I think a draw is unlikely today. However, the more important thing would be to see the number of ITAs issued in 2019 per draw as that will have an impact on lowering the CRS score. So, fingers and toes crossed!
Ray of hope 108th
- Thread starter Sahil_88
- Start date
abhishek_89
Champion Member
- Feb 9, 2017
- 3,038
- Category........
- FSW
- NOC Code......
- 2173
- App. Filed.......
- 26-05-2017
- AOR Received.
- 26-05-2017
- Med's Done....
- 22-05-2017
- Passport Req..
- 24-07-2017
- VISA ISSUED...
- 04-08-2017
- LANDED..........
- 16-03-2018
Looking at the number of ITAs issued in the previous 2 years (2017-86,023 ITAs and 2018-89,800 ITAs) and taking into account the higher PR targets for 2019, the count of ITAs issued in 2019 would increase to around 97,000 - 98,000.
Assuming we have around 25 or 26 non program specific draws in 2019, we should be seeing 3900 ITAs continue to be the target if they are planning to constantly maintain the same ITA count per draw.
I don't expect to see any major upside or downside shift in the ITAs being issued in each draw. Maybe, a few hundred ITAs might increase or decrease from the current 3900 ITA target which would be inconsequential in lowering the CRS below a certain range considering the huge number of applicants stacked in the higher 430s.
The only way we can see drastic decrease to the cut off is if they decide to go the route taken in 2017 where majority of the target is met in the 1st 5 months of the year which would mean drastically higher number of ITAs issued in the initial months or many 1 week gap draws.
Also at 438
Submitted Jan 2018, expires on the 20th
Can resubmit and hope for PNP if all else fails
abhishek_89
Champion Member
- Feb 9, 2017
- 3,038
- Category........
- FSW
- NOC Code......
- 2173
- App. Filed.......
- 26-05-2017
- AOR Received.
- 26-05-2017
- Med's Done....
- 22-05-2017
- Passport Req..
- 24-07-2017
- VISA ISSUED...
- 04-08-2017
- LANDED..........
- 16-03-2018
That's not Toronto time, it's UTC. Also, the draw happens few hours before it is published on the site.
No program specified
See full text of Ministerial Instruction
Number of invitations issued: 3,900Footnote *
Rank required to be invited to apply: 3,900th or above
Date and time of round: October 29, 2018 at 16:36:30 UTC
CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited:442
Tie-breaking rule: October 16, 2018 at 06:09:04 UTC
- If more than one candidate has the lowest score, the cut-off is based on the date and time they submitted their Express Entry profiles.
I just checked UTC Time. It is 7.13PM in UTC and in 2:13 PM Toronto Time. If a draw happens at 5PM toronto time. It will be at 10PM (22h) in UTC. It seems to me that there isn’t going to have a draw today
The first draw in 2018 was 446 and 2750 ITAs. If cic wanna remain same 3900 itas, i guess it should stay at 443-445.
My profile shows submitted status and crs is 462. Please suggest ehat are the chances of receiving ita in yhr next draw and do tgey send emails or we need to check in our profile.
what is your prediction for next few draws. i think since many people are applying and this will make the score to move on higher side.
but still 440 will appear many times in this year.