Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[NOMAD2017]

The distribution is from 16th May, so many more people with 441+ CRS entered the pool in the last 7 days. On 16th, there were about 2000 profiles above 440. So assuming around 100 profiles with CRS exactly 440 got cleared off due to the tie-break date in Dec 2017, there would be 1400/7=200 profiles above 440 who entered the pool every day in last 7 days.

That's still better than the last time. 295 people with 441+ entered the pool per day from 4th May - 9th May.

 

[SumH12]

They have been issuing 3500 for the past 4 draws! 3000 is long gone my friend! good morning

Let´s hope that for the next draw there will be a bigger quota... 3,750 or 4,000... I hope so! let´s pray for that! It would be really good news for us in 430s

 

[Jimmysuperfly]

It is important to know how many are sitting on 440!! I guess around 700 will be sitting on 440 on June 6th! So yes! around 400-500 from that 700 would be cleared in the next draw!!

is this figure inclusive of those who would be getting their ielts, ECA in the coming days and creating or updating their profile?

 

[NOMAD2017]

sorry added that too now!

Awww, you are still here so we should brace ourselves for some blunt comments

 

[NOMAD2017]

We thought without IELTS entrants would go down but that didn't happen! Similarly if we think entrants would increase with IELTS that too wouldn't happen!! Mystery going on!! I guess ECA and IELTS getting balanced out each other! IELTS guys waiting for ECA and ECA guys waiting for IELTS! I guess that the number of entrants would remain same for the next draw too! Around 3000!

The good thing is, the pool size increased only by 400 this time. From 83600 to 84k. So don't lose hope. The cut-off in the next draw won't be higher than 440.

 

[Reddiered07]

Awww, you are still here so we should brace ourselves for some blunt comments

Yes man!! still here!! I guess i need to wait for more draws!

 

[Reddiered07]

is this figure inclusive of those who would be getting their ielts, ECA in the coming days and creating or updating their profile?

Yes.. I guess around 550 now and 150 more in 15 days time!

 

[NOMAD2017]

Yes man!! still here!! I guess i need to wait for more draws!

Next will for sure bring you the good news we are inching closer.

 

[stevevutien]

Comprehensive Ranking Systi (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 16, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 185
451-600 871
401-450 27,123
441-450 909
431-440 7,495
421-430 5,747
411-420 6,344
401-410 6,628
351-400 33,129
391-400 5,957
381-390 6,876
371-380 6,868
361-370 6,724
351-360 6,704
301-350 19,375
0-300 3,362
Total 84,045

-----
Compare with the #89. This round #90 Around 2500 people with CRS > 440 are in the pool with in 2 weeks? around 1k2/week? This is just insane. Mine CRS is in 430s and couldn't be more scary.

 

[NOMAD2017]

lol. I wish..But I am sure I am not getting an ITA in May 2018

You sound like: Nostradamus - The man who saw tomorrow..

 

[_Aspirant]

congrats guys...

 

[NOMAD2017]

Comprehensive Ranking Systi (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 16, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 185
451-600 871
401-450 27,123
441-450 909
431-440 7,495
421-430 5,747
411-420 6,344
401-410 6,628
351-400 33,129
391-400 5,957
381-390 6,876
371-380 6,868
361-370 6,724
351-360 6,704
301-350 19,375
0-300 3,362
Total 84,045

-----
Compare with the #89. This round #90 Around 2500 people with CRS > 440 are in the pool with in 2 weeks? around 1k2/week? This is just insane. Mine CRS is in 430s and couldn't be more scary.

this one has around 1900 with 441 and above. Last time there were around 2300 with 441+, so I think things slowed down a little due to no IELTS result this week.

 

[bimale4bipeople]

You sound like: Nostradamus - The man who saw tomorrow..

 

[SumH12]

Comprehensive Ranking Systi (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 16, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 185
451-600 871
401-450 27,123
441-450 909
431-440 7,495
421-430 5,747
411-420 6,344
401-410 6,628
351-400 33,129
391-400 5,957
381-390 6,876
371-380 6,868
361-370 6,724
351-360 6,704
301-350 19,375
0-300 3,362
Total 84,045

-----
Compare with the #89. This round #90 Around 2500 people with CRS > 440 are in the pool with in 2 weeks? around 1k2/week? This is just insane. Mine CRS is in 430s and couldn't be more scary.

Hi,
This distribution was the one 5 days before 89th draw happened on May 9:
Comprehensive Ranking Systi (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 4, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 205
451-600 1,116
401-450 26,661
441-450 992
431-440 7,196
421-430 5,590
411-420 6,272
401-410 6,611
351-400 33,058
391-400 5,897
381-390 6,871
371-380 6,855
361-370 6,720
351-360 6,715
301-350 19,293
0-300 3,313
Total 83,646

Last time, in only 5 days, 441+ profiles increased 2,187. This time, in 7 days, the increase was lesser therefore it allowed to invite almost all 440 from 2017

I really wish that the number of ITAs issued next draw increase. Our CRS is also in the 430s, and I am getting more nervous by each draw.

 

[at4446]

if i applied 23 days earlier i would have gotten the ITA today! FML