July 2018 AOR - join here
- Thread starter andy108
- Start date
A lot of Nigerians have gotten their PPR from August AOR while some other Nigerians like me from June & July are still in IP1.
The biometrics is making the process quicker cos I guess it eliminates some parts of the rigorous background checks since everyone's thumbprint is unique to that person.
At which stage do you get rprf request? My aor was on 12 July and rprf request was on 23 Aug.
Received my GCMS notes today, AOR July 4..
ASSESSMENTS (as given on 1st page)
App Status: Open
App Status Reason: In Progress
Eligibility : Recommended Pass
Security : Not Started
HIRV:
Criminality : In Progress
Ord Crime:
Medical : Passed
Misrepresentation:
Info Sharing : Complete
Other Reqs:
Final:
July 18 - CIO : Program Assistant - All creds verified and R10 OK, Recommendation: Review Required - Stat Question Spouse ( this may be because of the her medical condition to which I said Yes)
July 23 - File Transferred to CPC-Vegreville
July 25 - CPC-Vegrevillle : Case Analyst - Recommended Pass MI3 A11.2: Appears Met R87.1: CEC MINIMUM REQUIREMENTS - Appears Met Ready to Finalize RPRF: Complete
July 25 - File Transferred to CPC-Ottawa
July 31 - CPC-Ottawa : PReVU Verified (applicant information)
APPLICATION ASSIGNMENT
Assigned To : RC-9515
Assigned By : CPC03900
Due Date : 2018/09/28
So the RCMP officer (RC-9515 ?)was supposed to submit my criminality report by 28th Sept, but it looks like he has been sitting on my file. Hope this wait ends soon for me and for all of you as well.
ASSESSMENTS (as given on 1st page)
App Status: Open
App Status Reason: In Progress
Eligibility : Recommended Pass
Security : Not Started
HIRV:
Criminality : In Progress
Ord Crime:
Medical : Passed
Misrepresentation:
Info Sharing : Complete
Other Reqs:
Final:
July 18 - CIO : Program Assistant - All creds verified and R10 OK, Recommendation: Review Required - Stat Question Spouse ( this may be because of the her medical condition to which I said Yes)
July 23 - File Transferred to CPC-Vegreville
July 25 - CPC-Vegrevillle : Case Analyst - Recommended Pass MI3 A11.2: Appears Met R87.1: CEC MINIMUM REQUIREMENTS - Appears Met Ready to Finalize RPRF: Complete
July 25 - File Transferred to CPC-Ottawa
July 31 - CPC-Ottawa : PReVU Verified (applicant information)
APPLICATION ASSIGNMENT
Assigned To : RC-9515
Assigned By : CPC03900
Due Date : 2018/09/28
So the RCMP officer (RC-9515 ?)was supposed to submit my criminality report by 28th Sept, but it looks like he has been sitting on my file. Hope this wait ends soon for me and for all of you as well.
Last edited:
Originally posted in June thread but this thread may also find useful
%age statuses by month as per Immitracker. Based on my past experience on reaction to this post will start with following disclaimer points
Added two more months to observe trending better and make sure the trend holds.
Based on the data, here are my observations
The Good
THE SLOWDOWN MAY BE REAL!
I think if this data is any indication, CIC may have to revise that 6 month timeline sooner or later unless they really pick up. Why do I say that? Read below a bit carefully
Focus on the two shaded columns .. PPR% at end of August (29-Aug) and PPR% at end of September (28-Sep)
We will see how this goes with two additional months added to data. BUT it is a clear indication that application processing is slow from March onward.
By end of October we will know if April can even hit 75% like March or falls short. Or if May is able to buck the trend and prove me wrong.
Over and out!
%age statuses by month as per Immitracker. Based on my past experience on reaction to this post will start with following disclaimer points
- Yes the immitracker data may not be accurate, as not all people enter or update their data. But I think it is okay as in no field you can have absolute population data. You will have to work with sample data and make decisions.
- As you read this and the data and you feel "oh I could list N reasons the data is not the right sample" … well yeah I know that BUT unless someone can give better data, this is all we have. So let’s make peace with it.
- Immitracker ignores inactive cases. And yes it does impact %ages. However, I think immitracker is correct in ignoring inactive cases.
- Having said all of above, I think this data can still be used to see trends which are useful. The %ages may not be accurate but overall movement is definitely indicative of progress
- And lastly, if you disagree just ignore!
Added two more months to observe trending better and make sure the trend holds.
Based on the data, here are my observations
The Good
- As expected June is showing an upward trend. Lots of movement. As I have said before 4th month after AOR is most productive for PPRs. I think we can expect ~20-23% more PPRs in this month.
