Ray of Hope - 82nd Draw

[Supernova]

I hope there is a draw today. I am sitting at 443. Keeping my fingers crossed! Best of luck all you wonderful folks.

 

[Maxrox24x7]

Where’s are homies

Hi everyone,

lets see today's importance in terms of ITA draw.

CASE 1- If we have a draw today with anything above 2750- this is by far the best news for all of us as it will mean we are finally out of the 2750 curse & soon the cutoff will start to go down & secondly it will mean good news for the OINP aspirant.

CASE 2- If we have a draw today with 2750- this will also mean a good news as although we are still inside the 2750 nightmare but still the cutoff will go down & the 430's will have chance to get ita's soon & the below 430's can again start dreaming for OINP

CASE 3- If we don't have any draw today- this is by far would be the worst news of of 2018 as no draw will mean cutoff will rise again to 450 & to make things disastrous OINP NOI range will also stick to 430 & above for this year's quota & direct ITA's for even mid 430's will be a luxurious thought for the entire year.


HEY GUYS LETS PUT ALL OUR PRAYER TOGETHER & PRAY SO THAT WE CAN SEE CASE 1 TODAY WITH A DRAW WITH ITA SIZE ABOVE 3000. LETS THE RAY OF HOPE AGAIN ROAR TO OUR HEARTS CONTENT !!!!!!!

For case 3: Perhaps dejecting only for this month. From feb I think it’s improbable to have two draws with 3week gap.

 

[Luckyj]

444 and waiting.

 

[Jakilee]

The calm before the storm....................

 

[krunal2904]

I have a feeling that Today's cutoff will around 441 with 2750 ITAs.

 

[Savvyor]

As per last draw data there are around 7k people from 431-460; In worst case scenario if second draw of Jan and two draws of Feb occured with 2750 ITAs and 2000 people add up in same range then in any case second draw of March CRS will not be more than 430....

Guys be patient score will drop below 430 in next 3 months max

In 2017 people were saying that it is impossible that score will drop below 420 but it did..

This year it will again drop below 420, Kindly note there are only 7k people in range of 431-460 and every month 5k people get ITAs; Very soon this whole pool of people will wipe out and even adding up new 2k profiles every month of same score range cant keep CRS score above 430....

 

[abhishek_89]

Ok guys just a thought of predicting the lowest CRS for this year...can we all predict on this...just for fun
I predict it's not going below 420

In 2016, nobody expected cut off to go below 450, but it went. In June 2017, nobody expected to be stuck in the pool with CRS 432 for more than 6 months, but it happened. So CIC being uncertain has always made it tough to predict what would happen in future.

But, yes if CIC continues issuing 2750 ITAs with 2 week gap draws, then the cut off won't go below 420.

Only hope for lower CRS folks is more number of ITAs OR 1 week gap draws!

 

[krunal2904]

In 2016 people were saying that it is impossible that score will drop below 420 but it did..

This year it will again drop below 420, Kindly note there are only 7k people in range of 431-460 and every month 5k people get ITAs; Very soon this whole pool of people will wipe out and even adding up new 2k profiles cant keep CRS score above 430....

I hope you will be prove right... It all depends on How CIC is going to be DRAW and How many ITAs they're going to issue. If they constantly do draw bi-weekly with 2750 ITAs..I don't think it will be going to CRS Low because same numbers of people are adding in the pool within 2 weeks.

 

[shahaed]

sorry to say this but there wont be a draw happening today, CIC already decided to stick to 2750 from Nov 2017 onwards, with these ITA numbers they seem satisfied with the minimum crs scores the ITA's are drawing. I truly hope that im wrong but seems like they r worried if they draw today, the scores will go below what tickles their pickle.

 

[javier.abraham]

IRCC turn on the light!

 

[Savvyor]

CAn

I hope you will be prove right... It all depends on How CIC is going to be DRAW and How many ITAs they're going to issue. If they constantly do draw bi-weekly with 2750 ITAs..I don't think it will be going to CRS Low because same numbers of people are adding in the pool within 2 weeks.

Can you tell me how many people add up in month of November and December in range of 431-460? I am pretty sure that not more than 2000 people add up in this range every month

 

[abhishek_89]

Today will define 2018

I hope the day they increase the number of ITAs is today!

In 2017, the 2nd draw of the year was the one where CIC started issuing more than 3000 ITAs. Can we see a repeat today (2nd draw of 2018)?

#3000+

 

[Savvyor]

I hope the day they increase the number of ITAs is today!

In 2017, the 2nd draw of the year was the one where CIC started issuing more than 3000 ITAs. Can we see a repeat today (2nd draw of 2018)?

#3000+

Agree dude

 

[shahaed]

#3000+

 

[abhishek_89]

In 2017 people were saying that it is impossible that score will drop below 420 but it did..

This year it will again drop below 420, Kindly note there are only 7k people in range of 431-460 and every month 5k people get ITAs; Very soon this whole pool of people will wipe out and even adding up new 2k profiles every month of same score range cant keep CRS score above 430....

On May 31, 2017, there was a draw which had CRS 413 as the cut off which means 0 people existed in the pool with CRS 413 and above (immediately after the draw). But from June 2017 onwards, the cut off has never gone below 433. Why?

I am not saying it is impossible for the CRS cut off to go below CRS 420, but for that to happen more ITAs need to be issued or 1 week gap draws with 2750 ITAs need to happen.

From November (after the multi year targets were announced) onwards, everybody is expecting a draw with higher number of ITAs but CIC is just being stubborn.