Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[syntaxrage]

I think we should be moving to ROH #92 as the 91st draw has being drawn.

What are your predictions?

 

[Jimmysuperfly]

What are your predictions?

I can stick my head out mate, ircc so so unpredictable, u think u know the next minute they hit you with a surprise like today's draw. I just read hope and pray

 

[syntaxrage]

I can stick my head out mate, ircc so so unpredictable, u think u know the next minute they hit you with a surprise like today's draw. I just read hope and pray

Yeah me too. Sitting on crs 437 cec since Nov 2017. I hope GOD will shine on us..

 

[Rockjerry]

Yeah its unfair for those coming out of Canada as you are there and had a lot of prior knowledge about the working and living condition there. I think all the people competing with you should be given some extra points for making it this far and being able to compete with someone like you and win some jobs... i think that would be fair. Don't you think so?

Well we have been here through the system for 4-5 years. We have been paying taxes for all that time and the education fees for international students is on another level. All we get is just 15 extra points but people with experience of 10 years sitting in some other nations are able to get more points.. well isn’t that unfair!!!!

 

[syntaxrage]

Well we have been here through the system for 4-5 years. We have been paying taxes for all that time and the education fees for international students is on another level. All we get is just 15 extra points but people with experience of 10 years sitting in some other nations are able to get more points.. well isn’t that unfair!!!!

Whats your crs? You should gotten an ITA already, if not PR?

 

[Reddiered07]

some rough calculation:

May 4th
441-450 992
May 16th
441-450 909
May 24th
441-450 56

And
May 24th
431-440 7,515

Suppose, we have 1k > 440 adding per week.

Next round June 6th 3k5 got ITAs.
So we have 3500 - 56+1k = 2k4 people from 431-440 will get ITAs

I suppose in the range 431-440 around 70% people are having CRS > 435. ~ 3k7.

So 2k4 people > 435 will get ITA. ( I suppose 30% with top scores 437-440 and 40% 435-437.

I would say the next cut-off on june 6th (if happens) would be around 437(max).

After the June 6th. Nobody knows...but hopefully there would be back-to-back draws.

Anyway, try to increase your CRS to top (30%) of 430s (437-440) your chance will be significant higher.

Dude..2 weeks left may24th to june 6th..not one week..and one day around 228 entered..may 23rd to may 24th!! Expect around 200-220 enetering..that leaves around 500 to be flushed out from 440 and below and not 2.5k !!!

 

[abhishek_89]

You forgot the new entries. This was as of May 24th which is right after the last draw, hence, very few people above 440. By next week, it will be two weeks of new entries which could be 150 to 250 a day (let's assume 200 average per day) which would make it approx 2800. I don't see it suddenly dropping by 3 to 5 points. The above distribution doesn't tell us anything new which we didn't know in the past couple of months. We desperately need a back to back draw or a bigger draw size or combination of both.

Well said!
The pool distribution has created the illusion of a drastically lower cut off in the next draw which is not going to be the case.

 

[abhishek_89]

Does today's draw mean there's a chance of a draw on June 6th and the cut-off score dropping to 435 (or lower; fingers crossed)? I have some hope that I will get a direct ITA before I appear for another IELTS.

435 cut off on June 6th is impossible unless CIC invites 5000 or 6000 candidates.

 

[abhishek_89]

What about the 500 from FST?

Majority of the FST folks would have lower CRS scores, that's why the cut off when 500 folks are invited is just 288.

 

[Aarti123]

Not eligible for OBU either. Going for UoL M.Sc Accountancy., although told by the CGA officials that master's would not change anything. Must have a bachelor degree along with ACCA, in order to get CGA membership under MRA.

Yea exactly. That's why I was thinking of a finance degree . That should compliment the ACCA. I don't want to do CPA cuz to me it's exactly like ACCA.

 

[jessoabr]

Majority of the FST folks would have lower CRS scores, that's why the cut off when 500 folks are invited is just 288.

What would be the next score most likely?

 

[syntaxrage]

435 cut off on June 6th is impossible unless CIC invites 5000 or 6000 candidates.

Do you think 437 is improbable or impossible?

 

[niswe]

Do you think next draw going to be only for 2800(3500-700) Or 3200(4000-700)
Or
They are going to skip next week draw and do it on 2nd week of June..

 

[abhishek_89]

Well we have been here through the system for 4-5 years. We have been paying taxes for all that time and the education fees for international students is on another level. All we get is just 15 extra points but people with experience of 10 years sitting in some other nations are able to get more points.. well isn’t that unfair!!!!

Well in that case a Canadian citizen who was born and raised in Canada may ask a question back to you-
'Why is someone from another nation (a non-Canadian) being allowed to enter and study in our country and is being allowed to take away our jobs? Isn't that unfair to us?'

Think about that too!

We are all immigrants or going to be one. It doesn't show us in good light if we crib about other immigrants. Every immigrant has a tough path. Please respect that.

 

[abhishek_89]

What would be the next score most likely?

439 if the draw happens on June 6th with 3500 ITAs.