Ray of Hope - 101st draw

[romrumrira]

Round #100

Federal Skilled Trades

See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Number of invitations issued: 400Footnote*

Rank required to be invited to apply: 400thor above

Date and time of round: September 24, 2018 at 05:34:21 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 284

Tie-breaking rule: February 18, 2018 at 12:31:16 UTC

 

[ishq74]

Oh no! That means next EE draw will be on 10th October which will surely put upward pressure on CRS cut off. Really feeling bad for below 440 folks. Guys don't lose hope, try everything you can to reach beyond 440.

Best wishes!!

 

[hgunawa]

Plot thickens.

 

[hgunawa]

Round #100

Federal Skilled Trades

See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Number of invitations issued: 400Footnote*

Rank required to be invited to apply: 400thor above

Date and time of round: September 24, 2018 at 05:34:21 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 284

Tie-breaking rule: February 18, 2018 at 12:31:16 UTC

Why can't they have an EE invitation round next week, at their usual time?

 

[SumH12]

For records:

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of September 21, 2018

CRS Score Range Number of Candidates

601-1200 85
451-600 307
401-450 29,495
441-450 195
431-440 9,181
421-430 6,204
411-420 6,698
401-410 7,217
351-400 35,801
391-400 6,644
381-390 7,466
371-380 7,399
361-370 7,259
351-360 7,033
301-350 20,721
0-300 3,305
Total 89,714

 

[Babsfrey]

Why can't they have an EE invitation round next week, at their usual time?

I suspect that there will be a draw next week. This round is only a shortfall of last week's draw.

 

[Babsfrey]

For records:

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of September 21, 2018

CRS Score Range Number of Candidates

601-1200 85
451-600 307
401-450 29,495
441-450 195
431-440 9,181
421-430 6,204
411-420 6,698
401-410 7,217
351-400 35,801
391-400 6,644
381-390 7,466
371-380 7,399
361-370 7,259
351-360 7,033
301-350 20,721
0-300 3,305
Total 89,714

598 candidates are already above 440 in 2 days since the last draw. Interesting!

 

[natarum]

I suspect that there will be a draw next week. This round is only a shortfall of last week's draw.

Exactly my thoughts too. In the last draw as well, IRCC wanted to issue 3900 invitations and they split into FSW and FSTW and the draw were in two different days. The next draw would be as planned on 3rd Oct with 3900 invites.

 

[Babsfrey]

Exactly my thoughts too. In the last draw as well, IRCC wanted to issue 3900 invitations and they split into FSW and FSTW and the draw were in two different days. The next draw would be as planned on 3rd Oct with 3900 invites.

To buttress the argument, they did the #100 draw on Monday to buy time for the pool to get filled up. They could have done the #100 draw on Wednesday if they wanted to skip next week.

 

[alexhalo]

If there is a draw next week as usual, would there be a chance for people below 440...??

 

[Kurco]

If there is a draw next week as usual, would there be a chance for people below 440...??

I wish as I am at 438 and loosing 5 points on Oct 5th.

 

[Babsfrey]

I wish as I am at 438 and loosing 5 points on Oct 5th.

438 may be a stretch. We do not know how many high scoring skilled trade people may have been picked from the pool yesterday. If most of them are 439 and above, then good. If not, then it does not affect the pool that much.

 

[samikdg]

I suspect that there will be a draw next week. This round is only a shortfall of last week's draw.

To buttress the argument, they did the #100 draw on Monday to buy time for the pool to get filled up. They could have done the #100 draw on Wednesday if they wanted to skip next week.

Going by last quarter, they did a PNP+FST targetted draw on 30 May 1 week after regular draw and then skipped the 6th June draw, did it on 13th. Similar may happen in October when they skip 3rd Oct and have it on 10th + 24th (also keeps the tradition of 2 general draws every month in 2018 intact).
Your second comment logic does not hold, as there will hardly be anyone expecting ITA under FSW who would got ITA under FST on 24th Sep.

 

[Babsfrey]

Going by last quarter, they did a PNP+FST targetted draw on 30 May 1 week after regular draw and then skipped the 6th June draw, did it on 13th. Similar may happen in October when they skip 3rd Oct and have it on 10th + 24th (also keeps the tradition of 2 general draws every month in 2018 intact).
Your second comment logic does not hold, as there will hardly be anyone expecting ITA under FSW who would got ITA under FST on 24th Sep.

Well that was 700 (PNP+FST), and it held exactly a week (7 days) after. This was not a week after, it was 5 days after, plus it is only 400. The 5 days must be deliberate. In addition, the year end is fast approaching and if they really need to keep up or exceed 2017 ITAs, they cannot afford to skip draws, except they want to issue over 4,000 ITAs in the subsequent rounds.

 

[natarum]

If its on 3rd October, how many IELTS results will be out by then? Is it one?