- Look at August! Huge jump and lots of PPRs . The activity on August thread is testimony to that.
- March still moved at a decent pace but it will taper off in coming weeks, if previous trending holds.
- March is stagnant! Nothing has moved and CIC seems to be missing the 80% mark for sure.
- July is stagnant too. I expected some movement in July. Let’s see if it picks up in coming weeks.
THE SLOWDOWN MAY BE REAL!
I think if this data is any indication, CIC may have to revise that 6 month timeline sooner or later unless they really pick up. Why do I say that? Read below a bit carefully
Focus on the two shaded columns .. PPR% at end of August (29-Aug) and PPR% at end of September (28-Sep)
- At end of August which is almost month 6 for Feb 85% people from Feb and received PPR. This is good as this is what is expected. Rather CIC seems to beat the 80% target. For march at end of August (5th month from AOR) the number is 68%.
- So you expected March to give 12% more PPRs in one month and meet 80%. BUT March is stuck at 75%. And if I compare it to at same point vs Feb it is 10% slower than Feb.
- If we compare March Vs April. March at the end of Month 5 was at 68% whereas April at Month 5 is only 61% .. again 7% slower. And April doesn’t seem to move!
- Comparing April vs May. April was 48% at 4th month mark whereas May was only able to reach 45%.
We will see how this goes with two additional months added to data. BUT it is a clear indication that application processing is slow from March onward.
By end of October we will know if April can even hit 75% like March or falls short. Or if May is able to buck the trend and prove me wrong.
Over and out!
Time for my weekly post for Montreal visa office
Are you a FSW-O candidate based in the USA? or an inland Candidate?
Still stuck in IP1? if Yes, then your application may be at Montreal visa office.
Do order GCMS notes or call IRCC agents and find out ...
Why? Because if you're at Montreal your wait likely is going to be long one! Based on the data we have till now Montreal takes 5-6 months to give PPR. Hence knowing this may prevent you to log-in to CIC account daily.
For more information please join us at Montreal thread here!
https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/montreal-visa-office-lets-connect-here.575300/page-35#post-7279704
Are you a FSW-O candidate based in the USA? or an inland Candidate?
Still stuck in IP1? if Yes, then your application may be at Montreal visa office.
Do order GCMS notes or call IRCC agents and find out ...
Why? Because if you're at Montreal your wait likely is going to be long one! Based on the data we have till now Montreal takes 5-6 months to give PPR. Hence knowing this may prevent you to log-in to CIC account daily.
For more information please join us at Montreal thread here!
https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/montreal-visa-office-lets-connect-here.575300/page-35#post-7279704
Wow fancy data presentationOriginally posted in June thread but this thread may also find useful
%age statuses by month as per Immitracker. Based on my past experience on reaction to this post will start with following disclaimer points
- Yes the immitracker data may not be accurate, as not all people enter or update their data. But I think it is okay as in no field you can have absolute population data. You will have to work with sample data and make decisions.
- As you read this and the data and you feel "oh I could list N reasons the data is not the right sample" … well yeah I know that BUT unless someone can give better data, this is all we have. So let’s make peace with it.
- Immitracker ignores inactive cases. And yes it does impact %ages. However, I think immitracker is correct in ignoring inactive cases.
- Having said all of above, I think this data can still be used to see trends which are useful. The %ages may not be accurate but overall movement is definitely indicative of progress
- And lastly, if you disagree just ignore!
Added two more months to observe trending better and make sure the trend holds.
Based on the data, here are my observations
The Good
The Bad
- As expected June is showing an upward trend. Lots of movement. As I have said before 4th month after AOR is most productive for PPRs. I think we can expect ~20-23% more PPRs in this month.
- Look at August! Huge jump and lots of PPRs . The activity on August thread is testimony to that.
- March still moved at a decent pace but it will taper off in coming weeks, if previous trending holds.
The Ugly
- March is stagnant! Nothing has moved and CIC seems to be missing the 80% mark for sure.
- July is stagnant too. I expected some movement in July. Let’s see if it picks up in coming weeks.
THE SLOWDOWN MAY BE REAL!
I think if this data is any indication, CIC may have to revise that 6 month timeline sooner or later unless they really pick up. Why do I say that? Read below a bit carefully
Focus on the two shaded columns .. PPR% at end of August (29-Aug) and PPR% at end of September (28-Sep)
- At end of August which is almost month 6 for Feb 85% people from Feb and received PPR. This is good as this is what is expected. Rather CIC seems to beat the 80% target. For march at end of August (5th month from AOR) the number is 68%.
