Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[Carpe Diem1903]

Hey guys,

My WES evaluation is due for completion on June 5th
Based on the past draws I guess the next lottery will be on 6th June.
I have a score of 484.
Do you think I will be able to get into the pool for the 91st draw ?

Thanks

 

[Reddiered07]

Guys with CRS ranging from 431 to 440 please vote here: Poll would give us a fair idea of composition of members from 431 to 440

http://pollmaker.vote/p/C5G7678Q

 

[Mayur_M]

The distribution is from 16th May, so many more people with 441+ CRS entered the pool in the last 7 days. On 16th, there were about 2000 profiles above 440. So assuming around 100 profiles with CRS exactly 440 got cleared off due to the tie-break date in Dec 2017, there would be 1400/7=200 profiles above 440 who entered the pool every day in last 7 days.

So if same happens till next draw, 200 profiles added each day. Then 440 would be breached or 440 with tie somewhere in April-May.

 

[dodogirl]

So depressing

 

[tristonz]

So depressing

Dont be. Things are looking promising.! Keep the hopes up!

Let the waiting game begin again...

 

[Reddiered07]

So if same happens till next draw, 200 profiles added each day. Then 440 would be breached or 440 with tie somewhere in April-May.

It is important to know how many are sitting on 440!! I guess around 700 will be sitting on 440 on June 6th! So yes! around 400-500 from that 700 would be cleared in the next draw!!

 

[soulhealer95]

I got a score of 471 but no ITA. why though!!!

 

[Reddiered07]

I got a score of 471 but no ITA. why though!!!

Please wait for 24 hours before you ask the same question anywhere else!

 

[bahariesmoon88]

Please wait for 24 hours before you ask the same question anywhere else!

Ikr lmao all through this thread is the exact same question ugh

 

[tottiren]

Crs score : 440
profile created: 1st January,2018
Current status: Heart Brokem

mine is on jan 23, heartbroken too

 

[Thay]

I hope to see 3750 ITA"s soon

 

[lightning_crashes]

I am shocked that many people entered the pool even without the IELTS. I am worried too that it will stay at 440 or go to 441.

Exactly, the next draw becomes even a deeper mystery!

This is like watching lost episodes!

 

[Reddiered07]

mine is on jan 23, heartbroken too

If anybody with low score is inline for the next draw!! You come first!! Just wait for 2 weeks man! Have a beer now!

 

[lightning_crashes]

You're asking for the worst case scenario? I expected lot less people to enter the pool per day without IELTS result but that didn't happen. So, the people entering per day will be much higher next time keeping the score at 440 or may even increasing a little bit. Hey, you asked for it!!

June 6th draw for 3500:
Worst case scenario: 441 (or 440)
Best case scenario: 439 (tie breaker in 2017)

I agree. With IELTS the no of ppl will be even more and score will go up

 

[TalzKhan]

Comprehensive Ranking Systi (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 16, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 185
451-600 871
401-450 27,123
441-450 909
431-440 7,495
421-430 5,747
411-420 6,344
401-410 6,628
351-400 33,129
391-400 5,957
381-390 6,876
371-380 6,868
361-370 6,724
351-360 6,704
301-350 19,375
0-300 3,362
Total 84,045

Can someone plz explain this to me?