Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[YPS]

Now today's draw gives some hope probably scores going down next week if IRCC not playing too smart n skipping the draw to maintain CRS around 440

 

[Reddiered07]

I strongly agree with you. Companies would rather take a 35yr old and up that have gathered years of experienced and still going through shining period. That kid already got high points for his age. Just being spoil

Guys why are you fighting?take a chill pill..who are we to judge? Leave that work to ircc..cool

 

[NOMAD2017]

I do feel you my friend, homesick and solitude were beating me harshly.
All the best!

If you wanna improve your writing score, subscribe to Lizielts channel/blog. I just watched 4 of her videos and scored 7 despite leaving the hall for 17-18 minutes during the writing test.

 

[frew]

Well, you WERE asking for back-to-back draws.

 

[noname7]

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 24, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 45
451-600 127
401-450 26,511
441-450 56
431-440 7,515
421-430 5,831
411-420 6,407
401-410 6,702
351-400 33,510
391-400 6,102
381-390 6,906
371-380 6,922
361-370 6,801
351-360 6,779
301-350 19,530
0-300 3,388

Total 83,111



So. The 441-450 are almost cleared from the last draw. I am at 437 from since Nov 2017. They have to drop the crs for the June 6th draw right? (435-440).

You forgot the new entries. This was as of May 24th which is right after the last draw, hence, very few people above 440. By next week, it will be two weeks of new entries which could be 150 to 250 a day (let's assume 200 average per day) which would make it approx 2800. I don't see it suddenly dropping by 3 to 5 points. The above distribution doesn't tell us anything new which we didn't know in the past couple of months. We desperately need a back to back draw or a bigger draw size or combination of both.

 

[NOMAD2017]

Hope today's draw doesn't push the normal draw date to 13th June. The cut-off most probably will remain 440+ in that case

 

[Mayur_M]

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 24, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 45
451-600 127
401-450 26,511
441-450 56
431-440 7,515
421-430 5,831
411-420 6,407
401-410 6,702
351-400 33,510
391-400 6,102
381-390 6,906
371-380 6,922
361-370 6,801
351-360 6,779
301-350 19,530
0-300 3,388

Total 83,111



So. The 441-450 are almost cleared from the last draw. I am at 437 from since Nov 2017. They have to drop the crs for the June 6th draw right? (435-440).

So, only 228 profiles with crs more than 441 added in a week? That's great. 438 or even 437 seems possible in next draw.

 

[noname7]

Hope today's draw doesn't push the normal draw date to 13th June. The cut-off most probably will remain 440+ in that case

Nope, if the draw is pushed back to June 13th (I don't think it will) then the score would jump to 442 or higher. If the draw size goes up to 3750 on June 13th then 441 or higher. If the draw size increases to 4000 then the cut off could be 440 or higher.
But I wish to see a draw on June 6th for 3750 with cut-off being 439.

 

[frew]

Well, you WERE asking for back-to-back draws.

Don't i tell you? Keep your hopes intact... CIC's power of surprising EE candidates is still intact!! We asked for a back-to-back and we got one. Keep your hopes high!!

 

[NOMAD2017]

They won't just go to 4000 from 3500 imo. The upcoming draw size might be 3750.
I am tired of this calculation speculation and prediction game.. Gonna take IELTS on June 30th and improve my score to 442. InshaAllah..That's the only way to feel less miserable..

 

[Reddiered07]

So, only 228 profiles with crs more than 441 added in a week? That's great. 438 or even 437 seems possible in next draw.

Not in a week..in a day!! May 23rd there were zero profiles over 440!! And on may 24th 228!

 

[uthejsree]

Does today's draw mean there's a chance of a draw on June 6th and the cut-off score dropping to 435 (or lower; fingers crossed)? I have some hope that I will get a direct ITA before I appear for another IELTS.

 

[Mayur_M]

Not in a week..in a day!! May 23rd there were zero profiles over 440!! And on may 24th 228!

Oh ya, you are right. I misunderstood it. 228 in a day is scary.

 

[Reddiered07]

Dudn't i tell you? Keep your hopes intact... CIC's power of surprising EE candidates is still intact!! We asked for a back-to-back and we got one. Keep your hopes high!!

How does this draw help us? Basically the competition is less by only 200 right?otherwise nothing changes right? Or am i missing anything here?

 

[YPS]

Does today's draw mean there's a chance of a draw on June 6th and the cut-off score dropping to 435 (or lower; fingers crossed)? I have some hope that I will get a direct ITA before I appear for another IELTS.

438/9 cutoff only go ahead with ielts