- So you expected March to give 12% more PPRs in one month and meet 80%. BUT March is stuck at 75%. And if I compare it to at same point vs Feb it is 10% slower than Feb.
- If we compare March Vs April. March at the end of Month 5 was at 68% whereas April at Month 5 is only 61% .. again 7% slower. And April doesn’t seem to move!
- Comparing April vs May. April was 48% at 4th month mark whereas May was only able to reach 45%.
We will see how this goes with two additional months added to data. BUT it is a clear indication that application processing is slow from March onward.
By end of October we will know if April can even hit 75% like March or falls short. Or if May is able to buck the trend and prove me wrong.
Over and out!
what's your NOC? July is too slow for sure.My AOR is 7th July.
MEP- 25th July.
IP1- 25th July.
No updates after that. Anybody else sailing in the same boat?
MEP- 25th July.
IP1- 25th July.
No updates after that. Anybody else sailing in the same boat?
Hey guys! As per my previous post, there have been no updates and I was thinking of calling CIC and/or order GCMS notes. I have a consultant who applied on my behalf, so my question is, can I call CIC myself or order GCMS notes on my own or do I need to go through my consultant for any interaction with IRCC?
This is a very good analysis to understand the application processing trends. Yeah, it really slows down after March. I'm not surprised we (July AOR people) may need to wait till December or even next year Jan to get our PPRs if IRCC will not speed up the process..This is frustrating...Originally posted in June thread but this thread may also find useful
%age statuses by month as per Immitracker. Based on my past experience on reaction to this post will start with following disclaimer points
- Yes the immitracker data may not be accurate, as not all people enter or update their data. But I think it is okay as in no field you can have absolute population data. You will have to work with sample data and make decisions.
- As you read this and the data and you feel "oh I could list N reasons the data is not the right sample" … well yeah I know that BUT unless someone can give better data, this is all we have. So let’s make peace with it.
- Immitracker ignores inactive cases. And yes it does impact %ages. However, I think immitracker is correct in ignoring inactive cases.
- Having said all of above, I think this data can still be used to see trends which are useful. The %ages may not be accurate but overall movement is definitely indicative of progress
- And lastly, if you disagree just ignore!
Added two more months to observe trending better and make sure the trend holds.
Based on the data, here are my observations
The Good
The Bad
- As expected June is showing an upward trend. Lots of movement. As I have said before 4th month after AOR is most productive for PPRs. I think we can expect ~20-23% more PPRs in this month.
- Look at August! Huge jump and lots of PPRs . The activity on August thread is testimony to that.
- March still moved at a decent pace but it will taper off in coming weeks, if previous trending holds.
The Ugly
- March is stagnant! Nothing has moved and CIC seems to be missing the 80% mark for sure.
- July is stagnant too. I expected some movement in July. Let’s see if it picks up in coming weeks.
THE SLOWDOWN MAY BE REAL!
I think if this data is any indication, CIC may have to revise that 6 month timeline sooner or later unless they really pick up. Why do I say that? Read below a bit carefully
Focus on the two shaded columns .. PPR% at end of August (29-Aug) and PPR% at end of September (28-Sep)
- At end of August which is almost month 6 for Feb 85% people from Feb and received PPR. This is good as this is what is expected. Rather CIC seems to beat the 80% target. For march at end of August (5th month from AOR) the number is 68%.
- So you expected March to give 12% more PPRs in one month and meet 80%. BUT March is stuck at 75%. And if I compare it to at same point vs Feb it is 10% slower than Feb.
- If we compare March Vs April. March at the end of Month 5 was at 68% whereas April at Month 5 is only 61% .. again 7% slower. And April doesn’t seem to move!
- Comparing April vs May. April was 48% at 4th month mark whereas May was only able to reach 45%.
We will see how this goes with two additional months added to data. BUT it is a clear indication that application processing is slow from March onward.
By end of October we will know if April can even hit 75% like March or falls short. Or if May is able to buck the trend and prove me wrong.
Over and out!
Yes you can order any time if you’re interested to see cic comments on your application. Don’t expect it to speed up your application tho!
As they’ve been upping the number of invites as the year goes on this isn’t really surprising that there has been some slow down.
Still no reason to be too concerned as us July folk still have a way to go till 6 month mark (January) and to be honest 6 months is still relatively quite fast compared to some other countries immigration processing times or even express entry a few years ago.
The problem is people see someone get it in 3 months and everyone thinks ”I should have that too! *initiate panic mode*” even though we all know 6 months or less is for a majority of applicants