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Ray of Hope 68th Draw

W

Wandering Mind

Champion Member
Mar 20, 2017
2,832
4,719
Seemab said:
This forum has been very encouraging and I hope that everyone gets their ITAs soon enough.. :)
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That's the whole point of this thread - we support and encourage each other every step of the way.

I don't know about other members, but I'd be insane by now if I hadn't discovered the Ray of Hope.

I can't say this enough - thank you friends for always having a kind word and not giving up on each other.
 
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R

rekhabishop

Star Member
Jun 19, 2017
132
163
Hey guys what are the documents that we can obtain in advance? Like, before getting an ITA?

I mean, I know that medical tests shouldn't be obtained before ITA.
How about others?
 
N

Nc31

Hero Member
May 10, 2017
218
184
Wandering Mind said:
That's the whole point of this thread - we support and encourage each other every step of the way.

I don't know about other members, but I'd be insane by now if I hadn't discovered the Ray of Hope.

I can't say this enough - thank you friends for always having a kind word and not giving up on each other.
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:)Just like you, with your ITA and you are still here to support others.
 
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tjsecondtry

tjsecondtry

Hero Member
May 11, 2017
798
1,749
Let me start out by remind everyone that because of my age/low score, I've got more reason to hope that the score drops than almost everyone here. But I need to be realistic to make appropriate long term plans to improve my maxed out score. So here are my thoughts on the next draw.

I didn't do my own predictions because it appears that several people are using very similar methodology to calculate the rate of new entrants into the pool. It's the rate of new entrants over the last cut off and the rate between the last cut-off and the projected new cut-off that are having most effect on the cut-off right now.

With that said, the folks that are looking at those rates are predicting a much smaller drop than those who say "last time it dropped x points from 440." When you also factor in the draws have been for roughly 500 fewer ITAs in the last two draws, it also suggests a much smaller drop. Based on the other folks analysis, I'm guessing the CRS will be 436 unless the number of ITAs increases again.

I know these thoughts won't make me any friends, but I don't want people to be crushed when the score doesn't drop as much as they think it should.

My master's in Toronto starts in January. I need to work harder on the French. I will get my score up no matter how long it takes. The only good side about being old is that they can't subtract any more points on my birthday, lol.
 
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W

Wacky1.nash

Hero Member
Jul 18, 2017
624
685
Singapore
tjsecondtry said:
Let me start out by remind everyone that because of my age/low score, I've got more reason to hope that the score drops than almost everyone here. But I need to be realistic to make appropriate long term plans to improve my maxed out score. So here are my thoughts on the next draw.

I didn't do my own predictions because it appears that several people are using very similar methodology to calculate the rate of new entrants into the pool. It's the rate of new entrants over the last cut off and the rate between the last cut-off and the projected new cut-off that are having most effect on the cut-off right now.

With that said, the folks that are looking at those rates are predicting a much smaller drop than those who say "last time it dropped x points from 440." When you also factor in the draws have been for roughly 500 fewer ITAs in the last two draws, it also suggests a much smaller drop. Based on the other folks analysis, I'm guessing the CRS will be 436 unless the number of ITAs increases again.

I know these thoughts won't make me any friends, but I don't want people to be crushed when the score doesn't drop as much as they think it should.

My master's in Toronto starts in January. I need to work harder on the French. I will get my score up no matter how long it takes. The only good side about being old is that they can't subtract any more points on my birthday
tjsecondtry said:
Let me start out by remind everyone that because of my age/low score, I've got more reason to hope that the score drops than almost everyone here. But I need to be realistic to make appropriate long term plans to improve my maxed out score. So here are my thoughts on the next draw.

I didn't do my own predictions because it appears that several people are using very similar methodology to calculate the rate of new entrants into the pool. It's the rate of new entrants over the last cut off and the rate between the last cut-off and the projected new cut-off that are having most effect on the cut-off right now.

With that said, the folks that are looking at those rates are predicting a much smaller drop than those who say "last time it dropped x points from 440." When you also factor in the draws have been for roughly 500 fewer ITAs in the last two draws, it also suggests a much smaller drop. Based on the other folks analysis, I'm guessing the CRS will be 436 unless the number of ITAs increases again.

I know these thoughts won't make me any friends, but I don't want people to be crushed when the score doesn't drop as much as they think it should.

My master's in Toronto starts in January. I need to work harder on the French. I will get my score up no matter how long it takes. The only good side about being old is that they can't subtract any more points on my birthday, lol.
Click to expand...
Well, I for one appreciate your opinion...

All the best with your masters, and hope you will get your PR before you get there.
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