Ray Of Hope-86th Draw

[abhic88]

I had submitted EE profile with CRS of 475 but have not received any message in my profile so far. Anybody else facing this problem ?

 

[bobbyanimo]

Phew that was really awful. Hope it will come down before May. Or next draw

 

[Fhussain]

With the current trend 180 candidates with 450+ CRS are entering each day... this means still 780 candidates r there bw 451-456... after 2 weeks the score would be around 449-450..could be more but not less..

 

[mathansri]

I had submitted EE profile with CRS of 475 but have not received any message in my profile so far. Anybody else facing this problem ?

For the Nth time, you will get your ITA within 24 hours dude. Relax.

 

[Hardit singh]

There were never two back to back draws though there were back to back draws. The reason for high score could be anything other than the 3 weeks gap.
CIC is loaded with existing applications for PR and the they are processing them as per their timelines.

But the only hope is that they have to increase the draw size and do few back to back draws to meet their current year target and this will eventually reduce the crs.

May be it may take 3-4 months or even 6 months but score will come down to 430

Me at 439. Even if there is no back to back draws.. when can we expect for crs to come at 439?

 

[Johnny Ghaddar]

Not yet. I’m contemplating if that’s the only solution at my score.

Well, then you have two windows to lookout for. If you'll get an NOI (in case OINP picks up your NOC code) then its a 45 day period to submit the app. If you don't then you will eventually get an ITA with the normalization of scores within the next 1 - 2 months. So you are pretty much in a safe zone

 

[abhic88]

For the Nth time, you will get your ITA within 24 hours dude. Relax.

Good to hear that
Does it usually take 24 hours to get the official ITA e-mail after the draw is published?

 

[coldfire101]

Great news. 438 now. Tomorrow's my birthday and it will go down by 5 points. Such a great life

 

[smart_eagle]

CIC is trying to clear backlog of PR apps - just see the 27th Feb glitch. Once that backlog is substantially cleared, they will up the draw intake to above 3000. If that coincides with either lower quality pool or/and back-to-back draws, then CRS will fall back to 430s. Keep up the hope.

 

[Hardit singh]

Although i have noi from oinp but still thinking of not taking it.
Reason : according to me if i file for oinp then it will take 3 months or so for nomination. After that i would be getting ITA.
But as people in the thread are expecting crs to come below 439 in another 2 months.
Then what is the need of taking.oinp.
I need experts guidance on my perspective as may be i m being too optimistic.
Please suggest experts and guide me with right way to follow.

 

[fatani]

Lot of people joining the pool will definitely have an effect. The size of the pool is also a cause of worry it crossed 80k for the first time. It was always in 60k's but touched 70k and it touched 80k pretty fast

Some one should do an analysis with this data for a projection

Yes lots of people are coming in as you can see there are 2184 people came in 451-600 range from 21st feb to 8th march in 15 days.

That accounts to 143 people per day in the past we seen around 90-110 people per day included in this range. As the draw was expected on 7th march I think the score would have shooted to 448-450 if the draw had happend on 7th march as well.

Lots of people are now aware of express entry and canadian immigration. Canada is accepting more and more people news is spreading like fire. That is the reason more and more people are making profiles.

In 2015 and 2016 the average score was 470-480 and lots of people did not wanted to try there luck as they knew that the score is hard to achieve but as scores drop below 450 more and more people now are coming up and hanging in.

To go with CIC were conducting back to back draws in early part of 2017 with on avg 3800 ITAs per draw which rapidly pushed down the score. In april 2017 they conducted 3 back to back draws of 3800 ITAs which resulted in 413 score

 

[perpetualROH]

CIC is trying to clear backlog of PR apps - just see the 27th Feb glitch. Once that backlog is substantially cleared, they will up the draw intake to above 3000. If that coincides with either lower quality pool or/and back-to-back draws, then CRS will fall back to 430s. Keep up the hope.

What is this glitch that you are referring to?

 

[mathansri]

What is this glitch that you are referring to?

There were so many people who have submitted their eAPR and waiting for long time, have received PPR on 27th Feb.

 

[ankurrana]

Or rather, still unable to come to terms with todays shocker of "456"

feels like loosing a high

CIC is trying to clear backlog of PR apps - just see the 27th Feb glitch. Once that backlog is substantially cleared, they will up the draw intake to above 3000. If that coincides with either lower quality pool or/and back-to-back draws, then CRS will fall back to 430s. Keep up the hope.

i like such posts

 

[ajj123]

My husband and I applied for EE on 23rd Feb. We are at 456. The cut off date says March 3rd. Does that mean anyone applied before March 3 can expect an ITA?