How soon can I expect CRS cut off to go down to 429 ?

[Ad00725]

Hello everyone,
My CRS is 429, I had created my profile on 15 April. But then my CRS was less than 400 so rewriting IELTS my CRS score is 429 since August. I have not received Ontario NOI yet. DO I NEED to create a new profile to get the NOI ??
PLEASE PROVIDE SOME INFO.

ALSO HOW SOON DO YOU EXPECT THE CRS SCORE TO GO DOWN TO 429 ANY CHANCES ??

MY CALCULATION:

5 SEP 15000 people ahead of 429

15000 - 3900 = 11000
New people till 19 SEP ahead of 429 = 1200
✓ 12200

19 SEP draw 12200 - 3700 = 8500

New people till October 3 >= 429 = 1500

✓ 10000
3 Oct draw 10000- 3500 = 6500

New people before 17 October >= 429 = 1500

✓ 8000
17 October 8000 - 3500 = 4500

New people before 31 Oct >= 429 = 1500

✓ 6000

31 Oct 6000- 3500 = 2500

New people 14 Nov = 1500
✓ 4000

4000- 3500 = 500

New People before 28 Nov = 2000
✓ 2500

28 Nov CLEAR FOR 429 SCORE ????

PLEASE HELP ME WITH SUGGESTIONS...

PNP HOW... ??? SOON ?? WHAT WILL WORK FAST IN MY CASE... ???

 

[wayneleung]

hi, I am in a worse situation. i got around 415. may I know how do u estimate the number of new applications?

i see that the scores are kept at the level of 440 of a long time, if Canadian gov doesn't increase the quota faster than the application increase rate....

all the best

 

[Ad00725]

hi, I am in a worse situation. i got around 415. may I know how do u estimate the number of new applications?

i see that the scores are kept at the level of 440 of a long time, if Canadian gov doesn't increase the quota faster than the application increase rate....

all the best

It's a radom/rough figure I estimate, but might be completely wrong as many people are coming into the pool with 440 and above, and also people in the range of 420-435 always rewrite IELTS to go higher in the table.

 

[Varunaimar]

It's a radom/rough figure I estimate, but might be completely wrong as many people are coming into the pool with 440 and above, and also people in the range of 420-435 always rewrite IELTS to go higher in the table.

I guess I've already replied to your thread on another forum. Creating multiple threads serves no purpose.