Ray of Hope - 81st Draw

[hishamx87]

I dont think Canada needs such negative people. (IMO)

It's alright.

A bit of spice every wednesday is actually good for this forum. It helps in keeping our hopes alive.

 

[Snaina]

there is no draw there was never supposed to be one
we're all hanging on this 'ray' of hope that doesnt exist

Let me repeat! NO DRAW TODAY!
CSR will jump to 470 for next draw FOR SURE if there even is another draw although not anytime soon
and ITAs will decrease to 2500.

All of us in 440s and below can forget we will get ITA this year
sorry to break your bubble but this is harsh reality

Jon, please don't lose hope. Besides, Canada is just one part of your entire life. Stay positive, learn a skill you actually enjoy and count your blessings. We will pray for you to realize the true purpose and potential of your life, whether that gets attained in Canada or not doesn't really matter.

 

[Samroze]

It's alright.

A bit of spice every wednesday is actually good for this forum. It helps in keeping our hopes alive.

Helps in making our hopes stronger actually
Dreaming of ITA even at 428- before Jan 19.....lolz
Cic is not God...miracles do happen
Waiting for some magic

 

[abhishek_89]

And what's the logic ?

As I said, CRS scores of many increases, but at the same time it decreases with expired IELTS scores, age and several other factors.
For instance,

#44 – October 12, 2016
484 points

#43 – September 21, 2016
483 points

Gap of 3 weeks, yet cut-off increased just by a point

Don't only read the cut off, read it along with the ITA numbers. The above 3 week gap added 1518 folks (with CRS 484 and above) in 3 weeks (from Sept 21 to Oct 12). If the gap was 2 weeks, only about an average of 1000 folks would have been available with CRS 484 and above. So the CRS cut off would have decreased if there was a 2 week gap draw on Oct 5th instead of a 3 week gap draw on Oct 12th.

 

[abhishek_89]

What could the score be on Jan 10 considering a draw today.
I will be falling to 423 from 428 on Jan 19 so really desperate.
It will be really tragic when the score is near to 428 and then I loose 5 points

Depends on the ITA's issued. If they don't hike the ITA's, below 430 not possible.

 

[abhishek_89]

there is no draw there was never supposed to be one
we're all hanging on this 'ray' of hope that doesnt exist

Let me repeat! NO DRAW TODAY!
CSR will jump to 470 for next draw FOR SURE if there even is another draw although not anytime soon
and ITAs will decrease to 2500.

All of us in 440s and below can forget we will get ITA this year
sorry to break your bubble but this is harsh reality

Is this negativity just to bring out today's draw. We had a guy who used to do it successfully here long back!

 

[WanderWomanToo]

there is no draw there was never supposed to be one
we're all hanging on this 'ray' of hope that doesnt exist

Let me repeat! NO DRAW TODAY!
CSR will jump to 470 for next draw FOR SURE if there even is another draw although not anytime soon
and ITAs will decrease to 2500.

All of us in 440s and below can forget we will get ITA this year
sorry to break your bubble but this is harsh reality

Wow! I wish I was in your score range so I could just sit back and wait for my ITA. Nonetheless, I am still here like everyone else and hoping for the day me and my family will land in Canada. This hope makes me see positive things despite the uncertainties.

 

[indocanadianguy]

Don't only read the cut off, read it along with the ITA numbers. The above 3 week gap added 1518 folks (with CRS 484 and above) in 3 weeks (from Sept 21 to Oct 12). If the gap was 2 weeks, only about an average of 1000 folks would have been available with CRS 484 and above. So the CRS cut off would have decreased if there was a 2 week gap draw on Oct 5th instead of a 3 week gap draw on Oct 12th.

You mentioned about huge increase in cut-off in bigger gaps, so I was pointing out that part.

I know you have been entertaining people here with your predictions, but we all know that there is no pattern or predictability in CRS cut-offs or even the dates of cut-offs, so please don't try to prove your point without any logic !

Cheers

 

[Samroze]

Is this negativity just to bring out today's draw. We had a guy who used to do it successfully here long back!

Even I doubted the same

 

[Samroze]

We've seen disasters post June 2017

It's time for miracles now​

 

[hishamx87]

You mentioned about huge increase in cut-off in bigger gaps, so I was pointing out that part.

I know you have been entertaining people here with your predictions, but we all know that there is no pattern or predictability in CRS cut-offs or even the dates of cut-offs, so please don't try to prove your point without any logic !

Cheers

Oh come on . His predictions are fairly good and most of us can second that.

 

[Histrionics]

You mentioned about huge increase in cut-off in bigger gaps, so I was pointing out that part.

I know you have been entertaining people here with your predictions, but we all know that there is no pattern or predictability in CRS cut-offs or even the dates of cut-offs, so please don't try to prove your point without any logic !

Cheers

Ironic that what you call entertainment has been fairly accurate so far. Frankly, I think the predictions are actually a greater beacon of hope and reality interspersed and I appreciate the effort abhishek_89 makes for us.

More than that, I am sure we all have our opinions and feel frustrated at not knowing what the CIC is up to but Regardless of our feelings on the matter, we have to keep moving forward with hope and acceptance.

 

[Aryaansohaali]

One thing that is surprising is that since the time CIC announced the increased targets for next 3 years this would be the third time since October (if we don’t have a draw) that we will experience a 3 week gap between draws with a miserly 2750 fixed ITA issued. The first draw of jan whether it happens today or 10 jan should have ITAs in excess of 3000 otherwise it will get very confusing. I am still hoping we will have a draw today

 

[arthurbr]

One thing that is surprising is that since the time CIC announced the increased targets for next 3 years this would be the third time since October (if we don’t have a draw) that we will experience a 3 week gap between draws with a miserly 2750 fixed ITA issued. The first draw of jan whether it happens today or 10 jan should have ITAs in excess of 3000 otherwise it will get very confusing. I am still hoping we will have a draw today

Yeah, that is quite weird.

 

[indocanadianguy]

Ironic that what you call entertainment has been fairly accurate so far. Frankly, I think the predictions are actually a greater beacon of hope and reality interspersed and I appreciate the effort abhishek_89 makes for us.

Accurate ? Yeah why not
I can bet more than 95% of his predictions have been incorrect.. and without any logic (the world works on logic, not on gut feelings)

You can go back, and check when was the last time his prediction was to the point

I also thank him for his efforts (even if it just gives hope), but he cannot negate other's comments without any logic behind