the applicants have been waiting since 2005?! I obviously sympathize with the people affected by this, but if it can genuinely achieve a processing time of 6 months for Quebec going forward then it should be a good thing? Having said that, Canada's neighbor to the south is more likely to treat immigrants like this -- the average wait for a green card for an Indian H-1B can be anywhere from 12 to 15 years. I'm a former H-1B, and I felt constantly insecure about my status for this reason. Kudos to Canada for capitalizing on all the skilled and qualified H-1Bs in the US who have no real hope of gaining long-term status there.

 

Welluf2019

Star Member
Feb 4, 2019
127
97
Hi @Welluf2019, first, welcome to the forum. You seem new around here, so some pointers in general etiquette: Always feel free to challenge the content of what people are posting or the position they are arguing, but going after people for doing research to help understand IRCC processing trends seems like you don't understand why we're here. @USProgrammer has been nothing but incredibly generous with his time on this forum (right from December) to answer everyday questions from people, and do some big-picture data analysis that is of value to a lot of people. If it's not of value to you, you don't have to stop him from doing more of it.

Also, you might not think it's offensive to ask people to "breathe" or "just chill", but it is condescending. And if we're all "panicking" here and you're so zen about your processing time then I'm surprised to see you here at all. It is entirely normal to feel anxious about an application without regular updates from IRCC, so thanks for being careful not to ridicule people going forward for expressing their anxiety or emotions.

Now, just breathe. Okay? Just chill and breathe!
A long epistle on etiquette? Good for you. I don't remember my post being directed at any one person, so I don't get why you tagged USPROGRAMMER. Of course he has been super helpful so what exactly are you talking about?

I am chill and breathing, are you? You just typed an epistle there.
 
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