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Ray of Hope 68th Draw

qwerty69

Star Member
Jul 4, 2017
108
242
I work in planning and was playing with the numbers for the last few rounds. The gap in draws from last month and the reduced number of ITAs might have changed things and is slowing down the trend from previous months. Considering the rate of new profiles from the last month and considering the 3,200 ITAs issued today, next draw should be around 436.

As I said, I'm doing a very pessimistic forecast, as I'm considering that the amount of ITAs will stay the same (probably) and the rate of new profiles will also stay at the same value (I doubt this). But considering this, the score will be decreasing slowly for the rest of the year and by December should be close to 416-418.

If the amount of ITAs for the next draw is at 3,200 or less, we can say that they're controlling the number of invitations to keep the target for the year at check, or they're artificially controlling the score to not go below 410 (With 3200 ITAs and the same rate of new profiles, the score won't go below 410).

But even with this, I'm pretty optimistic about the new profiles. I don't believe that it will keep the same rate for the coming months, and the score will drop more than 410. Let's see the next few draws and hopefully this projection is wrong ;)
 

canadanumber1

Star Member
Jun 13, 2017
56
69
mann ur all over the place....lol......ok cant you just put "Ottawa/Toronto" ??
Lol haha I know. I just spent $1500 for an application. Want to make sure I get this stuff right lol. I was self-employed during this work experience and working for the company while I was in Ottawa. There's no option to put "Ottawa/Toronto", so I guess I'll just leave it as Ottawa since that's where I was. The reference letter has Toronto as the address though. Anyway, I don't think its a big issue. I can explain it if they ask for more information.
 
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Reactions: Lyssiej and mejaz

WaseemWasii

Hero Member
Mar 20, 2013
891
242
Can this be due to People getting their convocation certificate enabling students to enter the pool?
That might be the reason, Cause i myself graduated in April 2017. Normally there are two convocations each year for most of the Universities in Canada, one in June and Other in November. Since the Draw took long time last month all those students who graduated in Spring term are Jumping in like Me.
 

mejaz

Hero Member
Dec 9, 2016
301
237
42
Toronto, ON
Passport Req..
10-04-2018
Lol haha I know. I just spent $1500 for an application. Want to make sure I get this stuff right lol. I was self-employed during this work experience and working for the company while I was in Ottawa. There's no option to put "Ottawa/Toronto", so I guess I'll just leave it as Ottawa since that's where I was. The reference letter has Toronto as the address though. Anyway, I don't think its a big issue. I can explain it if they ask for more information.
True that......all the best to u buddy!
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
3300-3500 ITAs 427 Crs
This will happen only if the next draw happens on July 19th. If the next draw happens after 2 weeks, the CRS cut off is not going to go below 430.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
I am THIS close to telling Canada Kiss my A$$. I am at 438. This draw cut me deep! I will not let 2014 happen to me again.
If there is 1 more draw in July, you are getting an ITA.