Ray of Hope - 106th draw

[Sahil_88]

I am sitting at 444 . Missed by point 1

 

[Sahil_88]

if 26th dec is a holiday in canada then most definitely the CRS will rise after 12th dec's draw ! so very little chances for 441 ?

Next draw will be around 442-444

 

[Cooldeepu1]

I am already considering the current pool intake trend for the cut off calculations. So, if the next draw is on Dec 12th and 3900 ITAs are issued, then cut off would be 444. You can consider a variance of +/-1.

Gosh! The whole of last year draws hovered around 440-441.But now when I am in the pool with 444, it's only seems to be increasing with each passing draw.Any prediction on when it could come back to 444 levels any time in the near future? And would there be 2 draws in December?

 

[Guri9154]

Hello everyone.. I have submitted my ee profile with 445 crs on the November 16 2018. How many chances to get ITA from the today's draw? Thnx.

 

[derkdsou]

I think it's going to be v interesting how CIC squeeze in two draws in December. There could even be a draw next Wednesday. There was a draw on 16 December 2016 followed by another one 6 days later on the 22nd! But the draws next month will have to end on or before 21st December due to Christmas break.

Gosh! The whole of last year draws hovered around 440-441.Bow when I am in the pool with 444, it's only seems to be increasing bwitj each passing draw.Any prediction on when it could come back to 444 levels any time in the near future? And would there be 2 draws in December?

 

[StonicStone]

all the best in getting ITAs everyone!

 

[Bhudda]

sitting on 443, any chance for this year?

 

[HoldingOnToHisPromise]

Sitting at 438 since March.

 

[Micky345]

Yes chance for 443-444 are bright for next draw which would be probably after two weeks. For scores below 443, chances are rare and you really need to pull your socks up and try to increase score or wait for next year draws.

Good luck all!

 

[abnzyr18]

Yes chance for 443-444 are bright for next draw which would be probably after two weeks. For scores below 443, chances are rare and you really need to pull your socks up and try to increase score or wait for next year draws.

Good luck all!

If there are 2 draws in Dec then chances are 441 will be picked. 2 draws mean there will be 1 draw with a 1 week gap.

 

[Tech_girl123]

Sitting at 438 since March.

438 has very little chance due to current intake. so i believe you should upgrade your score by maybe giving IELTS and scoring CLB 10

 

[Tech_girl123]

If there are 2 draws in Dec then chances are 441 will be picked. 2 draws mean there will be 1 draw with a 1 week gap.

1 WEEK gap... is unlikely i guess. !!!

 

[Abhiancha]

Actually there is a science to it. If there are 10 people in the pool with scores of: 410, 430, 435, 444, 438, 464, 450, 455, 445, 440. CIC takes the average of those scores and would invite anyone at or above the average score which in this case would be 441. The number of people invited for each draw is a percentage of the pool size. The recent trends point to 4.11% or less of the total pool size. In this example the top 5 people at or above 441 would have been given an invite barring other factors like the tie breaker rule etc.

I don't think there is such thing as averaging. All the profiles are ranked as per the score and the top 3900 or whatever the draw count is gets the ITA

 

[HoldingOnToHisPromise]

438 has very little chance due to current intake. so i believe you should upgrade your score by maybe giving IELTS and scoring CLB 10

I'm considering re-taking my IELTS on January, and hope to get the additional 3 remaining points. It is getting harder each year with also the increasing number of profiles in the pool.

 

[abnzyr18]

1 WEEK gap... is unlikely i guess. !!!

Without 1 week gap, 2 draws in Dec are not possible. Last week will not be picked for draw due to Christmas.